🧵 New from me: US, Iran suggest IAEA agreement could be extended, in sign deal unlikely this month diplomatic.substack.com/p/us-iran-sugg…
“We hope that we make enough progress so there will be no need for extension of that understanding, but if needed, we would consider at its proper time,” Iran Deputy FM Araghchi told NHK. diplomatic.substack.com/p/us-iran-sugg…
“It is clear they will not finalize the roadmap by the 21st of May,” ICG Iran project director @AliVaez said. But if enough progress, extending IAEA deal would "put more time on the clock.” diplomatic.substack.com/p/us-iran-sugg…
US officials have repeatedly indicated after 3 rounds of indirect talks they do not believe Iranian negotiators have yet been given the political go-ahead from Tehran to make the decisions needed to make rapid progress to finalize deal diplomatic.substack.com/p/us-iran-sugg…

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More from @lrozen

10 May
State spox Ned Price: US condemns in strongest terms barrage of rocket attacks fired into Israel in recent hours.
Unacceptable escalation. Recognize Israel legitimate right to defend itself. Critical for all sides to promote calm. Deeply concerned about situation...
US will remain fully engaged to promote calm in Jerusalem.
(not verbatim/missing words) Welcome steps govt of Israel taken in recent days to try to avoid provocations re Jerusalem Day parade
Price: State issued a statement on Friday, White House issued statement yesterday in connection with Sullivan call with his counterpart, we have been clear about where we stand on Sheikh Jarrah (possible evictions), to treat Palestinian residents with compassion.
Read 13 tweets
10 May
Biden at 3 months, AP/NORC:

63% of Americans approve of Pres. Biden's job performance (96% of Dems, 62% indies, 23% GOP)

54% say nation on right track

71% approve of Biden performance on pandemic, inc. 47% of GOP

57% approve B handling of econ

62% approve Biden on healthcare
48% approve of Biden's handling of gun policy, 49% disapprove

43% approve his handling of immigration, 54% disapprove

immigration only issue where disapproval substantially higher than approval, by 9 points.

The poll surveyed 1,842 people from April 29 to May 3, MoE 3.2%
His huge challenge coming in was to get control of the pandemic and the economy, and seems from these numbers that a large majority of the public is very satisfied with his handling of both. 71% approval on pandemic, including 47% of GOP is pretty striking.
Read 4 tweets
7 May
🧵Some photos of today’s Joint Commission Iran talks in Vienna, courtesy the EU in Vienna. China perm rep to IAEA Wang Qun, Iran Dep FM and chief negotiator Abbas Araghchi, Iran IAEA rep Gharibabadi.
Wang Qun, Araghchi, Gharibabadi and EU perm rep to IAEA and longtime Iran nonpro advisor Stephan Klement
Iran nuclear expert Saberi, far left; Russian perm rep to IAEA, who provides very good Iran talks coverage on Twitter, Mikhail Ulyanov, far right, on the phone.
Read 5 tweets
6 May
🧵Snr State Dept official on call before new round of Vienna Iran talks: If Iran makes the political decision that it genuinely wants to return to JCPOA as negotiated, then it can be done rather swiftly. But we don’t know if Iran decided that, or if prepared to do so now.
It is a matter of a political decision that needs to be made in Iran.
SSDO: We think it is doable. Not rocket science. Not inventing a new deal. Reviving one undermined over last several years. Is it possible before Iran elections? If Iran makes the political determination…it can be done relatively quickly.
Read 12 tweets
5 May
🧵 New from me: ‘Unbearably slow’: scant progress at latest Iran deal talks in Vienna, as negotiators head back for another round diplomatic.substack.com/p/unbearably-s…
“Look, they have not been making much progress, honestly...it made very, very little progress. So it was unbearably slow.”

diplomatic.substack.com/p/unbearably-s…
Iran leadership may not want rapid progress at Vienna talks to result in a potential boost for moderate candidates ahead of presidential elections in June. Timeline “is just not conducive to rapid diplomatic process.” diplomatic.substack.com/p/unbearably-s…
Read 7 tweets
5 May
“He stood out for his elegant clothes.” Many such brutal observations in this @yossi_melman piece about many in Mossad looking forward to the departure of what they see as the overly political and opportunistic Yossi Cohen, @haaretzcom haaretz.com/israel-news/.p…
“When Netanyahu interviewed the candidates, he asked if they would be loyal to him personally. N. and Ben Barak were shocked, and replied that they were loyal to the country. Netanyahu announced the news of Cohen’s selection in a live broadcast.”

haaretz.com/israel-news/.p…
“But perhaps the culmination of Cohen’s problematic and baffling behavior took place when he reportedly flew in a private plane to the Dem. Rep. of the Congo to meet with former Pres. Joseph Kabila & the diamond magnate Dan Gertler. Gertler is under U.S. sanctions...” 👀
Read 4 tweets

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