A challenge for national security wonks today that is akin to that in 2017.

Will you speak to real threats or dodge doing so for fear of "being partisan?"

Back then it was speaking to Russian cyber attack.

Today, it is viral conspiracy theory surrounding The Big Lie.
Today, I gave a speech on key trends in digital security. Covered issues Ransomware to IOT to viral mis/disinformation that can shape real world beliefs, actions and even cause deaths.

By including events of Jan6 and pandemic as case examples, however, was said to be partisan.
As an analyst, you have to include those case examples. To do otherwise is to dodge. But to include them is to make a certain segment of the audience uncomfortable or even angry. Many will thus avoid it...This is disservice to facts and your responsibility as an analyst.
I recall in 2017 being asked to testify to Congress on issues in cyber deterrence.

And yet, much of fellow testimony avoided any mention of the Major incident that we were all in the wake of.
In turn, when I discussed the Russian attack in my opening statement, I will always remember multiple (GOP) members of Congress making deliberate attempts to avoid looking at me in the eye.
The same dynamic holds now for anyone working on everything from mis/disinfo to terrorism/extremism to US grand strategy and trends in global stability.

If you are not willing to speak to this issue that clouds all those areas,
for fear of upsetting someone,
you are dodging.

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More from @peterwsinger

10 Jan
This message is 100% worth your watch and share, not just on Twitter, but Facebook etc


A message from a Republican leader and an iconic figure in our culture, who gets it, and maybe might pierce thru the fever dream too many fell into.
That is, please also share it with those co-workers, friends and family who don't realize the stakes of what is going on, and the near-miss to our democracy of what just played out.
In sifting thru video, I have seen not just the stupid things we all saw like the selfies and literally crapping on the floor. But people need to understand that there was also a harder, darker part...
Read 15 tweets
9 Jan
Some background to Twitter's reference to risk of further violence as one of reasons for suspension of Trump:
This is circulating among extremist accounts.
It made Trump's reversal of pledging "peaceful transition" in video to tweeting he wouldn't be in DC that date worrisome.
IE, preplanned Jan17 militia events mostly outside DC, but Jan20 noise is about retaliation in DC, martyrdom for the woman killed in Capitol, etc.
Trump breaking his pledge, and making it known he would Not be in the city, not taking part in peaceful transition, read significant
That is yet another reason why I don't have much empathy now for the tired "Let's just move on" narratives. Trump chose not to be part of a peaceful transition, and then doubled down yesterday, even AFTER the deaths and riot. That has all sorts of ripple effects.
Read 4 tweets
9 Jan
After all the jokes, my serious take:

By the numbers, no person in all of human history has shared a greater number of conspiracy theories with a greater number of people than Donald Trump did through social media.

This pipeline is now cut off, which is a "really big deal."
For our LikeWar book, I actually read every Trump tweet, going back to his first.

The sheer scale of not just the lies and insults in mindnumbing obviously, but he was also notable for just how many conspiracy theories he fed fire too long before presidency.
It hit topics from well known ones like his birtherism to other ones that are even more despicable now like aiding anti-vaxxers. Indeed, on that last one, my worry was that after Biden came in, he would pivot back to that theme, to stoke anger and bring attention back to himself
Read 17 tweets
8 Jan
Army Sec Ryan McCarthy: we weren't ready as "[we] had no wildest imagination that you could end up breaching the Capitol Grounds."

As both a nat sec specialist and an expect in imagining, let me call 100% BS on this.
-The threat of violence at the event was repeatedly warned about that very week,
-The intel chatter of the Capitol in specific was out in the open all the way down to them talking about specific access points,
-The scenario had happened at multiple other national parliaments and several state legislatures in the US,
Read 6 tweets
8 Jan
Some new data on how the false story that it was actually AntiFa (a lie which has been pushed by shameful people ranging from @mattgaetz to @brithume ) is performing online:
Overall, the antifa/"setup" lie in its various forms got ~615K total mentions just yesterday, as it had the most high profile superspreaders. The next best performing misinformation were Qnonsense themes it was all part of Trump's master plan and to “trust" him
Will be interesting to see how it evolves. I expect antifa lie to grow and be sticky longterm, as it aligns with widespread GOP leadership long pushing claims of "left wing violence." That it was actually right wing is too much cognitive dissonance. Q part Trump undermined tonite
Read 4 tweets
8 Jan
While 100% support dropping him, as a writer, I do feel that editors at S&S missed a real creative chance to make Hawley’s life a living hell. “Has Fascism ever been defeated by literally years of ‘revise and resubmit’ notes? Let’s give it a try.”
“Yeah, we’re sorry, we’ve just changed away from Chicago style, so you’ll have to redo all the endnote references. It’s mostly Jefferson Davis speeches anyway, but it does mean you’ll have to redo the index as well all over again.”
"There's about this chapter opening, where you compare yourself to Jesus on the cross. It doesn't have "it." I'm not sure what "it" is, but it just doesn't have it. Maybe try something else."
Read 7 tweets

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