By the numbers, no person in all of human history has shared a greater number of conspiracy theories with a greater number of people than Donald Trump did through social media.
This pipeline is now cut off, which is a "really big deal."
For our LikeWar book, I actually read every Trump tweet, going back to his first.
The sheer scale of not just the lies and insults in mindnumbing obviously, but he was also notable for just how many conspiracy theories he fed fire too long before presidency.
It hit topics from well known ones like his birtherism to other ones that are even more despicable now like aiding anti-vaxxers. Indeed, on that last one, my worry was that after Biden came in, he would pivot back to that theme, to stoke anger and bring attention back to himself
We argued in book that the path to making the internet less toxic are the superspreaders. IE, just like in public health, instead of trying to police everyone, focus on those key nodes that effect everyone.
Well, the largest superspreader of proven false conspiracy theories in human history is finally unable to operate in the same way.
Won't conspiracy theory continue though online?
Won't more extreme groups now cluster in smaller, tighter nets? etc. etc. Of course.
But in Clausewitzian terms, they face a whole new type of "friction."
Not just Trump's ban, but the larger policy shift to take into account not just rule-breaking but "impact" (IE, evaluating more its effect on people, which was already shifting in particular as part of CV-19 response) alters the playing field.
Everything in the system, from policies to overall algorithmic design was once tilted in the favor of toxic forces.
Imagine a foosball table game where it was tilted. Yes, the little soccer players could trying to stop each rush of the rolling ball, but overall didn't matter.
Over the past year, company policy change by policy change, that table has started to be righted, driven by outside pressure over elections,cv-19, mass killings and internal employee revolts. Is it long after it could and should of been? Absolutely.
And that's why you see the anger at the firms still, because we know a lot could have been avoided. For me, the crystalizing moment was being told years back they couldn't take the steps on far right extremism that they'd already taken on Islamic extremism. Then...
Then only after several more mass killings, what they said was technically and legally impossible, suddenly was possible.
As another writer put it (I think @cwarzel ), its been a bit of "CalvinBall" from Calvin and Hobbes, where they claim there are rules, but also make them up as they go. That's another key source of the anger at the firms among both analysts and the public on this.
But in their defense, that is also understandable. It was a changing (business, technology, and battle) field but making these kind of decisions is not what much of the people in tech firms planned on. They want to build, not police.
So where are we now? Now, they've finally come to the realization that they have a whole new set of responsibilities. I do think, after years of dodging it, they get they are running not just a communications and commerce space, but also a conflict space.
And in that conflict space, by far the most toxic actor just got moved off the board. Again, by the raw numbers, Trump is not just a key node, but literal center of multiple universes of conspiracy theory. And, new policies make it harder for another like him to have same effect
So the events of last few days are going to reverberate well beyond Trump's account or just one topic...
And with that, I should have a coffee to start my day and then tweet rather than vice versa
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This message is 100% worth your watch and share, not just on Twitter, but Facebook etc
A message from a Republican leader and an iconic figure in our culture, who gets it, and maybe might pierce thru the fever dream too many fell into.
That is, please also share it with those co-workers, friends and family who don't realize the stakes of what is going on, and the near-miss to our democracy of what just played out.
In sifting thru video, I have seen not just the stupid things we all saw like the selfies and literally crapping on the floor. But people need to understand that there was also a harder, darker part...
Some background to Twitter's reference to risk of further violence as one of reasons for suspension of Trump:
This is circulating among extremist accounts.
It made Trump's reversal of pledging "peaceful transition" in video to tweeting he wouldn't be in DC that date worrisome.
IE, preplanned Jan17 militia events mostly outside DC, but Jan20 noise is about retaliation in DC, martyrdom for the woman killed in Capitol, etc.
Trump breaking his pledge, and making it known he would Not be in the city, not taking part in peaceful transition, read significant
That is yet another reason why I don't have much empathy now for the tired "Let's just move on" narratives. Trump chose not to be part of a peaceful transition, and then doubled down yesterday, even AFTER the deaths and riot. That has all sorts of ripple effects.
Army Sec Ryan McCarthy: we weren't ready as "[we] had no wildest imagination that you could end up breaching the Capitol Grounds."
As both a nat sec specialist and an expect in imagining, let me call 100% BS on this.
-The threat of violence at the event was repeatedly warned about that very week,
-The intel chatter of the Capitol in specific was out in the open all the way down to them talking about specific access points,
-The scenario had happened at multiple other national parliaments and several state legislatures in the US,
Some new data on how the false story that it was actually AntiFa (a lie which has been pushed by shameful people ranging from @mattgaetz to @brithume ) is performing online:
Overall, the antifa/"setup" lie in its various forms got ~615K total mentions just yesterday, as it had the most high profile superspreaders. The next best performing misinformation were Qnonsense themes it was all part of Trump's master plan and to “trust" him
Will be interesting to see how it evolves. I expect antifa lie to grow and be sticky longterm, as it aligns with widespread GOP leadership long pushing claims of "left wing violence." That it was actually right wing is too much cognitive dissonance. Q part Trump undermined tonite
While 100% support dropping him, as a writer, I do feel that editors at S&S missed a real creative chance to make Hawley’s life a living hell. “Has Fascism ever been defeated by literally years of ‘revise and resubmit’ notes? Let’s give it a try.”
“Yeah, we’re sorry, we’ve just changed away from Chicago style, so you’ll have to redo all the endnote references. It’s mostly Jefferson Davis speeches anyway, but it does mean you’ll have to redo the index as well all over again.”
"There's about this chapter opening, where you compare yourself to Jesus on the cross. It doesn't have "it." I'm not sure what "it" is, but it just doesn't have it. Maybe try something else."
Wherever you stood on the wiseness of the Iraq war, committing war crimes in it, in this case massacring 17 unarmed civilians, is not some kind of #bothsides issue.
Whether from a human rights perspective or just a cold desire to win the war, it was inarguably wrong + stupid
It is inarguable that US military repeatedly was angered by how contractor force and Blackwater in particular was undermining its COIN efforts brookings.edu/research/cant-…