Thread by @JakeSherman

Good mornign from the Capitol on one of the most consequential days for House Republicans in a while.

Here’s how we put it in @PunchbowlNews this AM:

Rs are booting Cheney bc she too frequently expresses outrage at the party’s direction and at Trump.

@PunchbowlNews There are Rs who agree w Cheney that the party has lost its moral compass & is dangerously adrift, but they’re too scared to say it publicly.

@PunchbowlNews Confronting these obvious problems head on doesn’t serve their short-term political interest (avoiding a Trump-backed primary) or long-term political interest (winning the House).

@PunchbowlNews So Cheney will lose today. She knows it, her operation knows it. They aren’t working at all to keep her leadership post.

@PunchbowlNews You may think it's a humiliating episode for Cheney -- and it is, to a degree. Cheney shocked House GOP insiders when she pushed Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R-Wash.) out of the leadership. Cheney then passed up a sure-fire bid for senator to stay in the rough-and-tumble House.

Here’s what is on Cheney’s mind:

→ Cheney expects today’s proceedings to go quickly. There will be little debate about her ouster, little back and forth about the merits of the dispute.

→ Cheney thinks Republicans are abandoning the rule of law and slipping into authoritarianism. She said this on the House floor Monday night. She’s watching Trump undermine the core tenets of democracy and is dismayed that Republicans are following him down this path.

→ She has drifted so far away from McCarthy and Scalise that her relationship with them is irreparable. She has choice words for McCarthy, who she believes is an irresponsible leader who rehabilitated Trump after Jan. 6, and is now coddling the former president.

Cheney is shocked by Rep. Elise Stefanik of New York, who was once considered an ideological compatriot to the Wyoming Republican. Expect Cheney to be much more public in her criticism of the leadership -- if that's at all possible.

→ At this point, Cheney plans to serve out the rest of her term, and she plans to run for re-election.

→ Most importantly, Cheney isn’t going to shut up. She’s going to continue to speak out against Trump and what the Republican Party has become.

This could be more damaging to the GOP. Now Cheney will owe McCarthy/ Scalise nothing.

You know what they say: Better to have someone pissing in the tent than out of the tent. Cheney is officially out.