Note about Tether's reserves from someone who knows this shit.
It could all be legit. There's no way knowing, because we don't know who the issuer of the commercial paper they're holding is. If it's IBM, that's as good as cash. If it's Binance, lol. Same goes for corporate bonds.
Same goes for "secures loans". Who is the recipient of these loans, and what are they secured by? If these are loans to FTX secured by crypto, again, lol.
Fiduciary deposits should in theory be legit, although it's weird; I guess it's it's a consequence of offshore banking.
One big issue that puts a big question mark on everything is what accounting policies were used? Stu mentions "our accounting policies" but there's no such thing. Either you're using standards like IFRS, or you're making stuff up.
And finally, what's the total value of the pie???
All in, as could have been expected, you can't really say anything about the real nature & value of those reserves, because details are lacking, but they never committed to provide any.
As I said before, they could dress windows up in any way they need to:

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More from @Tr0llyTr0llFace

10 May
Monaco owes its VIP status to one man. Not Prince Charles III who built the casino, or Prince Rainier III who brought Hollywood fame by marrying Grace Kelly, or Prince Albert II.
Monaco owes it all to Camille Blanc, the casino operator who made the Monte Carlo casino profitable.
Before Camille accepted the job, the casino of Monte Carlo was a joke. Days would go by without a single gambler coming in. It was a money pit.
Camille changed it all. He only accepted the job after Monaco agreed to pay him 90% of the casino's profits. NINETY F***ING PERCENT.
Still, once Camille did his magic, the remaining 10% was such a bonanza that it was enough for the monégasque government to stop collecting taxes from its citizens - a status Monaco still enjoys today.
How did Camille turn a nameless casino lost in the Alps into such a wonder?
Read 7 tweets
8 May
💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 💵 2,000,000,000 #Trollybucks (2,000,000,000 USD) minted at Trolly Treasury
🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨1,000,000,000 #Trollybucks transferred from Trolly Treasury to @basedkarbon Paid Group wallet
🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨1,000,000,000 #Trollybucks transferred from Trolly Treasury to @diaryrektman Degenerate Gambling wallet
Read 4 tweets
2 May
I know Tether and Bitcoin are hard to understand for people who haven't spent 10 years looking at fraud in the face. Here's a more down-to-earth explanation.
Imagine Bitcoin is houses in the desert. The promoter advertised the spot as the New New York, where all the hedge funds
and the banks and the really important people will want to be. A lot of people bought in, but the vision never became real - hedge funds and banks stayed in New York. Nonetheless, the price of the houses rose for some reason.
As the price rose, more people bought in, ignoring the
fact that the promoter's vision didn't materialise. Surely there are other reasons for why the price is going up, other very important corporations who will want to set camp there.
Seeing prices go up, the promoter built more houses. People snapped them up as well.
Read 15 tweets
2 May
It looks like the majority of crypto is OK now with USDTs being backed by crypto and not something tangible.
The emerging consensus is "USDTs are so well collateralised after the bull run that there's zero risk. And, if Bitcoin falls, they can always print and pump it back up."
The minority of insiders see the writing on the wall, and are playing along while frantically trying to cash out behind the scenes (example: Coinbase).
But the majority actually believe this nonsense, and are confidently displaying their utter lack of understanding of finance.
The price of crypto today isn't priced in USD, it's priced in USDT, because nobody's trying to cash out into the real world. It 's true that USDTs are overcollateralised today.
However, if more than a few people try to cash out in USD, crypto will start being priced in USD.
Read 11 tweets
18 Mar
Anyone who claims that Bitcoin can be a "global settlement layer" doesn't understand Bitcoin.
As is, Bitcoin can be "hacked" by someone who controls a lot of hashpower; by "hacked" I mean that person could cancel the transactions he wants, provided that they're not too old.
This is known as a "51% attack", and the principle is that you perform a big transaction (wire 10,000 BTC to an exchange, sell them & cash out), and use your own hashpower to build an alternative string of blocks, starting with the one containing the block with your transaction.
Once you've cashed out your transaction, you start propagating the blocks you've calculated in secret. If your string of blocks is longer than the string of blocks that has been produced organically by the network in the time it took you to cash out, your "hack" was successful.
Read 11 tweets
15 Mar
Chainalysis is doing a tremendous job in convincing everyone crypto isn't being used by criminals.
Their "less than 1% of crypto transactions are criminal" claim has been relayed thousands of times in the crypto & mainstream media.
Of course, this claim is weapons-grade bullshit.
First, their numbers are based on "proprietary methodology". You basically need to trust a company 100% focused on crypto that crypto is legit.
Second, when they say that "x% of transfers are criminal", what they actually mean is "we managed to flag x% of transfers as criminal".
Chainalysis doesn't say what total percentage of transfers they manage to classify. So if they flag 1% as criminal but only manage to classify 2% of all transfers, that's really, really bad.
As a point of reference, in 2019 they classified $20B of transfers as "criminal" - ...
Read 4 tweets

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