Kit Yates Profile picture
May 14, 2021 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
An update on vaccination in the UK.
Tl:DR - Vaccination rates are on the rise again.
2/3 of adult population have had a first dose, 1/3 a second dose.
Disparity in uptake still exists between most and least deprived areas.
1/9
Firstly, to the raw numbers.
The number of doses has picked up following the May Bank Holiday dip.
Still primarily second doses (orange) being given to keep pace with first doses (blue) 12 weeks earlier.
2/9
We have now given first doses to almost 2/3 of the adult population and second doses to over 1/3.
This is already having a tremendous impact with PHE suggesting they have saved over 12,000 lives in England alone.
reuters.com/world/uk/nearl…
3/9
Wales is surging ahead with first dose delivery (at 74.8%), but has been caught up by the other three nations (who seem to be moving in lockstep) for second dose delivery.
4/9
First dose rates in over 50s are all above 90% with people in their 40s (still being offered first doses) at 75%.
Vaccination was opened up this week to under 38-39 year-olds, so we should start to see more significant proportions of under 40s getting vaccinated.
5/9
In over 80s, second doses (90%) are now behind first doses from12 weeks ago (93%) indicating that a small proportion of people are not taking up their second dose.
6/9
Looking regionally for the over 80s, second dose coverage is lowest in London (as is first dose coverage).
Its also interesting to note that second dose uptake as a proportion of first dose uptake is short of 100% for all regions but lowest in London.
7/9
In previous weeks we have seen disparities in uptake by deprivation with the least deprived demographics having higher uptake than the most deprived.
A similar trend is true for people taking up a second dose as a proportion of those who had first dose.
8/9
Overall though, the vaccine programme is going really well and we are meeting Test 1:
"The vaccine deployment programme continues successfully."
ahead of the next stage of the Roadmap on Monday 17th.
9/9
As always, huge thanks to Bob Hawkins for his help with preparing the charts.

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More from @Kit_Yates_Maths

Oct 15
After hearing some underwhelming testimony last month at the #COVIDInquiry on the use of respirators, @trishgreenhalgh and I decided to write a rapid response to the @bmj_latest to set the record straight.
Here's what we wrote...
1/15
bmj.com/content/386/bm…
"Respirators outperform surgical masks; fit-testing is desirable but not essential"

Professor Susan Hopkins (UK Covid Inquiry, 18th September 2024) claimed that evidence for the superiority of respirators (which are made to an industry standard and designed to fit ...
2/15
closely around the face) over medical facemasks (which are not generally made to any quality standard and often fit loosely, leaving gaps around the sides) is “weak”.
She also claimed that respirators are of little use if they are not fit-tested.
3/15
bmj.com/content/386/bm…
Read 17 tweets
Jun 25
As the UK’s general election campaign enters its final few weeks, we’ve already seen numerous examples of dodgy declarations, substandard stats and graph gaffs.

So I thought I'd write about the importance of numeracy to the functioning of democracy.
🧵
We can expect to see more questionable claims in the run up to polling day.
The factor that all these all these missteps have in common is that they involve the manipulation or misrepresentation of numerical quantities.
One of the most hotly disputed figures of the campaign so far has been the Conservatives’ claim that Labour’s policies will, as Rishi Sunak put it, “amount to a £2,000 tax rise for everyone”. Labour have rebuffed this figure, arguing that...
theguardian.com/politics/artic…
Read 29 tweets
Jun 13
Politicians will get away with the things we forget, so here is a list of things to remember about the government's record on covid:
1. Over 230,000 died from covid in the UK.
2. They partied while we weren't allowed to see our loved ones. Thousands died alone.
...
3. They were too late taking action in spring 2020.
4. They delayed again in autumn of 2020.
5. They waited until they had no other choice in winter of 2020/2021.
6. They funnelled cash to their mates through the VIP lane.
7. PPE provided to our healthcare workers was inadequate.
8. They failed to heed the warnings in the pandemic planning exercises.
9. The promised a protective ring around care homes and instead sent infected patients to them from hospitals.
There are many more, these are just the most egregious.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 2
A water company released sewage into the stream that runs into the beach where we were holidaying. I didn’t like the idea of swimming in the sea after that, so I tried to sue to water company for spoiling our holiday. This is what happened…
1/21
First up, cards on the table, I am a keen outdoor swimmer. I swim with a group of friends most weeks in our local stretch of the Thames. Come rain or shine, winter or summer, there are usually at least two of our number bracing the river waters north of Oxford.
2/21
We do so cautiously, however, especially in winter when it has been raining heavily and it is almost guaranteed that sewage will have been pumped into the river a few miles upstream.
The giveaway as to whether there has been a discharge or not is the smell.
3/21
Read 21 tweets
Mar 14
It's π-day (3/14 in US date format) - the international day of mathematics.
But people often ask me why π is important. Why do we care about calculating more and more digits?
In short, "What is the point of π?"
Well, here is the answer...
1/
3.14159265358979323846264338327950288419716939937510...
The number of digits after the decimal place in pi extend off into the distance (these are the first 50).
Truncating π's decimal expansion after the second decimal place (3.14) is sufficient to specify the date of pi day.
With 11 digits of π we can calculate the circumference of the Earth from its radius with an error of just a mm.
With 38 digits we can compute the circumference of a circle encompassing the whole of the known Universe with an accuracy to within the radius of a hydrogen atom.
3/
Read 38 tweets
Feb 29
It's leap day - February 29th.

It's a special day - the rarest in our calendar.

But do you know why we have leap days at all and how often exactly they come around?

Read on to find out...
1/21
This exceptional day has been associated with weird and wonderful traditions over the years: from the wildly outdated notion that 29th of February is the only day when women can propose to men, to the Leaper Year festival held in Anthony, New Mexico.
2/21
vox.com/2016/2/29/1113…
As a rule of thumb, leap days come around every four years. But there are exceptions to this rule. For example, at the turn of every century we miss a leap year. Even though the year is divisible by four, we don’t add a leap day in the years that end in 00. But...
3/21
Read 23 tweets

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