In 2020, Republican congressman Lee Zeldin won re-election in #NY01 by almost 10% against Democrat Nancy Goroff.

Here's a map breaking down the margin of victory by precinct, as well as Zeldin & Goroff's performance by party line: Image
At the same time, in the presidential general election, Trump beat Biden in #NY01 by a little over 4%.

Once again, here's a map breaking down the margin of victory by precinct, as well as each candidate's performance by party line in the district: Image
#NY01, out on Long Island, is located entirely within Suffolk County.

The district will likely change quite substantially in redistricting, as state legislative Democrats can easily draw an additional Democratic-leaning seat on Long Island. Image
Finally, here are two maps showing an overall comparison between the congressional and presidential race in #NY01.

Of course, Biden did better than Goroff and Zeldin overperformed Trump district-wide. ImageImage
Facing the potential loss of his seat/combination with #NY02 after redistricting, Zeldin's opted to run for #NYGov in 2022 rather than run for re-election.

He's done quite well in his district -- but truly, he's got no shot at statewide office.

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More from @BenJ_Rosenblatt

19 May
In 2020, Republican congressman Andrew Garbarino won #NY02, succeeding Pete King, by almost 7% against Democratic candidate Jackie Gordon.

Here's a map breaking down the margin of victory by precinct, as well as Garbarino & Gordon's performances by party line: Image
At the same time, in the presidential general election, Trump beat Biden in #NY02 by just over 4%.

Once again, here's a map breaking down the margin of victory by precinct, as well as each candidate's performance by party line in the district: Image
#NY02, on Long Island, takes in parts of Nassau and Suffolk counties.

The district will likely change substantially in redistricting, as state legislative Democrats can easily draw an additional Democratic-leaning seat on Long Island. Image
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