Thread by @charles_gaba

Welp. I figured as much but the visual is pretty striking regardless...

RE NEW HAMPSHIRE: Something’s clearly not right with NH...several folks from there have stated that their data is messed up; they're doing very well but not THAT great.

I mean I find it difficult to believe that they jumped this much in the past day or two...

This graph is from WMUR yesterday...looks like the first & second dose numbers got swapped at some point by mistake?
wmur.com/article/new-ha…

Here's a revised version...I had forgotten to label Indiana in the first version, and I've added a caveat by NH noting that their data is pretty obviously way off.

NH only has 1.36 million residents, though, so correcting the error won't move the needle much.

📣 UPDATE: OK, I think I've found the correct New Hampshire data...it looks like they're actually at 50.3%, or right about even with Rhode Island, based on data from the NH Health Dept's #COVID19 dashboard:
acasignups.net/21/05/16/state…

If so, that puts the R^2 at 0.6404.

FINAL UPDATE: With this, NH drops a bit further yet to 45.5%, but that also makes the R^2 higher: 0.6503

https://twitter.com/bhrenton/status/1394115743449559041

Some folks have complained that the Y-axis starts at 30% as if I'm doing this to mask the true impact. I did it to save space, but here you go...0 - 60%. Doesn't really change anything but if it bugged you, here you go.

Also, some folks ask if this includes kids. Yes, as clearly stated on the color-coded graph, it includes 100% of the population.

Others *complain* because it includes kids since they can't get vaxxed yet. Yeah, I know, but the virus doesn't care about that, does it?

Apparently the CDC already includes DoD, IHS, federal prisons, etc. doses in the state totals, BTW.

I also don't list PR, GU, USVI, Am. Samoa, Micronesia, N. Mariana Isles, Marshall Isles or Palau listed since the point is to the 2020 POTUS election. Those are another ~2.75M.