📝 A GW38 THREAD

🍻 We made it, 38/38

🔎 GW37
📸 Snapshot
🍕 Takeaway

🔎 GW38
🎯 Fixture to Target
©️ Captaincy
🔮 Predictions
📉 Differentials
🔥 Hot Property
🗑️ Top Binned
🚌 Bus Team

A thread built to evoke some initial food for thought..

#FPLCommunity #FPL #GW38
📸 SNAPSHOT - TEAMS

Games: 10
Goals: 28
Clean Sheets: 4

Top xG:
1. WHU (3.40)
2. CHE (2.51)
3. LIV (1.98)

Worst xG:
20. SHU (0.54)
19. WOL (0.64)
18. EVE (0.88)

Most Shots:
1. WHU (21)
2. AVL, LIV (20)

Least Shots:
20. ARS (6)
19. LEI (7)

Big Chances:
1. WHU (5)
2. LIV (4)
📸 SNAPSHOT - PLAYERS

Most Points:
1. Robertson, Pepe (15)
2. Phillips (13)
3. Bamford (12)

Top xG:
1. Watkins (0.86)
2. Bamford (0.85)
3. Bergwijn (0.78)

Top xA:
1. Murphy (0.83)
2. Traore (0.67)
3. Robertson (0.56)

Most Big Chances Created:
J. Murphy (2)
🍕 GW37 TAKEAWAY

🍟 LEE still chomping at the bit, another impressive showing in a 2-0 win vs SOU

🍔 Another clean sheet for EVE. That's 5 in the last 8. WOL look hopeless

🌭 LIV comfortable winners with a comfortable 3-0 win vs BUR. Nat Phillips was great once again
🗒️ WELCOME TO GW38

🍻 The final gameweek of the season, we somehow made it!

⏰ Deadline:
Sunday 23rd May @ 2.30pm (UK)

⬇️ Current league table, top scorers and top assisters so far this season
🔎 PAST RESULTS

What happened when the teams met earlier in the season?

BHA 0-1 ARS
CHE 1-1 AVL
NEW 1-1 FUL
WBA 0-5 LEE
TOT 0-2 LEI
CRY 0-7 LIV
EVE 1-3 MCI
BUR 1-0 SHU
SOU 2-3 WHU
MUN 1-0 WOL

Goals: 30
Clean Sheets: 6

LIV & LEE 👀
🎯 FIXTURE TO TARGET
🔎 LIV vs CRY

LIV with a must win game against CRY in GW38, at home, in front of their fans. They have the potential to run riot, all be it against a CRY team who are improved of late.

If you already have 3x LIV then LEE vs WBA could also be one to target.
🎯 LIV vs CRY

LIV Since GW1:
66 goals - 4th
589 shots - 1st
209 on target - 1st
106 big chances - 1st

LIV since GW32:
13 Goals - 1st
116 Shots - 1st
17 Big Chances - 1st

CRY have conceded 64 goals this season (18th). In the last 5 GWs they've averaged 2 goals conceded per game
🎯 LIV vs CRY

🔺 LIV beat CRY 7-0 in the reverse fixture this season

🔺 Mane has scored in each of the last 7 games vs CRY

🔺 Salah also has 5 goals in the last 4 games vs CRY

🔺 LIV have won the last 7 vs CRY scoring 22 goals and conceding 5 times
©️ CAPTAINCY - SALAH

He's going for the golden boot award and up against a CRY defence that shipped 3 against ARS in GW37. 5 goals and 4 assists in the last 4 games against CRY. He'll be the most captained player in GW38 without doubt, he'll be my captain too!
©️ CAPTAINCY - BAMFORD

Despite a few shaky performances lately, Bamford bounced back with a 12 pointer against SOU in GW37. I expect Elland Road to be rocking against WBA this weekend with a comfortable win for LEE, so taking a punt on their centre forward seems a decent punt?
©️ CAPTAINCY - OTHERS

KANE: Impressive record vs LEI, going for the golden boot

MANE: Appealing fixture and a differential option to Salah

RAPHINHA: Up against a relegated WBA, think he could have some joy in this fixture

AGUERO: One for the romantics? But is he even fit? 👀
🔮 @FFH_HQ PREDICTED SCORING

1. Salah (8.54)
2. Mane (6.70)
3. Bamford (6.20)
4. TAA (5.97)
5. Firmino (5.46)
6. Robertson (5.32)
7. Vardy (5.31)
8. Raphinha (5.24
9. Antonio (5.04)
10. Harrison (4.98)

* Subject to change
🔮 PREDICTIONS

🔎 Clean Sheet %
1. LIV 56%
2. MCI 45%
3. CHE 45%
4. ARS 43%
5. LEE 40%
6. WHU 38%

🔎 Over 2.5 goals %
1. LIV 60%
2. LEE 43%
3. MCI 40%
4. CHE 38%
5. WHU 33%
5. ARS 31%

* Predictions from @drafthound
📉 DIFFERENTIAL CENTRAL

🥇 J. WILLOCK
Price: £4.7
TSB: 2.4%
Fixture: FUL (A)

🥈 RODRIGO
Price: £5.7
TSB: 2.5%
Fixture: WBA (H)

🥉 F. TORRES
Price: £7.0
TSB: 3.1%
Fixture: EVE (H)

🏅 R. FIRMINO
Price: £9.1
TSB: 4.6%
Fixture: CRY (H)
🏺 FRAGILE DEFENCES
🔎 GW32-GW37

Goals Conceded
1. WBA (14)
2. BUR, AVL, CRY (12)

Most Shots Conceded
1. WBA (123)
2. BUR, NEW (108)
3. AVL (105)

Big Chances Conceded
1. LIV (19)
2. NEW (17)
3. WBA, FUL (16)

SOU, FUL, WHU & WBA have not kept a CS in the last 5 GWs! 🥅

WBA 👀
🔳 J.WILLOCK

6 goals in the last 6 games he's in incredible form and will no doubt want to sign off in style when NEW visit FUL in GW38.

He's cheap (£4.8) and very lowly owned (2.3%), could he be the perfect differential that gives you an edge over mini league rivals in GW38?
🔥 HOT PROPERTY

Players most bought IN ahead of GW38 so far:

1. Bamford 81k
2. Salah 67k
3. TAA 50k
4. Dallas 46k
5. Harrison 45k
6. Willock 41k

Full round of press conferences scheduled for Friday. Hold back making early moves, I have a feeling there'll be a few surprises! 🤯
🗑️ TOP BINNED

Players most booted OUT ahead of GW38 so far:

1. Cancelo 109k
2. DCL 75k
3. Jota 72k
4. Gundogan 57k
5. Son 55k
6. Kane 48k

Those selling Kane must have a fair old set of plums on them, he loves that LEI fixture! 👀
🔴 'GUNNER' TAKE A PUNT?

ARS have won 4 of their last 4 games, they end the season against BHA who have no FWD and nothing to play for.

Auba, Pepe, Saka, Smith-Rowe could be worth a punt for any brave managers, but with Dunk back from suspension I'd be avoiding them.
🔎 GW38 MID PRICED FORWARDS

⚪ BAMFORD : WBA (H)
⚒️ ANTONIO: SOU (H)
🟣 WOOD: SHU (A)

🔎 SINCE GW34

GOALS
B: 2
A: 3 🥇
W: 2

XG
B: 1.66
A: 1.92
W: 2.24 🥇

ASSIST
B: 1 🥇
A: 0
W: 0

SHOTS
B: 6
A: 13 🥇
W: 10

POINTS
B: 23
A: 26 🥇
W: 16

XP
B: 6.20 🥇
A: 5.04
W: 4.70
💭 CONCLUSION

✅ Target LIV & LEE for their final fixtures against CRY & WBA

✅ Expect rotation!

✅ Take a punt if you have nothing to play for, have a bit of fun!

❌ Avoid MUN, Im assuming OGS will mass rotate vs WOL with Europa Final next week!
🚌 GW38 BUS TEAM

🔄 Likely FT: Bruno ➡️ Mane

🌍 OR: 6k

⏳ One final push! Lets GO!
🙌🏻 THANK YOU

Thanks to everyone who's taken time to read, like, share, engage with my threads this season. When I lost my account I was so close to knocking it on the head, but knowing how many interacted with it every week kept me here! So thank you!

Good Luck GW38! 🍀

CORF

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