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Yinka Chukwuemeka Ogunnubi Profile picture
@yinkanubi
May 25, 2021 • 7 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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KADUNA STATE

Total Revenue 2011 - N69.63 Billion
Total Revenue 2020 - N113.90 Billion
Percentage Increase - 64%

IGR 2011 - N9.78 Billion
IGR 2020 - N50.77 Billion
Percentage Increase - 419%

FAAC 2011 - N59.85 Bn
FAAC 2020 - N63.13 Bn
Percentage Increase - 5.5%
#StateOfStates
DEBT STOCK - KADUNA STATE

2011 - N63.02 Billion
2020 - N284.97 Billion
Percentage Increase - 352%

#StateOfStates
Debt Per Capita - Kaduna State

2011 - N8,872.77
2020 - N34,531.44
Percentage Increase - 289%

*2016 Population figures

#stateofstates
Debt to Revenue Kaduna State

2011 - 91%
2020 - 250%

Percentage Change 175%

#StateOfStates
Share of Total Revenue - Kaduna State

2011
- IGR: 16%
- FAAC: 86%

2020
- IGR: 45%
- FAAC: 55%

#StateOfStates
Kaduna State - IGR Breakdown (2018 - 2020)

MDA's - 44%
PAYE - 34%
Other Taxes - 20%
Road Tax - 1%
Direct Assessment - 1%

#StateOfStates
Kaduna State - Number of persons employed vs unemployed per sq km (2020)

- Employed: 30
- Unemployed - 24
- Not in Labor Force - 62
- Unemployment rate 44% (National Avg 33.3%)

#StateOfStates

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More from @yinkanubi

Yinka Chukwuemeka Ogunnubi Profile picture
Feb 5
If you missed the CBN Governor's interview on Arise TV, here is a summary.

On FX Backlogs

- We met $7 Billion in unpaid obligations
- We had reason to believe we needed to take a harder look at those obligations.
- Deloitte was contracted to do a forensic audit of what is valid or not. The results were startling
-- $2.4 Billion had issues
-- Not having valid import documents
-- Entities did not exist got allocations
-- Entities who asked for FX got more than they asked.
-- Entities that did not ask got allocations
- We wrote to the authorized dealer to explain. Sadly much has not been disputed.
- $2.3 Billion of the validly executed ones including Airlines have been cleared.
- What remains is $2.2 billion. We are confident we will address those. We have come to the end of the road.
- The Naira remains undervalued
- The Naira will stabilise.
On FX Liquidity

- CBN does not produce FX, it rather relies on what comes in.
- You need a mix of FX sources to have a adequate liquidity. FPI is one of them.
- A lot of FPIs are very interested in coming back to the Nigerian Market.
- They (FPIs) have taken a methodological interest in the direction the country is going.
- Recent move to have NNPC and other MDA to move their funding into the CBN is very positive and a confidence booster. Those outsiders see it as a giant step forward.
- The time for panic and cynicism is not now. We are in a time where the right decisions are being taken.
- Even the rating agencies are reacting positively to what is happening.
On Interventions.
- I have no illusions that interventions are necessary in our country. They help to channel resources to people however small.
- However, it is important to ensure that the framework is there to ensure it gets to those who really need it.
- The CBN will focus on it's core strength.
- We will be working closely with those whose core strength is in the intervention space.
- We cannot think and implement at the same time.
- We do not have the luxury of failed interventions.
Read 5 tweets
Yinka Chukwuemeka Ogunnubi Profile picture
Sep 22, 2023
4mths ago, I raised the alarm abt CBN defaulting on delivery of FX forwards. Some said it was a false alarm only for the CBN to admit in its June 16 circular to "prioritize orderly settlement of any commited forward". They started delivering alright but stopped at Jan'23 maturity
Image
Since then, they've not honoured their commitment to fulfill their obligations to deliver forwards with maturities from Feb 2023. Customers are still incurring million in trade charges for trade loans which have not been offset due to the non-delivery of the FX forwards by CBN.
From the CBN audited report and the JP Morgan report, we've an idea why CBN might be struggling to meet these obligations. Unfortunately, this has not been helpful because it damages the risk profile of NGN and makes access to trade finance more difficult for banks and importers.
Read 10 tweets
Yinka Chukwuemeka Ogunnubi Profile picture
Sep 17, 2023
Nice piece Bayo. I've read takes debating this issue and I've shared my own funny take as well. I don't think people are saying the quality of health care in NGN is better than the UK. It's not. I think what they're saying is that access to HC in Nigeria is faster than in the UK.
I personally have had two terrible experiences assessing health care in the UK (one my aunt and the other a friend). I was personally involved, so I know the story. Both experiences were traumatizing. In the second case, this person was in terrible pains and in great distress.
We called 999 and they asked us to contact the GP that it was not a life threatening situation. According to them if the person can still communicate, then it wasn't an emergency. It wasn't until they heard her death screams that they dispatched an ambulance two hours later.
Read 7 tweets
Yinka Chukwuemeka Ogunnubi Profile picture
Jun 3, 2023
"I'm ashamed & embarrassed about the laughing stock we've made ourselves & our Faith in the eyes of the world. This show of shame has become a subject of articles & media conversations that are condescending towards the church of Christ" - @VictorAdeyemi

m.facebook.com/story.php?stor…
"I want to plead with our ‘Prophets’ to admit their failures and apologize to the body of Christ and the nation. They should go further & learn to ‘keep quiet’ henceforth, except God clearly speaks to them. They shd admit to themselves that they were moved by the flesh towards...
...self aggrandizement and greed to tell lies in the name of the Lord as prophecies. If indeed they had supernatural experiences, they shod admit they were deceived by demons and go for deliverance. In the name of the Lord, I plead they shd stop embarrassing the body of Christ."
Read 7 tweets
Yinka Chukwuemeka Ogunnubi Profile picture
Apr 24, 2023
I was just informed of the death of a friend. His story is that of a man who slaved for his family, and kept giving even after a divorce forced him to be separated from his wife & kids. 3yrs ago he had a stroke which affected his mobility & earning capacity. Yet, he kept on going
He needed support round the clock and therapy too. But there was no family around to help. Sometimes in the evenings, I would sit with him to keep him company. He would agonize about his family and how even in his medical state, he his unable to have access to his children.
He was an unhappy man and this brought about bouts of anger that made people avoid conversations with him. But I understood him and I was one of a few that could calm him down. He was a lonely man who needed the love and warmth of his family at his most vulnerable time.
Read 5 tweets
Yinka Chukwuemeka Ogunnubi Profile picture
Mar 7, 2023
I feel the need to address a broadcast message that has been floating around WhatsApp about my daughter Tomisin Ogunnubi. The story has a lot of inaccuracies that needs to be corrected. The story conflates many facts and presents a picture that is completely inaccurate.

THREAD
First the claim.

The story in summary claims that Tomisin Ogunnubi, a 16-year-old Nigerian tech kid beat 49,000 competitors to win $1 billion from RISE initiative with her app.

1. Tomisin is not 16. She would be 20 in July. She won the RISE award in Oct 2021 at the age of 18.
2. Tomisin did create a tracking app as part of a school project when she was 12 which got her national & international acclaim. But it was not because of the app that she with 100 other teenagers globally won the RISE Award.

The process for the award..

Read 15 tweets

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