(New thread). A Facebook group of people who support a fugitive Belgian soldier is removed, reddit.com/r/belgium/comm……. But in Telegram, a new group has emerged with already 182 members. (1/...)
In this Telegram channel, people are appalled that Facebook removed their group. And they need moderators (2/...)
It's not the only Telegram channel. Another one has now 115 members. (3/...)
The original group in Facebook had 37000 members on May 23, 2021, 11:21:02 GMT, with an upcoming event (May 29) of "Hide and Seek" in the same park fugitive is said to be on the run earlier. (4/...)
It seems that the FB group is splintered into even more channels on Telegram, see screenshot. In the next tweet, a screenshot from one of these channels where someone claims to have the full text of a goodbye letter the fugitive send. (5/...)
The next goodbye note was quoted in the Belgian press in hln.be/binnenland/con… and appeared yesterday at 10.11 in the channel "Jurgen (last name, redacted) for president" in Telegram: (6/...)
Here is a machine translation of that letter (7/)
Meanwhile, in this cat and mouse game, other groups on Facebook created earlier than today are kept alone by Facebook. For now? It shows the problem of removing information from FB, it can take hours or days before something is spotted (8/)
I noticed that at least 20 Russian Telegram channels have a substantial number of postings about the case. Some of them translate the goodbye letter into Russian. I see different ways of spelling, " Юрген Конингс" and variations. (9/)
I can tell you a bit more about the deleted Facebook group that supports the fugitive. It got publicity, but it didn't have a lot of interactions. The next few tweets will explain why (11/)
The total public referrals to the group "Als 1 achter Jürgen" on Instagram and Twitter: 1004, mostly Twitter . (12/)
Top 8 of Tweets that referred to the group. They include some usual suspects. (13/)
Which groups referred to "Als 1 achter Jürgen" on Facebook? Here are all I could find, including some Dutch ones and Russian ones (14/)
When I study the impact of the postings in "Alles 1 achter Jürgen", I notice that the impact was bigger in Russia than in other countries. In the next tweet, I'll explain why. I only looked at which groups forwarded the message from the now-deleted group (15/)
By far, "Запретная археология" was the biggest group that referred to "Als 1 achter Jürgen" with 186,835 Members. The second group was also Russian, with 27,541 members (16/)
I also noticed it was quoted in УКРАЇНА 🇺🇦 - ЄВРОПЕЙСЬКИЙ with 22,792 Members and in anti-virus vaccination groups (17/..)
So what?

1. Biggest impact in other groups, quoting the group of the fugitive military person, was in Russian groups - not in Belgian groups what you normally would expect.

2. Dutch groups also joined the chorus

3. Some of the groups are anti-vaccine, anti-gov M(18/)
Some of the Russian groups portray the fugitive as a modern Robin Hood, quoting including the caps, "A BELGIAN SOLDIER DESERTS WITH HIS WEAPONS AND PROMISES TO ASSASSINATE TRAITORS AND TYRANTS" (19/)
Besides that, also "Chronicles from Occupied France" was quoting the Belgian fugitive, as an example of somebody who fights against authority and should be applauded (20/20)
Belgian newspaper @HLN_BE used this research thread for hln.be/binnenland/opv… , published 1.30 hrs ago. It explains partly the Russian interest (21/21)
For non Dutch speakers , you can download the Dutch news article about this thread also here and translate it yourself via Google Translate drive.google.com/file/d/1AOgzh3… (22/22)

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More from @henkvaness

19 May
A summary of what we found via #osint about Belgian manhunt for a soldier who threatened top virologist Ranst, bbc.com/news/world-eur…. He claims he is a sniper in his bio. (1/..) ImageImage
How do you find a bio like that? His LinkedIn profile can be thoroughly scrutinized by adding /detail/recent-activity/documents/ to the URL of any person. You can see if the person uploaded documents to LinkedIn, which the guy did. (2/...)
In that bio, he reveals his war background: he claims to have fought in ex-Yugoslavia, Bosnia, Kosovo, Libanon, and Afghanistan (3/...) Image
Read 29 tweets
25 Apr
I hope you liked the quiz . By now, you understand that I don’t rule out Disney is behind this and not just a fan.
So my public question @valeriephoebe45 is: do you work for Disney or did you ever work for Disney or have friends or family who work for Disney ?
Read 6 tweets
25 Apr
Here is a little test, inspired by last few tweets. Is this fake or not? #osint #quiz
The point of this exercise was not to quote @variety , but put the nr 4241 of the billboard in a database , Nice work @sutbrod. Intriguing question: who paid for his? The studio? Real fans?
So my #osint question is: who started the fire? From which country is the fan behind this? It’s not US (3/3)
Read 6 tweets
25 Apr
What may appear to be an image of Tacoma, US, it is, in fact, a simulated one. Welcome to the brand new world of deepfake satellite images. washington.edu/news/2021/04/2…
“This isn’t just Photoshopping things. It’s making data look uncannily realistic,” said Bo Zhao, assistant professor of geography at the UW and lead author of the study (2/...)
This simplified illustration shows how a simulated satellite image (right) can be generated by putting a base map (City A) into a deepfake satellite image model. This model is created by distinguish a group of base map and satellite image pairs from a second city (City B). (3/..)
Read 13 tweets
23 Apr
Do you have a company? Did you visit businessinsider.com ? Cool! This is what they did: (1/3) Image
Linking a Chamber of Commerce number to an IP address? Wow. Maybe they automatically put your IP into tools like domaintools.com, and if they see a company, they cross-reference that with the chamber of commerce database (2/3)
Anyway, if you do this sneaky spying on corporate users, you probably shouldn't brag about this. I found the information on the Dutch version: businessinsider.nl/adverteren-bij… (3/3)
Read 4 tweets
12 Apr
Here is a nice verification exercise. @DrIsaPantami
the Nigerian communication minister is reported to be on a US watchlist and is trending in Nigeria. Is this a rumor or truth? Start with this article: niyitabiti.net/2021/04/us-pla…
Explain why you think this is correct or not (2/..)
Try to work two ways: can you find the original source (patient zero) who said it first? And can you find stuff from US gov that supports the claim? (3/3)
Read 18 tweets

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