Thread by @ChrisMasterjohn

@krosenque @ZKForTre @Jbpoiuytrewq A quick search turns up this Finnish study saying that 1.95 children under 15 get myocarditis every 100,000 person-years. That suggests that ~900,000 children under 15 have been vaccinated in Connecticut. Let me check.

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…

@krosenque @ZKForTre @Jbpoiuytrewq Holy shit! Connecticut only started vaccinated children under 15 2 weeks ago.

google.com/amp/s/www.nbcc…

@krosenque @ZKForTre @Jbpoiuytrewq I can’t find the number vaccinated in the 12-15 year old range. For example this page breaks it down by age but only goes down to 16 years old.

usafacts.org/visualizations…

@krosenque @ZKForTre @Jbpoiuytrewq However, if we would expect 2 cases of myocarditis per 100,000 person years and 18 cases showed up in Connecticut within 2 weeks, then they need to have vaccinated about 2.5 million children of that age for the numbers to be similar to what we’d expect.

@krosenque @ZKForTre @Jbpoiuytrewq It’s clearly wildly different from what we would expect, because CT has only fully vaccinated 1.8 million and given only 2.2 million at least one dose, and very few of those are children under 15.

@krosenque @ZKForTre @Jbpoiuytrewq I reread the article again and it’s unclear if all the “teens and young adults” are 12-15 or if this includes 16-24. It just references having just started vaccinating 12-15 year olds. Still, I find it hard to reconcile these numbers to “the rate we would expect.”