Maybe the most important thing for patriotic Americans who love democracy to understand right now is that the Big Lie didn't come to fruition on January 6, January 6 is merely its birthday. The Big Lie is *expanding* and becoming *more* pernicious and a greater threat to America.
A congressional January 6 probe will be far *more* effective if it's run by the House under rules set by Democrats. The only reason an effort was made for a bipartisan/bicameral Commission was to try to stop the spread of the Big Lie through Congress. That effort will fail today.
If there'd been a bipartisan/bicameral Commission, Kevin McCarthy would have had no political leg to stand on in waging the fight against his subpoena that he plans to wage, which could last for over a year—critically, beyond 2022. This way, he can fight a subpoena and be a hero.
McConnell has a sense of what the testimony is that Kevin McCarthy would give against Donald Trump, and that testimony would be historically inculpatory. The same goes for the testimony of other witnesses. McConnell and McCarthy need to try to discredit that testimony in advance.
So people should stop wondering why the GOP is going to block a Commission that's a great deal for them later on today. The reason is that they need to be able to discredit to their base and America any evidence that comes out of the House. Because that evidence will be very bad.
But it's even more perverse than this. The GOP will use any House commission—even it if it includes *many* House Republicans—as a political talking point in the runup to the 2022 midterms. So it's not just that they oppose an investigation, it's that *they* plan to politicize it.
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Did you know that Trump tweeted out a video with the image below in it just 24 hours after telling his followers to come to DC for a "wild protest" at the Capitol?
This is a Guy Fawkes mask. Fawkes was a terrorist who sought to kill every member of Britain's version of Congress.
Even creepier: Fawkes planned to launch his terrorist attack beneath Britain's equivalent of the Capitol. Oath Keepers linked to Trump's best friend Roger Stone—including some Trump let into his 1/6 VIP area—planned to "gas" Congress to death in "the tunnels beneath the Capitol."
(MORE) This isn't 2 + 2 = 113. This is the former President of the United States spreading Guy Fawkes propaganda just 2.5 weeks before individuals close to his inner circle tried to carry out a Guy Fawkes-style terrorist attack.
Just discovered that the email forwarding from my website's contact form stopped working January 21. I assumed—I don't know why—people had just stopped using the form. Nope. I just read scores of messages from the last 4+ months. Apologies; it's fixed now. sethabramson.net/contact
(PS) And yes, I'm embarrassed. Especially as I received some incredible messages: scoops, invitations, requests, messages from surprising people. I'm just not the sort of person who assumes people want to write to me, so when the messages stopped in January, I thought, "Oh well!"
(PS2) I always tell folks in AMAs that I'm very good at a small number of things and have little common sense otherwise. I guess this would be Exhibit #1. All emails from my website stop and I assume it's that people stopped using the website...which in retrospect makes no sense.
When I wrote about FL yesterday, a few states hadn't reported their COVID-19 data for the day yet. As you can see, FL had the most cases and most deaths, but by a slightly smaller margin. Per capita—over the whole pandemic—Florida is average in deaths, and below-average in cases.
(PS) The current status of the death toll in FL is a plateau. The plateau is higher than the April-July 2020 plateau, and equivalent to the October-November 2020 "lull" between Florida's two peak COVID-19-death periods. There's literally *nothing* for DeSantis to brag about here.
(PS2) To clarify, as I realize the term "below-average" in my first post could be confusing, I mean that the government of Florida—run by Trump ally Ron DeSantis—has done a "below-average job" of preventing the spread of the virus in the state since the pandemic began in 2020.
I hope @Sen_JoeManchin understands how preposterous it is to say that our government will be destroyed if we return to a time when the filibuster is almost never used or, failing that, when the party filibustering has to hold the floor.
(PS) Where I know I deviate from many readers here is that I generally think @Sen_JoeManchin is a man of principle. I think his position on the filibuster is deeply misguided, naive, ill-considered, and destructive, but I do not buy into the idea that he loves attention or power.
(PS2) I think Joe believes he's taking the responsible route, and doesn't fully realize his "stand" has devolved into an exercise in folly and vanity—a sort of performative white-knighting where what he's trying to protect is a principle his enemies long ago burned to the ground.
(🔓) PROOF UNLOCKED: Again I court controversy with this article series, listing what I think are the best Android games—and setting ground rules for such lists that many may dispute—but subscribers can take me on in the comments! So, without further ado: sethabramson.substack.com/p/proof-recomm…
Hours media will spend today discussing a tragic shooting in San Jose that is identical—as a news story—to another such shooting we'll see tomorrow and the day after that and the day after that: 3
Hours media has EVER spent on the January 5 Trump International war council: 0
😡
(🔓) PROOF UNLOCKED: As a journalism professor, I've lectured at the university level on how "newsworthiness" is determined. US workplace shootings—almost without exception—fail the 10-step test. A PROOF lecture on the topic is now available to the public: sethabramson.substack.com/p/lecture-seri…
(MORE) The U.S. is a country of 332 million that has one mass shooting per day. Media spends 3+ hours on scores of such shootings annually, *instead* of doing new investigative reporting. This shooting is tragic and is news in Santa Clara County, CA. It's not newsworthy in Maine.