$SHVA.TA 1Q21 result for a Covid restrictions TL;DR: EMV POS recurring revs generate strong Rev growth in spite of a slight decrease in transaction numbers (q/q), Despite continued investments, profit surges. Now, what happens with a fully functioning economy? ...1
Q Card Debit actions ⬇️ by 1M (396/397), ATM 25,767/26,569). However, the transition to higher monthly priced EMV POS generated Q 26,547KNIS (21,188) ⬆️ 25%.
Op expenses 14,928 (12,461) ⬆️ 19.7% on personnel employed to execute strategic plan + some professional services ...2
Operating profit (what really matters here) 11,619 (8,727) ⬆️ 33% in spite of reinvestments. (43% of Revs).
What does it mean? Well, $SHVA.TA never stops working as the most important merchants transactions infra. POS upgrade not done yet, expect more lift. ...3
The Israeli economy is open, and on the 1st of June, all restrictions are off. Businesses seem to be booming on a sort of revenge consumption which should continue barring unexpected COVID variant emerging. ...4
The big cash pile - 152,819 KNIS (124,706) Cash and securities despite that last Dividend.
Some action happening below the Op. profit line that is coming from the huge pile of cash + other one-time stuff, this time to our favor - net income 10,215/2,018.
...5
Moving forward, we expect continued uplift from POSs transition plus a display of what a fully operating economy looks like (transaction-wise, with fully functioning tourism, entertainment, and hospitality). ...6
In the background the resolution of the $SHVA.TA #MASAB issue is progressing well, and we will have a new CEO which we suspect is a very good fit for the tasks at hand.
The stock went ~7% ⬆️ on a 1$ USD today in appreciation of these fantastic results.
May 2021 Apple Pay iOS launched with strong acceptance and usage.
Online Transactions are increasing.
Domestic Tourism (Covid-19 days) provides a backwind.
Change in leadership is going well (we are excited by what our Scuttlebutt finds).
Transactions: 870 (757) ⬆️ ~15%
ATM: 54,653 (49,532) ⬆️ ~10%
Stay tuned as I am about to tell you of an incredible up-and-coming Marketplace in North America no one noticed. It's a highly profitable innovative unit econ growing microcap tackling a massive opportunity. I think it's a double short-term and 10Bagger material.
1. Powerband Solutions ($PBX.V) is an under-the-radar, Second-hand US Car marketplace platform Canada traded microcap already on its way offering a conservative 100% upside in 2 years for smart investors paying attention.
2. The business seems to have just passed its inflection point with what seems like a viral hockey stick like revenue, adoption patterns (Revs up 31% m/m Y2D above 10M CAD July 2021 at Gross margin of ~52%) with the platform closing fast on Breakeven and funding from Ops CFs.
$EFCN.TA is a tiny Israeli high ROI capital allocation story, vast TAM, Global #fintech monster in the making, led by a capable, shareholder-friendly, first-class Owner Operator team offering potential 26% - 30% returns pa for investors.
1 The alternate Financing business is an interesting sector at least in Israel. Structural, Policy, Business, and Historical reasons make businesses here very interesting. Briefly, these guys have first cut of the best short term credit needs of successful entrepreneurs needing>
quick response time and ingenuity to fund short-term credit needs until the Banks can step in. They fund Ultra High Return projects with service the Banks cant respond to in time and charge for it well.
1) TL:DR: Extremely early days. The budding 3P marketplace is growing like weed > 80%. Management understands the opportunity and, more importantly, what needs to be done to make it. The selloff was a great entry opportunity for those who paid attention.
2) 3P marketplace growth >80% is a very strong performance, doubling the market growth rates. What is even more important at this stage is to answer the question, does management understand the opportunity and can be trusted in its capital allocation. With a high-quality business
3) Such as a Marketplace, the true value of the asset will reveal itself further down the line, making the residual the true source of valuation but only IF management can allocate capital into opportunities that will generate future growth.