1/ Thread (and it's a big'un!):

Issues with Psychotherapy Research

It is 2021 and virtually none of following major issues have been largely addressed, which severely undermines the practical value of the research.
2/ As a psychiatrist, I am trained in both pharmacotherapy and psychotherapy. I care deeply about evidence in both areas and am a strong proponent of "as many useful tools as I can have to help my patients."
3/ I support, <3, and provide psychotherapy. This is NOT a debunking of it, nor would I dissuade a single soul from taking it or providing it. For children and adolescents, psychotherapy is essential and should be considered first line in most situations.
4/ However, psychology research needs considerable upgrading. Let's review. I've only selected this GIF because of the cartoon of knuckles cracking. I promise, I have the kindest of expressions right now...
5/ ISSUE 1:
Wait list / "Treatment as usual" controls.

It has been demonstrated over and over, that if you choose to compare your psychotherapy to either of these control groups, you will amplify the apparent effectiveness of this therapy.
6/ ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…

Zhu et al showed that placebos outperform waitlists, and provide benefit, such that the ES of CBT ("1.2") is HALVED by comparing it to psychological placebo, & even in those studies there is major risk of bias. image from article supporting this concept
7/ Cuijpers et al found when adjusting for waitlist, the effect size of ALL psychotherapies for adult depression dropped by 19% for simply removing adjusting for wait-list controlled studies. (more on this paper later)

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P… data represented showing the average change in effectiveness
8/ What are we talking about here?

Let's study a therapy: "Purple hat therapy." It's a new form of therapy, except we wear a purple hat!

So we'll design the study comparing people on a waitlist to people doing PHT.

Wow! Effect size 1.8?!?!

Our results are great!
#PHTWORKS Theoretical table showing purple hat therapy is like, way wa
9/ Of course, you and I both know that wearing a purple hat likely does not influence therapy much, aside from patients who very much prefer purple hats.

Let's compare it to therapy WITHOUT purple hats!

Uhoh! Effect size 0.13 (negligible)
Maybe #PHTDOESNTDOMUCH Theoretical table showing purple hat therapy faring much wor
10/ Waitlist controls absolutely DOMINATE psychotherapeutic Therapeutic Trials, along with the nebulously coined "Treatment as usual". This is basic interventional science: you need to control for as much as you can, this is why ACTIVE PLACEBOS are SO IMPORTANT in med studies.
11/ At this point, it has to almost be assumed as intentional. It has been well documented in many many many studies that head to head with other treatments, most psychotherapies perform similarly. That is, most of what makes therapy work is NOT what is unique about the therapy.
12/ Issue 2: Not acknowledging Side Effects

Imagine a drug study showing that my new patented drug Tylernol (intentional! Sorry!) worked for depression. And my whole research report contained ZERO mention of side effects.

How would you feel?

Welcome to psychotherapy research!
13/ The side effects of psychotherapy are SIGNIFICANT.
Moritz et al sent questionnaires to 135 people receiving various psychotherapies for depression.

52.6% reported at least one adverse event.

link.springer.com/article/10.100…
14/ These events comprised of malpractice (27%), unwanted side effects (38.5%), and unethical conduct (8.1%).
15/ In my realm, kids and suicide, one study showed:

88 kids
MED-FREE therapy for depression
8 (9%) new suicidality in the first 3 weeks
11 (12.5%) within 12 weeks

ajp.psychiatryonline.org/doi/full/10.11…
16/ It is SLOWLY getting better yet still in the year of a deity 2021, it's about 16:1 that a medication trial mentions side effects vs. a psychotherapy trial.
17/ ISSUE 3: RESEARCHER BIAS

Also known as "allegiance" bias, this is the bias of the researcher themselves having special belief or skill at the thing they are studying, so the results are not because of the thing but because of this bias.
18/ Everyone can quickly spot this one:

If PharmaCorp believes in, funds, develops, and markets a drug called Pharmatolol, and funds, publishes a study showing it works, what's the first thing a critic would say?

CONFLICT OF INTEREST! PharmaCorp really wants this to work.
19/ Dragioti et al found this. Though there is high risk of bias in the studies that look at it (irony), the factors:
* developing the therapy
* researcher trained the therapists
* all forms EXCEPT CBT showed this

link.springer.com/article/10.118…
20/ And yet, embarrassingly, in psychotherapy trials, the same team found that 3.2% of researchers declared their allegiance. THREE POINT TWO. Imagine if 3.2% of med trial authors declared their conflicts of interest.

bmjopen.bmj.com/content/5/6/e0…
21/ There are many other sources of conflict of interest and bias, and in medication trials there are systematic ways to look for them.

Back to the Cuijpers article, when ALL controls and bias was adjusted, the effect size of psychotherapies?

DOWN 51% Table showing that for all studies, the change in effect siz
22/ When we control for the placebo measure and the risks of bias, the effect size for psychotherapies ranges from 0.2 (negligibly small) to 0.35 (mild).
23/ Re: Publication bias, Cristea et al showed the effect size of psychotherapies for borderline personality disorder fell from a small g=0.35 to a TEENY g=0.2 (0.2 is the "sig cutoff" bleh)

jamanetwork.com/journals/jamap… quote from article stating that studies that scored low on b
24/ I truly believe the next generation of psychological researchers are going to acknowledge this reckoning, and I have faith that the scientific process will bear its fruit. However, without addressing major issues, psychological treatments are constantly oversold.
25/ The reckoning occurred in pharmacotherapy, and even then we are still dealing with the ramifications of it, but at least it's spotted and identified in most research. Psychotherapy needs to play catchup here.
26/ Notes:

1) there are MANY other issues with research in this field, from the selection of scales vs patient-centered questions/meanings, replication, representative diversity in patient groups, and lack of economic testing, just to name a few.

THIS IS NOT EXHAUSTIVE.
27/ 2) this is NOT meds vs psychology.

As a @Royal_College Psychiatry and Child Psychiatry trainee, I am both trained in pharmacotherapy and psychotherapy, and I firmly believe evidence supports the use of both for our patients.
28/ What this is is a calling out of the inflation of psychotherapy's "evidence" due to poor research design and bias.
29/ 3) I have ZERO interest in psychology vs. psychiatry. I love my psychology colleagues and work alongside them as colleagues with different expertises and rely on psychological expertise HEAVILY. I absolutely respect and consult psychologists regularly.
30/ 4) Similarly, I don't care about brand x vs brand y of therapy. Y'all look like this to me.
31/ I firmly believe that:
* the relationship between the patient and the therapist, and a host of NONSPECIFIC factors, make up the majority of psychotherapy value, but it has huge value!
* the guild wars within brand of therapy do not put the patient first and are embarrassing
32/ Sorry? for the length. As always, I try to do my best to compress single ideas to single tweets, which leads to communication condensing. There may be unintentional errors do to this.

Conclusion:
I love science and I desperately want the science of psychotherapy to be better

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More from @tylerblack32

31 May
Just in pre-print and quite rough, this study looks at 🇨🇦kids & tries to find an association between (in person, hybrid, and online class) & mental health difficulties.

It finds none.

601 kids surveyed.
23.5% online (ON, AB, NB)
35% in person (BC, maritimes)
41% hybrid (var.)
Very difficult for me to assess the quality of this study - it's not long and if I were a reviewer I would want to see more descriptive statistics.

/2
It is consistent with other studies of kids during the pandemic, however, and there is growing evidence that kids' stress is related to the pandemic writ large, and not largely "are they in school or not.".

/3
Read 4 tweets
30 May
Great paper out of Ontario - showing a number of things.

* Drug overdoses went up significantly during the pandemic period

* Fentanyl overdoses went up very significantly (76% detected in deaths prior to the pandemic, 86% after)

/1
* the drug overdose increase was much worse for men than women

* it affected rural areas and urban centers alike

* improvements in drug overdose deaths in 2019 disappeared completely

/2
Though I'm really not a fan of the younger age grouping (15-34) because it will be misintrepreted. I am quite certain that the rates of 15-19 year olds are 1-3% of the 20-34 group, and this subset should have been removed/isolated.
/3
Read 5 tweets
28 May
1/ Report analysis:
Adolescent Boys vs Girls during the Pandemic

A new article is out comparing Suicide Attempt frequency (12-18y) in Catalonia during the pandemic.

It's a succinct article that presents data from the population-level registry that was in place prior to COVID. Image
2/ Unfortunately (I really wish they would not do this), it only compares one pre-pandemic year to 2020-21, but this is also a very interesting study because, famously, Catalonia had a devastating early first wave, significant lockdown, then reopening of schools. Image
3/ What did they do?

They used the CSRC (a database of suicide attempts estbalished in a suicide prevention effort) to look at # of attempts in the year prior to, and the first year of, the pandemic.
Read 21 tweets
27 May
This brandism in psychotherapy twitter is awful. If you spend time tweeting that "x isn't real therapy" you are the problem.

Therapy is when a form of communication is used by a mental health professional to the betterment and improvement of quality or understanding of life.
There are people who due to neurodiversity, disability, history, or even preference who may prefer therapy via one modality over another.

Get over your effing selves and help your patients.
I've seen "short term isn't real therapy", "texting isn't real therapy", and "CBT isn't real therapy" in the past 3 days and they are coming from the same snooty mindset that gutted certain psychotherapies in the 70s.

Stop believing in your brand and learn multiple modalities.
Read 4 tweets
23 May
A lot of people found out that I block them very easily and quickly?

I block:
1) disrespect
2) anti-science, anti-psychiatry (not criticism, anti. Did a whole article on it.)
3) racism/bigotry/misogyny/transphobia/homophobia/ableism
4) shaming patients
5) my discretion

/1
I will quickly click on someone's timeline and read maybe 10 maybe 20 tweets. It's pretty obvious who they are by that point.

I even discuss the nuances of lived experience, blocking, etc, here: tylerblack.com/twitter

/2
I love debate, I love criticism. I myself criticize psychiatry a lot and beleive that criticism has proven to be necessary to good change in my field, medicine as a whole, and life.

But I'm also a 36-year online veteran. I can tell when you're there to pick fights/troll. /3
Read 4 tweets
23 May
Here, Nate, with his tremendous reach and followers, makes the common stigmatizing mistake of associating suicides with mental health. Many people with mental health problems don't die by suicide (99% plus!). Many people who die by suicide did not have MH problems (~50%)
/1
I missed due to an awful type of study called the psychological autopsy has established this untrue "fact" that most suicides are due to Mental Health problems.

As a suicideologist I can confidently say that this is a stigmatizing, narrow, and extremely evidence-free position./2
People in good mental health can die by suicide, and people with poor mental health can lead rich and amazing lives free of suicidality.

Please stop making this mistake, Nate, and anyone else who is reading this.
Read 5 tweets

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