@JuliusRuechel I agree. Each wave displays characteristics of a normal distribution, not an exponential one, as TV doctors with zero data analysis experience like to say. When viruses display normal dist characteristics, this indicates seasonality. I think that initially politicians... 1/x
@JuliusRuechel ...listened to fear mongering advisors (like Neil Ferguson out of Imperial College in London) and bought into the "sky is falling" modelling that he was doing. Like before for H1N1 and SARS, he was horribly wrong. Once committed, politicians were all in and couldn't back... 2/x
@JuliusRuechel ...out of their chosen way forward. Very clearly they didn't have good advisors in regards to sound risk management principles, which call for determining both the odds of an event occurring and the IMPACT if said event occurs. As you stated, it was clear back in March... 3/x
@JuliusRuechel .. of 2020 that the data coming out of Europe showed that those with comorbidities were the ones truly being negatively impacted by COVID and not the rest of us healthy folks. It correlates that those with comorbidities are typically the elderly (minor correction to your... 4/x
@JuliusRuechel ... statement). Sound risk management principles would then lead to taking mitigating actions to reduce the risk to the elderly and letting the rest of us live our lives. This corresponds to your hypothesis that we would have achieved herd immunity much earlier & reduced... 5/x
@JuliusRuechel ... the length of time COVID has impacted us, plus most likely saved lives. It's been a very frustrating year for someone like me seeing how politicians only listened to the loudest fear mongering folks vice taking advice from people with different points of view.
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