Today's vaccine update for Alberta:

-Everyone: 54.5% have at least one dose and 9.1% have two
-Age 12+: 64% and 10.7%
-Age 20+: 65.2% and 11.7%

Stage 2 target: 60% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses (achieved!)

Stage 3 target: 70% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses Image
Looking forward, Alberta will remove all provincial public health restrictions two weeks after 70% of those age 12+ have at least one dose.

At its current pace, that share is reached on June 8 so (if that pace holds) full re-opening occurs on June 22. Image
Where will Alberta be in terms of fully vaccinated? Or the 75/20 goal? Here's a rough guide based on when we'd have enough doses for different shares:

- 75% of age 12+ w/ 1+ dose and 20% w/ 2: June 21
- And 30% w/ 2 doses: July 1 Image
The Premier also references `70% pop. protection`, here's a measure of that. First, this is different than doses or 12+ shares. One dose is less effective than two, effects lag and are uncertain, and total pop matters. Roughly, current "coverage" is ~19-36%. Image
And to whoever changed the age group name from 'All age years' to 'ALL years' ... 😡

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More from @trevortombe

4 Jun
Today's vaccine update for Alberta:

-Everyone: 55.6% have at least one dose and 10.4% have two
-Age 12+: 65.3% and 12.2%
-Age 20+: 66.4% and 13.4%

Stage 2 target: 60% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses (achieved!)

Stage 3 target: 70% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses Image
Looking forward, Alberta will remove all provincial public health restrictions two weeks after 70% of those age 12+ have at least one dose.

At its current pace, that share is reached on June 9 so (if that pace holds) full re-opening occurs on June 23. Image
Where will Alberta be in terms of fully vaccinated? Or the 75/20 goal? Here's a rough guide based on when we'd have enough doses for different shares:

- 75% of age 12+ w/ 1+ dose and 20% w/ 2: June 19
- And 30% w/ 2 doses: June 28 Image
Read 4 tweets
3 Jun
Today's COVID vaccine update:

- Shots reported today: 411,460
- Total shots: 24,933,524
- Age 12+ w/ a Shot: 67.9%
- Age 18+ w/ a Shot: 71.3% (est)
- Shots per 100 people: 65.6
- Inventory: 8.7 days

More: trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/ Image
Detailed data on vaccination rates by age comes with a long lag. I construct my own estimates. Here's the latest:

- Those 60+: 88.9% have at least one dose and 12.3% have two
- 18-59: it's 63.6% and 6.3%
- Adults: 71.3% and 8.1% Image
In total, Canada is now up to 24.9 million shots given -- which is 88.6% of the total 28.1 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 2,161,060 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 2.4 million are fully vaccinated with two shots. Image
Read 16 tweets
3 Jun
Today's vaccine update for Alberta:

-Everyone: 55% have at least one dose and 9.6% have two
-Age 12+: 64.6% and 11.3%
-Age 20+: 65.8% and 12.4%

Stage 2 target: 60% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses (achieved!)

Stage 3 target: 70% of 12+ w/ 1+ doses Image
Looking forward, Alberta will remove all provincial public health restrictions two weeks after 70% of those age 12+ have at least one dose.

At its current pace, that share is reached on June 8 so (if that pace holds) full re-opening occurs on June 22. Image
Where will Alberta be in terms of fully vaccinated? Or the 75/20 goal? Here's a rough guide based on when we'd have enough doses for different shares:

- 75% of age 12+ w/ 1+ dose and 20% w/ 2: June 20
- And 30% w/ 2 doses: June 30 Image
Read 4 tweets
2 Jun
Today's COVID vaccine update:

- Shots reported today: 352,718
- Total shots: 24,522,064
- Age 12+ w/ a Shot: 67.0%
- Age 18+ w/ a Shot: 70.7% (est)
- Shots per 100 people: 64.5
- Inventory: 9.8 days

More: trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/ Image
Detailed data on vaccination rates by age comes with a long lag. I construct my own estimates. Here's the latest:

- Those 60+: 88.8% have at least one dose and 11.7% have two
- 18-59: it's 62.7% and 5.9%
- Adults: 70.7% and 7.7% Image
In total, Canada is now up to 24.5 million shots given -- which is 87.1% of the total 28.1 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 2,532,462 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 2.3 million are fully vaccinated with two shots. Image
Read 14 tweets
26 May
Stage 1 for Alberta:
And achieving the 60% threshold for 'stage 2' is almost surely going to be achieved today or tomorrow, and will start in mid-June.
Stage 3 target of 70% of eligible Albertans will also be achieved very soon. Potentially a week and a bit from now. With the two-week delays in stage 2 and 3, we'll probably start this stage in "early July". Very similar to BC's plan.
Read 11 tweets
25 May
Today's COVID vaccine update:

- Shots reported today: 256,179
- Total shots: 21,637,723
- Age 12+ w/ a Shot: 60.1%
- Age 18+ w/ a Shot: 65.3% (est)
- Shots per 100 people: 56.9
- Inventory: 10.3 days

More: trevortombe.github.io/covidgraphs/
Detailed data on vaccination rates by age is important, but comes with a long lag. I construct my own estimates. Here's the latest:

- Those 60+: 88.5% have at least one dose and 9.1% have two
- 18-59: it's 55.0% and 4.4%
- Adults: 65.3% and 5.8%
In total, Canada is now up to 21.6 million shots given -- which is 85.2% of the total 25.4 million doses available. Over the past 7 days, 3,633,800 doses have been delivered to provinces.

And so far 1.7 million are fully vaccinated with two shots.
Read 16 tweets

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