1/ The 1+ year-old COVID pandemic meets the 40+ year-old HIV pandemic: latimes.com/science/story/…
36-year-old woman with HIV was unable to clear COVID for 8 months. The virus mutated and mutated and mutated.
2/ The SARS-CoV-2 virus infecting this woman developed 13 mutations in its Spike protein and at least 19 other mutations elsewhere in its genetic code.
3/ COVID is surging in other African regions... countries where the prevalence of HIV/AIDS is high: theguardian.com/world/2021/jun…
4/ COVID + AIDS = more SARS-CoV-2 variants,
& possibly vaccine-evading variants
So long as SARS-CoV-2 spreads anywhere we are not safe.
Even if cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are currently down in the US.
Even if we vaccinated 70% of the US population by the 4th of July.
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3/ This is why the UK has reduced the interval between 1st and 2nd doses from 12 weeks to 8 weeks for persons over 50 and others at high-risk for severe disease: reuters.com/world/uk/engla…
1/ Vaccinated people are protected.
BUT UN-vaccinated people are NOT protected.
Take for instance Washington state. COVID case rate among unvaccinated people is as HIGH as it was in LATE JANUARY, near the PEAK of SARS-CoV-2 infections:
2/ The COVID case rate,
hospitalization rate,
and death rate
for UNvaccinated persons
are similar to what they were on December 31, 2020. washingtonpost.com/health/interac…
3/ COVID is concentrating in COC in part due to lower vaxx rates.
- Before we had COVID vaccines: 1/3 of new cases were among POC in MD/DC
- Now that we have COVID vaccines: 1/2 of new COVID cases in MD and >80% of COVID cases in DC are among POC
1/ Agree with @ScottGottliebMD: "I'm not sure we're ever going to have a definitive grasp on the answer to that question" -- did the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic originate from zoonotic spillovers or from a lab accident? overcast.fm/+MLB_ELKGQ/25:…
2/ "...unless we find the intermediate host where the virus originated from, the animal host..." -@ScottGottliebMD
It took decades for us to figure out that HIV is a hybrid of SIVs naturally infecting the red-capped mangabey and the greater spot-nosed monkey.
3/ "or unless we have something that definitively demonstrates that this came out of a lab — a whistleblower, access to information that hadn't been available previously..." -@ScottGottliebMD
I don't think we'll ever get full access to Wuhan Institute of Virology records/staff.
1/ @SurgoVentures keeps doing great work on vaccine confidence and behavioral science. nytimes.com/interactive/20…
They break unvaccinated people into 4 psychobehavioral archetypes: the Watchful, the Cost-Anxious, the System Distrusters, and the Covid Skeptics.
2/ How to reach folks and encourage them to get vaccinated depends on how they think about COVID and vaccination.
3/ Here's a map of COVID Skeptics:
- Almost everyone in this group believes at least one conspiracy theory about COVID.
- Where the pink goes far outside the square, there's a lot of skepticism.
- Where the pink remains inside the square, there's a lot less skepticism.