Thread: So, after much back-and-forth on this with my Bitcoin friends (and critics), Here are my further thoughts on El Salvador and all that.
I think that casting what Bukele intends to do there in terms of making Bitcoin "legal tender" has been a source of considerable confusion (and I mean mine not just others). Strictly, whether something is "legal tender" or not usually isn't of great importance.
Bukele has promised to give Bitcoin the same tax treatment as any foreign currency. This really is a tax matter, not a matter of "legal tender" status: this should be obvious enough from the fact that foreign currencies except the UDS are not legal tender in El Salvador!
Though that may make El Salvador an attractive haven for BTC investors, it is unlikely to encourage greater use of BTC as a medium of exchange.
That's so because under current Salvadoran law capital gains "realised [sic] within 12 months following the purchase date" are already "taxed as ordinary income." taxsummaries.pwc.com/el-salvador/co… That pretty much exempts all ordinary monetary transactions.
(Plus we have the example of El Zonte, where BTC has been freely in use with no capital gains taxes being levied.) Still, Bukele's pro-Bitcoin posturing--for it is mostly that--may make some Salvadorans more willing to accept or deal with Bitcoin.
Although it's conceivable that Bukele's plan would allow El Salvador's banks to accept Bitcoin deposits, thereby creating a new sort of Bitcoin "2nd layer" medium, to assume so is a big speculative jump at present.
As it stands, the plan will mainly attract Bitconer expats, and may prove a boon to El Salvador's economy that way.
Personally, I'd be thrilled to see BTC actually displace the USD as El Salvador's dominant money. It would make for a fascinating test of the national viability of a "Bitcoin standard."
But I won't be holding my breath waiting for it to happen--not so long as Salvadoran's can exercise free choice in currency, and provided the U.S. government doesn't itself try to deprive them of good-old American dollars.
Sorry: Bitcoiner (not a Freudian slip--just atypo.)

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More from @GeorgeSelgin

9 Jun
Thread: Bukele's Bitcoin legislation is certainly a win for Bitcoin. But is it a win for freedom?
As a long-time proponent of free choice in currency, who also favors private-market alternatives to official currencies, I'm inclined to favor any legislation that serves to promote either.
Many of the provisions of the new law serve these laudable ends, by making it easier for Salvadorans to employ Bitcoin as a medium of exchange without incurring any penalties by doing so.
Read 19 tweets
8 Jun
Thread: That the Fed is "fine" with the recent, tremendous ON-RRP uptake is interesting, considering what its own experts had to say about this possibility back when the facility was introduced in 2015.
What follows are some excerpts from that year's FRB working paper, "Overnight RRP Operations as a Monetary Policy Tool: SomeDesign Considerations": federalreserve.gov/econresdata/fe…
"A very large ON RRP facility" would mean "the expansion of the Federal Reserve’s intermediation in short-term funding markets, which—particularly if such a facility were permanently in place—could alter financial markets in unpredictable ways."
Read 18 tweets
7 Jun
"Bukele ... is working with CEO Jack Mallers to help the country legally adopt bitcoin." I'm still waiting for a coherent explanation of how making Bitcoin legal tender is supposed to "help" Salvadorans adopt Bitcoin. forbes.com/sites/carliepo… 1/
So far, the closest thing I've since is this @CaitlinLong_ thread: 2/
But Caitlin's account is unsatisfactory in several respects. First, she say's it is "likely" to give BTC "status as 'money' so treated on par w/ foreign currency by banks." But legal tender designation is not only insufficient but unnecessary for that end. 3/
Read 9 tweets
6 Jun
I just did a Twitter search for "master accounts" and "fintech" and it seems I'm almost alone in discussing the issue here! Yet the Fed is now seeking comments on how it should treated special-purpose bank (fintech) applications for such accounts.
Many of these fintechs wish to offer cryptocurrency exchange and custodial services, but without direct access to the Fed can only do so by partnering with ordinary banks, which is costly, especially since many banks are reluctant to deal with them.
The Fed will almost certainly get dozens of comment letters from banking-industry groups who want to deny fintechs that lack full-fledged bank charters, deposit insurance, and so on, direct access to the Fed's wholesale facilities.
Read 6 tweets
6 Jun
The spectacle of Bitcoin fans celebrating the prospective granting of legal tender status to it by El Salvador's authoritarian President (he only just extended his executive authority over the country's central bank) must have F.A. Hayek rolling in his grave! 1/2
And despite what many may think, a currency's "legal tender status" has little bearing on its use in ordinary exchange. It is in fact neither necessary nor sufficient.* It mainly has to do with enforcement of debt contracts.
*For example, in Scotland there is no such thing as legal tender. Yet both Scottish banknotes and (less frequently) Bank of England notes are routinely accepted in payments there. On the other hand, although U.S. Notes ("greenbacks") were made legal tender during the Civil War,
Read 4 tweets
24 May
And one last, clarifying thread, about what I'm _not_ saying.
I am _not_ saying that today's private digital currencies are just dandy. In fact, many have very serious serious shortcomings.
I'm saying that that isn't a lesson one can even begin to draw from US experience with private banknotes. That's so not only because of what I've said about that experience. Nor is it so just because conditions have dramatically changed.
Read 6 tweets

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