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9 Jun, 13 tweets, 6 min read
Session 1 of #ASPIConference2021 will look at the 'Changing strategic environment' with former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defence for China Chad Sbragia, @KoriSchake, Peter Jennings & @michael_ASPI

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Chad Sbragia says that the strategic competition between 🇺🇸 & 🇨🇳 is forcing the regional leaders in the Indo-Pacific to make a choice between Beijing & Washington #ASPIConference2021
Reflecting on China’s strategic aims, Sbragia says ‘The greatest risk isn't China’s raw power but the degree in which Beijing succeeds in drawing others to its vision. We have to do better at understanding the aims and logic of China’s approach’ #ASPIConference2021
Discussing how 🇦🇺 and the 🇺🇸 may collaborate in the future, Chad Sbragia thinks both countries should establish a better vision of how the strategic order may look in the future and what path should we take to get there #ASPIConference2021
In her opening remarks at #ASPIConference2021, @KoriSchake complemented how Australia has been resilient in addressing its national security through a series of strategic policies... 'strengthening and shoring up Pacific Island nations who would be easy prey to China'
@KoriSchake says that as we have understood, the Chinese Government doesn't want a liberal international order; 🇦🇺 should recognise that this is a threat to middle and small powers, and shaping order in a positive way is then even more important #ASPIConference2021
@KoriSchake worries that countries are talking themselves into believing that China is a better strategist than they are - '🇦🇺's strength is bringing free consensual societies together, that is a superpower'
Analysing the changes in 🇦🇺's strategic environment, Peter Jennings says ‘we built the foundation of 🇦🇺 defence policy around the thought that although we may be a small force we would maintain a qualitative edge in our military capabilities. This is now completely untrue’
Peter Jennings says that in the past, the North Pacific Island Nations would look to Australia & to New Zealand as the security providers for those countries… it wasn’t until a few years ago that these concepts have now changed #ASPIConference2021
Q: In analysing the economic dependence that countries like the 🇺🇸 & 🇦🇺 have with 🇨🇳, @michael_ASPI asks 'how can the Biden administration approach this?'
A: @KoriSchake thinks the Biden administration is realising that the USA can’t maintain a technology and military edge, but that we can create secure supply chains and there are a lot of ways to do that.
Peter Jennings says that the trilateral relationship (🇺🇸🇦🇺🇯🇵) will really become the engine of the QUAD.
For 🇦🇺 to mitigate the challenges we face we need to strengthen our alliance with the QUAD; this will help address challenges in the Indo-Pacific region #ASPIConference2021
That marks the end of Session 1⃣ of our #ASPIConference2021!

@michael_ASPI was joined by Peter Jennings, @KoriSchake & Chad Sbragia as they discussed 🇦🇺's changing strategic environment, national security & potential flash points

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More from @ASPI_org

11 Jun
Anastasia Kapetas leads the Session 3 discussion on 'The United States in the Indo-Pacific and in the grey zone' at #ASPIConference2021 with panellists @lgflake, @lesleyseebeck & @NewshamGrant

Follow the thread to tune in!
‘Australia has a very important role to play in shaping US views, perception, and understanding of grey zone activities in this region, and the region writ large... When it comes to the grey zone, Australia is at the forefront... the US is much less exposed' @lgflake Image
The one area where the Biden administration is not yet back, according to @lgflake is trade and trade policy.

‘Unless the United States is in the TPP, it does not have an economic leadership role in the economic infrastructure of the Indo-Pacific'
Read 10 tweets
10 Jun
Session 2 of #ASPIConference2021 is looking at industry & innovation - @Marcus_ASPI is joined by First Assistant Secretary Dr Peter Sawczak, @CDS_Australia & Kate Louis from the Australian Industry Group to analyse the progress of the DSU's sovereign industrial investment
Dr Peter Sawczak outlines some of the key challenges outlined in the Defence Strategic Update; 'Australia is facing the prospect of reduced strategic warning time, vulnerabilities in supply chains and greater competition in defence industry development' #ASPIConference2021
Discussing Australia’s industry equities, Sawczak remarks that 🇦🇺's technology advances are moving at a rapid pace: we are seeing economic growth fuelling military modernisation & accessibility of countries with asymmetric abilities throughout our region. Image
Read 12 tweets
10 Jun
Day 2 of our #ASPIConference2021 opens with Dr Beatrice Gorawantschy @KASonline leading a discussion on the perspectives of 🇦🇺's friends & partners on security in the Indo-Pacific region. Joining the panel is @BSantipitaks, @MGlauser5 & @annettecanberra

Follow the thread ⬇️ Image
.@BSantipitaks comments on the central role of ASEAN in the regional architecture.

She highlights the facilitation of positive engagement, the ability to constructively engage major powers & support for the rules-based order Image
On ‘building trust & confidence’ in ASEAN, @BSantipitaks notes ‘there is room for all to play constructively’ and to support joint ASEAN efforts & objectives, including:

Economic cooperation, maritime connectivity, addressing cross-border threats & engaging in dialogue Image
Read 10 tweets
10 Jun
We are live at the #ASPIConference2021 dinner, as @Brendan_ASPI is joined by @zdaniel, @Kieran_Gilbert, @AndrewBGreene & @camstewarttheoz for a journalist-based discussion on politics & defence during an election year

Stay tuned for the highlights
In @Brendan_ASPI's opening remarks for this session, he notes that 'given the recent unpredictable turmoil in Washington D.C., it would be irresponsible of Australia not to comment on the recent state of affairs of our ally' #ASPIConference2021 Image
@zdaniel says ‘Donald Trump was very adept at mobilising public sentiment…The only thing that caused Trump to lose control of the narrative & the election is the pandemic... Trump very cleverly won the 2016 election & he is still very much a political player’ #ASPIConference2021
Read 9 tweets
10 Jun
ASPI's @Dr_M_Davis is joined by @YamagamiShingo, U.S. Embassy Charge d'Affaires Mike Goldman, Deputy High Commissioner of India Mr P.S. Karthigeyan & Hugh Jeffrey @DeptDefence to discuss the role of the Quad at #ASPIConference2021 Image
In our final session for Day 1 of #ASPIConference2021, representatives from 🇦🇺, 🇯🇵, 🇺🇸 & 🇮🇳 participated in a discussion on how the Quad can be strengthened to contribute to security & stability in the Indo-Pacific
.@YamagamiShingo opens the panel with a review of the recent, historical 2+2 Joint Statement. He underscores the prospects for Australia-Japan cooperation, stating 'Australia is not walking alone’
Read 12 tweets
10 Jun
.@DaniellesCave is joined by @smh & @theage's Peter Hartcher & @He_Shumei for a discussion on China's domestic & foreign policy and Australia-China relations

Follow this thread from the #ASPIConference2021 🧵
‘Xi is the first President of China to grow up during the cultural revolution, which describes the kind of leader that he is’ - Peter Hartcher describes Xi’s harsh formative years in rural exile, and his eventual decision to join the Chinese Communist Party #ASPIConference2021
Speaking on Xi Jinping’s starkly different political beliefs from his father, Peter Hartcher remarks ‘If China operated a Westminster parliamentary system, the father and son would be sitting at opposite sides.’ #ASPIConference2021
Read 8 tweets

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