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11 Jun, 104 tweets, 33 min read
It's a win for Castillo. That said, as much as we'd like to compare him to Evo, Morales had a wide margin and backing from very well organized social movements. None of that is in place here, which will make Castillo's presidency a constant challenge.
This means that even beyond the current attempt to cancel the election results by annulling votes, implementing his program is going to be extremely hard. Castillo campaigned on a constitutional process and nationalizations.
The reason Evo managed to put “Propiedad del pueblo boliviano” signs in nationalized industries was that a huge first round election win (first one since the 80s) and a mobilized population. It’s hard to imagine that happening now in Peru, considering the very small margin.
If she wanted to pull a Carlos Mesa, she should have copied Carlos Mesa and proclaim herself winner when she was still a little ahead.
It was the exact same situation: urban vote was already in, rural vote was coming. It was going to go to Castillo as it went to Evo. But she sat on her ass thinking it was done.
Moving on to other strategies, such appealing to authority. Or former authorities, no matter how discredited. Image
Even Tuto Quiroga's there. Reminder that he was the OAS mission leader when our dearest validated the super clean JOH victory in #Honduras. He then went on to getting a huge 2% of the vote in the Bolivia election. Of course, Aznar is there too. He doesn’t miss a party.
And they’re going to try lawfare too even though it hasn’t worked so far.
If lawfare doesn’t work, lots of crying and screaming.
For a few hours, it seemed the electoral authorities were going to allow Fujimori's wishes of more time to try to nullify Castillo votes, but they somehow changed their minds (it was illegal, maybe that has something to do with it). It's over. ImageImage
So now Fujimori and her crew are crying fault and blaming the president. Image
It's going to be hard for Fujimori to pull some kind of Carlos Mesa. She jumped and screamed when the exit poll came out, but never claimed victory when she was still ahead but her lead was shrinking (not by fraud, by the rural vote coming in). The Carlos Mesa situation. Image
Now she's trying to make it look like a small party with no power over the state structures, no big money and zero backing from the establishment (Lima lawyers are trying to steal the election for Fujimori) is somehow committing fraud. Even OAS denies it, FFS.
The greatest risk right now is the attempt of the right-wing to steal the election and overturn its results. So you can trust The Economist will warn how awful letting the person who won the election govern would be.
You can always count on HRW to both sides an election between a teacher and the daughter of a dictator imprisoned for his human rights abuses and whose only program is to pardon dad.
And of course, Spanish far-right rag happy to join the party and be a platform to spread disinfo and...to blame Maduro.
Pastrana is, of course, one of the signatories of the letter trying to delegitimize the vote count.
Fujimori's people mobilizing.
Not only is she trying to steal the election -her opponent got more votes-, but she is still claiming to be fighting so #Peru, "a country that is geographically important to the left" doesn't fall to communism.

Lying comes so natural to her.
Fujimori has the backing of the right-wing, the liberal elites, big business, the media, the state apparatus. Castillo has none of that at all. At all. And yet, fujimoristas are claiming to be the victims of something.
The fraud theory is so compelling.
Seriously, fraud by whom? She seems to be blaming 'the international left' (whatever that is). But no left has any power at all in what's going on in #Peru atm. The right-wing controls the state, the media, the money.
This is good about Castillo, #Peru, and mostly about what the ruling elite fears: what they call communism is losing power to another class -not the Lima or Cuzco elites- and race they consider inferior. nuso.org/articulo/quien…
The media assumes Castillo will be incompetent, they're already blaming him for the failure of a government he hasn't even formed yet. This is what he has to work with: a 50-50 divide, fujimorismo mobilized to not allow him to govern. And this is what Parliament looks like: Image
Castillo's followers, though, have been exemplary: they've mobilized from day one to protect the election victory.
The new instructions: 'don't say Keiko, Keiko doesn't sell. Chant freedom'. larepublica.pe/elecciones/202…
The fujimorista narrative: everyone trying to 'devour freedom' is a communist, meaning that everyone who is not protesting with them is a communist. In other words, if you're not with me, you're part of the conspiracy against me. Image
Say correísmo instead of comunismo and you have what Yaku Pérez successfully did in #Ecuador a couple of months ago. The difference, though, is that he did it after losing the first round, not the second. For two months, he delegitimized his opponent and the election. It worked.
Speaking of #Ecuador, now fujimorismo tries to take the Yaku Pérez road of 'fraud in the first round'. But as with the Carlos Mesa road, which required claiming victory when ahead, that required crying fraud then, not now.
They're trying to annul his victory, they're openly trying to steal the election.

And the breaking news is that Castillo says no.
100% of the votes counted: Castillo has won the election. He is the president elect of #Peru.
Fujimori hasn’t recognized her defeat and is trying to drag this even longer with the fake claim of fraud/irregularities (whatever she means, she can’t explain, it’s imaginary).
The most important thing is not the vote count, it’s the attempt to annul votes she doesn’t like. You can’t expect a Fujimori to respect the rules, really.
Castillo’s message after the vote count ended.
And the celebration.
Wait, but Fujimori and her really idiotic followers making tiktoks are telling me they’re fighting communism!
Fujimori’s lawfare strategy hasn’t worked at all, but she still refuses to concede. Her strategy goes beyond this election.
Fujimori questions the legitimacy of the upcoming government, casually says the headline. She has been working hard to delegitimize the election even though she knows there could be no fraud. She needs to drag this on in order to stay out of prison.
Some fujimoristas are even worse. Former president Pastrana has been asked by the election authorities to drop the fake news about imaginary Venezuelan infiltrators.
Pastrana's reaction: insisting on #Venezuela. This is his pinned tweet.
He backs his claim by using people like this Spanish far-right lunatic MEP known for making shit up (funny enough, he was a jouanalist at El País for years, cold war years) Image
Meanwhile, Castillo organizing mobilization to defend their election victory taking a page from Evo's book: the core are the social movements.
A new round of pointless mobilizations. Fujimoristas are marching today in a 'respect my vote' (mine meaning Keiko's) march, trying to delay things, delegitimizing the election and hoping someone does something about it.
Meanwhile, as the right-wing does what they do, the outgoing president has been forced to reject and appeal by former army officers to not recognize Castillo's election victory.
Reminder that the army wanted to 'play a role' in the election a few weeks ago. larepublica.pe/politica/2021/…
Defense Minister confirms the letter has been sent to the Prosecutor's Office, they could be accused of conspiracy. larepublica.pe/politica/2021/…
Fujimori's attempts to nullify votes haven't worked at all. But it doesn't matter, fujimoristas are not going to stop.
Seeing reds everywhere.
March to defend Castillo's election victory. Image
Oh, dear. Mr 'country who voted something I don't like will become Venezuela if we don't do something about it' has spoken.
There was no fraud -there couldn't be any fraud, the right-wing controls the state, the media, everything- and everyone with half a brain knows it. Vargas Llosa, who claims to be an intelligent person, is just embarrassing himself. As always.
You're only allowed to support an ideology approved by Vargas Llosa. Image
Stalin, communist Russia, evil Putin, evil Evo. You name it, all the idiotic right-wing tropes are in this paragraph. In defense of democracy, of course. A democracy that is trying to steal an election they lost. Image
Fujimori managed to keep her freedom. For now.
What she doesn't have is even a shread of evidence of fraud. Desperate to show what didn't happen happened, she's asking her followers to come up with somthing. Anything.
So she's now trying to get into the voting lists. She is desperate to find something, anything, that is just not there. But dragging this along has been the strategy for quite some time.
Even USA (and therefore also the EU) accepts the election as fair. Keiko's attempt to keep going and delay Castillo's proclamation is just an attempt to stay out of jail at this point.
The courts are rejecting Fujimori’s attempt to nullify the election as there is no evidence of fraud. Reminder she asked her followers to produce evidence of fraud a few days ago.
The attempt at this point is to delegitimize the process, not so much to reverse the result –it’s not going to happen– but to make it impossible for Castillo to govern. She’s betting on Castillo not lasting very long.
Castillo won the election, the votes were counted and only those trying to steal the election refuse to accept it. And AFP, of course. They’re just not sure. Castillo ‘seems’ to have won, but we don’t know yet.
It was taking too long. He had to make an appearance in this Fujimori saga.
Fujimori's habeas data, rejected. She was trying to get the voters' list. All she has now is the attempt to delegitimize the election via propaganda and lies in order to destabilize #Peru and make it impossible to govern.
'Disputed'.

It's not that the side who lost is trying to steal the election, it's 'disputed'.
This is great. After asking her followers to produce evidence of a fraud that just does not exist, she now wants her opponent to join her in her attempt to steal the election from him.
Meanwhile, Castillo is already compromising. He has very little chance of not disappointing. The cards he's been dealt are just not that great.
Further evidence this is not about counting votes: even if all the votes Fujimori and Co. are trying to annul were annulled, Castillo would still win. This is about making it impossible for him to govern.
Correct. The fraud people are giving up and fujimoristas are not looking towards other places -Congress- for some kind of a coup, parliamentary, in this case.
When courts don’t help, try Parliament. Except Parliament is refusing to go along with the Fujimori strategy too. Another attempt at delaying even more Castillo’s proclamation has been rejected. But it’s sign of what’s to come.
A pro-Castillo protestor who came to Lima to defend the election victory is murdered and Fujimori’s reaction is accusing Castillo of ‘dirty war’. She is as shameless as she is incompetent.
Good read about the context in which the election took place: poverty, inequality and a state that just abandoned its people.
Castillo pushing for a Constituent Assembly to get rid of the Fujimori Constitution. It seems highly unlikely. Necessary, but unlikely.
She’s still at it. And it’s working (partially). Castillo hasn’t been officially proclaimed winner. And she is still out of jail.
When your candidate is in trouble and you can’t proof fraud –because there isn’t one–, just accuse the other side of anything.
Castillo to be sworn in next week, he still hasn't been proclaimed election winner. He will be this week, despite the fujimorista attempt at delaying the inevitable.
The people are still demonstrating to protect the election result from fujimorista attempts at overturning the results.
Fujimori's last pathetic attempt.
It's over (it has been over for a long time, since Fujimori was never able to mobilize enough support, civil or military), Castillo is about to be officially proclaimed election winner. Finally.
This was long overdue. Castillo was finally proclaimed election winner. His first call was for unity, unlikely considering fujimoristas are going to make governing as hard as possible. Image
Fujimori said she'd accept the restults because the Constitution (her father's Constitution, a hint her people will not humour Castillo's call for a new Constitution), but she is also not accepting them.
I keep seeing this and similar takes all over the place. It's not a 'both sides' 'us vs them', it's the right-wing making sure they make it impossible for Castillo to govern and, most of all, to change their Constitution.
This is a much better read, tbh.
The next first lady of #Peru. Castillo looks and lives like the majority of the country he will govern.
"The people are the government. This struggle cannot be betrayed". pagina12.com.ar/357067-pedro-c…
Castillo hasn't been officially inaugurated yet and he's already getting orders from Washington.
Castillo was just sworn in as the new president of #Peru on the bicentennial of Peru's independence.
A government for the people and by the people.
The key project of Castillo's presidency is the new Constitution to try to get rid of the Fujimori Constitution.
It's unlikely to happen considering Keiko Fujimori's attitude. She will work against a 'Communist Constitution' (anything the right-wing doesn't like is Communist these days)
The right-wing media welcomes Castillo with an early preview of what's to come.
The media doing what it does.
As the media hysteria shows, the right-wing is going to work to make it impossible for Castillo to rule. Getting anything done will be a huge challenge. This is the government that's going to try.
The right-wing complaining he's not some kind of moderate (again, making major changes will be almost impossible, so any backlash right now is pure and fake hysteria)
The European/North American left had lots of things to say about Castillo being socially conservative. That was one of the main criticisms. But this is his minister for Women and Vulnerable Populations.
The Spanish media -they still seem to think #Peru is a colony that needs to do as told- into hysteria mode.
Key points here about the present and near-future of #Peru.
The new ministers are hardly radicals, but it doesn't matter. Everyone who is not me is a communist seems to be the chosen doctrine. Very trumpian. Except add "guerrillero" to it too. We're going to hear the word Sendero all the time.
The right-wing in #Peru demanding ministers resign already. They haven't had time to do anything wrong yet, but they're the wrong ministers, of course.

There'll be non-stop pressure until Castillo is overthrown or his mandate ends. Til the very last day. nodal.am/2021/08/peru-f…
#Peru dropping the Lima Group if favour fo 'non intervention on other countries' internal affairs'
This is what he promised to do and he is going for it. We'll see how far they let him get. But the fact that he is actually going to try puts him way ahead of pretty much anyone -in government or not- in the Western left.
And, of course, the opposition demands he's impeached. For no other reason than they don't like him. The plan is to make it impossible for him to govern.
The plan is to make things as hard as possible for Castillo, in Parliament and out of Parliament.
The media, of course, is doing exactly as predicted too. This one has all the keywords: Maoist, guerrilla, Sendero, Marxist, you name it. Image

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