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Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
@CoppetainPU
Jun 12, 2021 • 11 tweets • 10 min read • Read on X
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COVID-19 IN SWITZERLAND. Week to 12.06.2021—continuing down

Next easing Jun 28?

Per 100K pop, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—8097 & 78 (⬇️)
● in hospital—334 & 2 (⬇️)
● deaths—119 & 0.4 (⬇️)

R(e): ⬇️—0.67
Vaccinations: 5.8m (2.2m 2nd doses)

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/11 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases with data and chartScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations with datScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths with data and charScreenshot of box on reproductive number Re (lag in calculat
AND FOR THE PAST FORTNIGHT, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

The previous tweet shows that numbers are definitely coming down again after a short rebound in April-early May, although deaths stayed flat.

These are for the last fortnight:

2/11 Screenshot of box on lab-confirmed cases (past fortnight) wiScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed hospitalisations (past foScreenshot of box on lab-confirmed deaths (past fortnight) wScreenshot of Reproductive number since 28.09.2020
VIRUS VARIANTS detected

UK variant dominant. Delta (India) starting to show

Public Health Office: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
Science Task Force: sciencetaskforce.ch/en/nextstrain-…

3/11 Screenshot of list of variants and numbers identified (PubliScreenshot of graph of estimated proportion of relevant variScreenshot: Task Force graph of estimated percentage of B.1.Screenshot: Task Force graph of estimated percentage of P.1
BY CANTON: LAB-CONFIRMED CASES in the past fortnight per 100K population—Overall down from 110 to 78. Better in west. Worst in Appenzell Innerrhoden. Dark end of range down from 521 to 403.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

4/11 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
BY CANTON: LAB-CONFIRMED HOSPITALISATION in the past fortnight per 100K population—Improving, down from 2.75 to 2.19. Still worst centrally, but dark end of range down from 14 to 11

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

5/11 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
BY CANTON: DEATHS (which lag case numbers)—down from 0.44 to 0.43. Worst in Glarus, Schwyz and Liechtenstein. More cantons recording no deaths. Dark end of range up from 2.46 to 4.93.

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

6/11 Screenshot of map showing different rates by canton: lab-con
INTENSIVE CARE CAPACITY AND OCCUPANCY: all patients and COVID-19

Over 150 hospitals/clinics (Glarus, Appenzell Innerrhoden have no IC units)

All patients: improving

COVID-19 patients: improving

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/hosp-capaci…

7/11 Map of occupancy rates: all patientsMap of occupancy rates: COVID-19 patientsChart of COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 occupancy since March 202
R(e) ESTIMATES: national over time, cantons latest.

Down. For the first time, no cantons >1

Estimate: 0.67 nationally (from 0.76)

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/repro/val

Note: Swiss schools have stayed open during lockdown

8/11 Chart of reproductive number over timeMap of reproductive number by canton
VACCINATIONS (1) VACCINES & DEMOGRAPHY

Moderna outstripping Pfizer/BioNTech

Ordered: 36m doses: Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna, AstraZeneca, Curevac and Novavax (pop 8.6m)

Approved: Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna, J&J (not ordered)

covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

9/11 Screenshot of graph of administered vaccine doses, Pfizer/BiScreenshot of graph of fully vaccinated people, Pfizer/BioNTScreenshot of graphic of demography of administered vaccine Screenshot of graphic of demography of fully vaccinated peop
VACCINATIONS (2) OVERALL

Accelerating. 26% fully vaccinated

DOSES
Delivered: 6.1m=71 (from 5.8m/67%)
Administered: 5.8m=67% (from 5.2m/60%)

PEOPLE:
Fully (2 doses): 2.2m=25.7% (from 1.9m/21.1%)
At least one dose = 41.52%

covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…
covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

10/11 Screenshot: Chart of development over time of delivered and Screenshot: map of administered vaccine doses, per 100, by cScreenshot: Chart of development over time of vaccinated peoScreenshot: map of fully vaccinated people per 100, by canto
LATEST: New phase started May 31. Next: decision on June 23, possible further steps June 28 including easing some entry restrictions

A forgery-proof Covid-19 certificate rolling out by end-June

CURRENT SITUATION: swissinfo.ch/eng/covid-19_c…

11/11 Graphic of measures from May 31

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More from @CoppetainPU

Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
Jun 9, 2022
🧵 On Sunday, the much-postponed 12th WTO Ministerial Conference #MC12 starts.

Here is another curtain-raiser, with @BobWolfeSPS

@wto Director-General @NOIweala believes it will be a success.

But what does “success” mean?

1/11 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/06/09/tou…
“Many gaps remain but we are making progress,” @NOIweala told members on Tuesday Jun 7

“The success of this whole endeavour is in our hands. Let us deliver. The people outside are waiting for us and, believe it or not, I really think we will do it.”

2/11 wto.org/english/news_e…
Fingers crossed, there might even be a deal on fisheries subsidies, she and the talks’ chair @WillsSantiago said.

But despite “cautious optimism” WTO spokesperson Dan Pruzin warned journalists to expect ministers to meet late into the night at #MC12

3/11 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/06/09/tou…
Read 12 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 29, 2022
Was it worth the time looking at the UK’s big deal with Indiana? The one the government hails as a “milestone” and the minister calls a “US trade deal”?

They wants us to take it seriously. So I did. Let’s say I did it so you don’t have to.

1/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/05/29/mil…
TL:DR it's not a trade agreement.

It's a memorandum of understanding, a non-binding statement of intent.

The only trade barrier that might get tackled is govt procurement.

Indiana's state-level entities have no commitments on procurement in the WTO

2/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/05/29/mil…
Indiana “will actively work towards” (not a commitment) treating UK suppliers the same as suppliers from other US states except those neighbouring Indiana.

“That’s the weirdest MFN clause I’ve ever seen,”—@Lorand_Bartels

3/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2022/05/29/mil…
Read 10 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 27, 2022
“Agreement with Indiana marks milestone in UK’s trade with the US”—the UK government proclaims

Read on

It's a memorandum of understanding on what the UK and Indiana want to develop in their trade and economic relations. That stretches the meaning of “agreement” quite a lot

1/9
Good question⬇️. Short answer: no

So, all we know is what the UK government press release says.

2/9
This is what it says:

“The MoU creates a framework to remove barriers to trade and investment, paving the way for UK and Indianan businesses to invest, export, expand and create jobs.”

Remember: all major trade barriers are handled in Washington

3/9 gov.uk/government/new…
Read 10 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 22, 2022
It’s been clear for some time that WTO members are unlikely to agree on anything substantial on agriculture—despite declaring it a priority—when their ministers meet in Geneva Jun 12–15

Information from trade sources on a meeting last Thu May 19 reinforce that assessment🧵

1/11
The focus has changed in recent months—the Ukraine war has increased concerns about food security.

But the best binding decision that can be expected is to exempt the World Food Programme’s humanitarian purchases from export restrictions—still opposed by India & Tanzania.

2/11
Expect some non-binding/“best-endeavour” statement on food security, eg, the UK-led proposal⬇️, which draws on familiar themes of keeping supplies flowing, increasing transparency, minimising market disruption.

Even transparency is a problem…

3/11 docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…
Read 11 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 20, 2022
Another day, another WTO topic where members find themselves under pressure to reach agreement within days.

Today: fisheries subsidies, at the end of a “Fish Week” of talks in various formats on curbing harmful subsidies that encourage overfishing.

1/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/wto-fish-talks…
Chair @WillsSantiago briefed the media after a stock-taking meeting of the membership.

Sandwiched between plenaries Mon and Fri, were sessions in various formats. Wills said 30-40 delegations were involved in each of those sessions, total about 50.

2/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/wto-fish-talks…
@WillsSantiago said the talks were constructive with good signals that need to be turned into agreement.

He announced a “Fish Decision” week from May 30, giving members a fortnight to resolve their differences.

3/8 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/wto-fish-talks…
Read 8 tweets
Peter Ungphakorn (also @coppetainpu.bsky.social) Profile picture
May 19, 2022
WTO members on all sides were urged today to sort out their reservations over the proposed compromise, so that a deal on waiving some intellectual property protection for COVID-19 can be struck by the Jun 12-15 Ministerial Conference, trade sources say.

1/14 #TRIPSwaiver
In an informal meeting of the WTO intellectual property (TRIPS) council, Director-General @NOIweala said WTO members have no option but to produce a result for the #MC12 Ministerial Conference, even if that means negotiating round the clock, the sources said.

2/14
Today's meeting was held to take stock of the first two days of real negotiations on the compromise text⬇️, on Mon&Wed, May 16&18. During those sessions, @NOIweala urged delegates to be prepared to compromise: "the perfect is the enemy of the good"

3/14 tradebetablog.wordpress.com/text-g4-trips-…
Read 15 tweets

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