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Anshel Pfeffer אנשיל פפר

@AnshelPfeffer

13 Jun

After 2 and a half years of 4 stalemated election campaigns, and so many months of fruitless coalition talks, maybe it’s over. But seeing as the new government won the confidence vote 60-59, it’s far from certain the political paralysis has ended, even if Netanyahu’s no longer PM

Meanwhile, rather unbelievably, Naftali Bennet is no Israel’s 13th prime minister. Hard to predict how long that will last. If you haven’t read it, here’s my Bennett profile haaretz.com/israel-news/MA…

And here’s why Netanyahu was finally forced out of office haaretz.com/israel-news/el…

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Anshel Pfeffer אנשיל פפר

@AnshelPfeffer

13 Jun

All the leaders of the 8 parties of the new coalition now in their last meeting before the confidence vote. All eyes on Mansour Abbas whose colleague Said al-Haroumi threatened this morning to vote against. Abbas: “don’t worry, there will be a government.” They all look confident

Coalition party leaders meeting over. They all still seem very confident that the vote will pass today. “There’s a government! There’s a government!” Mansour Abbas cries in all directions.

Netanyahu just arrived in the Knesset and went without a word in to the PM’s parliamentary office. For the last time?

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Anshel Pfeffer אנשיל פפר

@AnshelPfeffer

13 Jun

יאללה, בשביל הכיף על הבוקר שרשור של סיבות מדוע ההשוואה בין נתניהו לצ׳ר׳ציל מופרכת. הוסיפו כטוב בעיניכם. (ודרך אגב, אפשר ואף רצוי להוסיף גם השוואות שנתניהו יוצא טוב מהן, אני אתמקד בעיקר בכאלה)
1. בניגוד לנתניהו שנשאר נאמן לליכוד כל חייו הפוליטיים, צ׳רצ׳יל החליף מפלגות פעמיים.

2. בניגוד לנתניהו שניצח 4 פעמים בבחירות, צ׳רצ׳יל ניצח רק פעם אחת. בכלל, אם משווים את האופן בו צ׳רצ׳יל הגיע לראשונה לכס ראש הממשלה (ללא בחירות, בניגוד לדעת הנהגת מפלגתו ובהתעקשות של מפלגות השמאל) זה הרבה יותר דומה לאופן בו נפתלי בנט עומד להתמנות היום.

3. נתניהו היה ונותר האדם הצעיר ביותר שנהיה ראש ממשלה בישראל. צ׳רצ׳יל האדם המבוגר ביותר שהיה ראש ממשלת בריטניה במאה השנים האחרונות

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Anshel Pfeffer אנשיל פפר

@AnshelPfeffer

2 Jun

This is a critical hour for the coalition negotiations. If Lapid doesn’t notify the president by 11:00 that he has succeeded in forming a government, the Knesset Speaker (Bibi’s stooge) won’t have to put the confidence vote on the agenda today. Giving Bibi more time for pressure>

Lapid still has until midnight when his mandate expires and after that another 21 days in which any MK can form a government if they get 61 signatures (there are on paper 61 MKs supporting the Bennett-Lapid government) but if they don’t declare now, they lose critical momentum.>

The main sticking points remain Shaked’s demand to sit on the judicial appointments committee (instead of Michaeli whose been promised it in the agreement with Labor) and some of Ra’am’s demands which Yamina and New Hope are opposed to. These are the also the main vulnerabilities

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Anshel Pfeffer אנשיל פפר

@AnshelPfeffer

30 May

OK. I’m sorry, but all these profiles of Bennett as prime minister and handing-out of medals to the architects of Bibi’s downfall feels a tad premature. I don’t want to depress anyone, but this is the most difficult coalition to build in Israel’s history and it’s far from done.>

For a bare majority of 61, this Bennett-Lapid coalition needs to finalize agreements between 8! separate parties, make sure no-one jumps ship and seal an unprecedented deal with an Arab-Israeli party. All this with Netanyahu fighting for political life and his proxies unleashed.>

What happened tonight is that Bennett finally burned his bridges with Netanyahu, after 15 years of an abusive relationship. It’s a major milestone in Israeli politics, because it seals the split in the right-wing between Netanyahu and the Bennett-Sa’ar-Lieberman trio. But still..

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Anshel Pfeffer אנשיל פפר

@AnshelPfeffer

30 May

Now it’s Netanyahu’s turn: “I stand here tonight as a loyal representative of the public elected by 2 million voters (he’s including the voters of the other parties of his blocs) who chose me to protect the people of Israel. They know my compass isn’t broken. I heard Bennett”

Netanyahu: “Bennett said hollow phrases. He’s committed the fraud of the century. Naftali your promises are empty as feathers. If people knew the truth, no-one but yourself would have voted for you. The only thing he cares about is being prime minister. He flip-flopped 3 times”

Netanyahu: “Bennett’s empty words were to transfer the votes from the right to the left. We can still form a right-wing government. If we take the unorthodox step of a government in which Sa’ar is PM 1st, then me, then Bennett. It’s crooked, but a left-wing government is worse”

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