108 new cases of #COVID19 announced in B.C. today, as the province's rolling average and active case load continues to sink.

Hospitalizations rise slightly to 139, but ICU cases down to 39, lowest since November 8.

Most importantly, no new deaths.

Today's chart. Image
54,559 people in B.C. received a vaccine shot yesterday — but just 10,521 of those were first doses, by far the lowest in months.

Inched up to 76.1% of adults with first doses now, but it's gonna be tough to get to 80% if this trendline keeps up. ImageImage
We will get a stronger sense of this when local health area data comes out tomorrow, but it really looks like significant transmission is now confined to the Central Okanagan, Abbotsford and Surrey Image
The big unknowns in the short/medium term in B.C. are pretty simple:

- Can we keep first doses happening at a decent pace for a little longer?
- Can we get to a point where no community in B.C. is having 10+ cases a day regularly?
- Can we keep the Delta variant in check?
A lot of people want B.C. to go to Stage 3 in two weeks (no group limit on dining, no restrictions on personal gatherings, nightclubs open, masks aren't mandatory), but we'll be in a much better position to do that and sustain that with just a bit more work
i just find it interesting that no matter how many times i tell people that i'm not going to centre testing rates in my analysis of the pandemic this happens Image

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More from @j_mcelroy

17 Jun
120 new cases of #COVID19 announced in B.C., as the rolling average continues go town at around the same slow pace as the last week.

Active cases down by just 3, to 1451.

One new death.

Today's chart. Image
66,729 vaccine shots were given in B.C. yesterday, including a RECORD HIGH 57,161 second doses.

First doses go up slightly to 9,568. ImageImage
The predictable chart is now flatlining pretty quickly, but we're still making downward progress, which is important.

At the same time, there will be a few more unknowns if transmission flatlines at this level. Image
Read 4 tweets
17 Jun
I don't have many career tips, but here's one: if you have a flight on a Friday to Dawson Creek to see a friend, but on Thursday the town is flooding, change your flight, tell your bosses you'll be on the ground reporting and not web writing that evening, and see what happens
That's what I did five years ago today when Dawson Creek was flooding — had a long planned trip to visit @jonnywakefield (then the top reporter in northeast B.C.) but news happened, and I figured "why not try reporting from the field for the first time?"

I did not *particularly* know what I was doing, but I filmed/field produced stories for our TV broadcasts, appeared with @drex on CKNW, wrote some stories, and sort of solidified that I would like to do more of this

Read 5 tweets
16 Jun
113 new cases of #COVID19 announced in B.C., as all the key numbers continue to fall at a slower but still consistent pace.

1454 active cases, 134 hospitalizations, and four new deaths.

Today's chart. Image
62,337 people were given a vaccine shot in B.C. yesterday, as second dose summer keeps on trucking.

Unfortunately, there were just 8,881 first doses, lowest since March 8, as the drive to 80% of adults is something I'm getting a bit pessimistic about. ImageImage
But we're still on the transmission path that we want — zero cases in Northern Health today!

There will be days going forward with cases, but there's no reason they can't have a lot of zero case days as well, given transmission levels/vaccines.

Island could soon join them. Image
Read 6 tweets
15 Jun
Just 277 new cases of #COVID19 in B.C. over the last three days — with two of those days under 100 cases for the first time since October 1.

Active cases at 1537, lowest since October 16.

Hospitalizations down 16% in three days.

Today's chart. Image
There are so many good takeaways from today's numbers, the most I can recall for months and months, that I now regret taking the day off, because I continue to learn the wrong work life balance lessons time and time again.

But let's go through some of them.
An average of 51,589 people in B.C. received a vaccine shot in each of the last three days.

That's the highest number yet on a weekend.

We're now at 75.9% of all adults with one dose — the drive to 80% still in reach. ImageImage
Read 9 tweets
10 Jun
153 new cases of #COVID19 announced in B.C., as the rolling average goes down for the 51st time in 53 days.

Big dip in hospitalizations, down to 176, lowest since November 14.

Four new deaths.

Today's chart.
73,345 people in B.C. were given a vaccine shot yesterday, including a RECORD HIGH 53,298 second doses.

Now up to 74.9% of adults in B.C. with one dose, as the drive to 80% still seems reasonable.
The government is going over a bunch of data right now — most of which we've discussed on this cursed website recently.

To me, this is the most interesting new piece of information: modelling that shows B.C. expecting the decrease in cases to stop over the next month.
Read 5 tweets
9 Jun
148 new cases of #COVID19 announced in B.C., as the province sees its rolling average go below 170 for the first time since October 21 and active cases below 2000 since October 22.

Hospitalizations down 195, and three new deaths.

Today's chart.
The predictable chart continues to be predictable, even if the decline is a lot less exciting now
Second dose season is here: a RECORD HIGH 44,756 of them were delivered in B.C. yesterday.

Number of first doses remains below 20,000 for another day, as B.C. inches towards 80% of all adults with at least one dose (it's currently at 74.5%).
Read 5 tweets

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