Why yesterday’s trade deal matters...

A THREAD
The British landscape has massive and highly place specific problems

Specifically a collapse in farmland biodiversity
Post BREXIT we have to choose whether want to ask British farmers to compete with the rest of the world on equal terms or not
Competing on equal terms under free trade means we have to either copy their scale and methods or be uncompetitive
But we got in to our current mess copying their methods since WW2

But we took the edge of that by being in the EU and regulating and constraining our agriculture from the worst welfare and ecological excesses (sometimes we did that badly)
We were told that BREXIT could be ‘green’ with a better social contract between the British public and farmers

And it sounded promising TBF

Our farmers could be asked to do exceptional things and be protected and rewarded for doing so
I for one, was up for that (and so we’re many other farmers) - I think we can be highly productive and massively repair nature in the British landscape

I tweet about little else and wrote a bestselling book about it - English Pastoral
Yesterday we burned that chance

And asked British farmers to compete with Australian farmers on equal terms of free trade

But why is that wrong and negative?
Because they are held to completely different welfare and environmental standards

And have a whole post colonial landscape to scale up on
The problem is not that they are terrible farmers or have a terrible product

Some of them are exceptional farmers (I have learnt from many of them) - just in an entirely different ecological and economic context
The problem is the British landscape doesn’t scale up or intensify to do that competition without grave damage to its remaining biodiversity

At our best we have a landscape of small fields with hedges etc...
Yesterday British farmers realised that for all the talk they are now being asked to do more (not less) of the things that got us in to our current mess

Get big
Get efficient
Or get out
Yes - there is, theoretically some system that might reward farmers for producing public goods - nature

Alongside their farming

But it is nowhere to be seen, highly bureaucratic and...
Based on a misunderstanding that we can be as efficient as North America on our productive land and have enough nature

We can’t - see RSPB State of Nature reports

Farming intensification makes fields/landscapes barren of the nature we need - that thrives in our old landscapes
Yesterday was highly symbolic and very real

The principle of doing something better on our islands and rewarding and protecting it died

Farmers will draw a simple conclusion - intensify or die
And this is a disaster for the British landscape

A total unmitigated disaster that will unfold over the years and a bit of free washing round the edges won’t result in net gain - it will result in net loss
And yes some British farmers/products/systems will be globally competitive and some will want free trade to export

But this kind of specialisation at landscape scale is what Fs nature

We actually need patchwork mixed farming landscapes that replicate our native ecosystems
Frankly if I am depressed

Sorry for the length of this thread
Sorry for typos

In a rush with kids and work
Worst of all yesterday we killed farmer good will and support for higher welfare and ecological standards and regulation

On what basis can we argue for that here and then import cheaper to undercut from elsewhere

That’s just a scam and displacement of effects
I can’t win that argument with my neighbours now

They’ve will say ‘get lost, we are competing with lower standards... get real’

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More from @herdyshepherd1

30 May
I haven’t read for heard anyone in favour of standard-lowering trade deals make a solid well thought through case for them

They can’t - because everyone who knows about farming/food/environment knows that this will negatively impact how we farm/eat/care for our land/nature
I bend over backwards to be intellectually fair

If there was nuance in this I’d be honest about it and share - but frankly there isn’t

They are just wrong - dangerously wrong and quickly out of their depth - they only have economic dogma and its dies when it hits reality
It’s almost like an Australian - Rupert Murdoch - owns @TheTimes and helped get @BorisJohnson elected

The Murdoch family owns cattle ranches in Australia and America

Don’t believe me? - check out how these people own land

google.co.uk/amp/s/www.love…
Read 4 tweets
28 May
The piece starts to make an argument then just gives up and ends up a saggy mess

It’s a load of incoherent badly reasoned gibberish - I had three thoughts, and they are weak so basically I’ll retreat to dogma
The use of the State of Nature report and blaming everything on past subsidy schemes is shameless tosh

And there is no coherent thought about whether free trade will drive down prices and increase the forces that the State of Nature report highlights that destroy biodiversity
And I am literally laughing at the idea that exporting our food needs is good for the environment

It’s almost like our leading newspapers belong to rich people that want disaster capitalism - and will hire anyone who can write a sentence to try and defend their insanities
Read 6 tweets
27 May
Fascinating and valuable day doing some strategic grazing planning with @cags_grindrod that led to some bigger questions about the farm Image
Stuff we often don’t think through properly and clearly

What are we actually trying to achieve?
Have we the right amount of stock for our land? Can we reduce costs?
Or spend some of our costs differently to work better?
What’s the best balance between our different work?
Long and the short being that we probably have too many sheep and the benefit of the bottom fifth is very marginal

And our winter hay costs might be better spent on away wintering or renting some land permanently to provide respite for our land in spring and autumn
Read 4 tweets
30 Nov 20
So this is what I think about the policy announcement

There is quite a lot of hope in it (and the people working on it behind the scenes are good) - but it is shrouded in vagueness
It seems to be based on a vision that is deeply flawed and likely to fail

Namely to get British farming to a point where it isn’t subsidised in 7 years

Why is that likely to fail?
Because we compete with trade rivals that almost all subsidise their agriculture - the EU through the CAP and the USA through federal crop insurance etc etc
Read 17 tweets
8 Jul 20
What an absolute shambles this government’s farming and food police are

The current system starts being wound down next year and they are nowhere near having a well thought through system to replace it... ft.com/content/81009a…
You might think this has nothing to do with you, but actually whoever you are this affects you

We all need a farming and food policy that provides the right food, and the right kind of land management and environmental outcomes...
Most sensible people can see that a future policy can be better than that of the past

But the thinking from government on this is so bad and so flawed it looks like being a disaster...
Read 14 tweets
4 May 20
My top ten favourite farming books - judged as books not for usefulness - and only my opinion

Here goes...
Farmer’s Glory - A G Street

Fades as it progresses but lovely anyway
I Bought a Mountain - D Firbank

Great story and takes you away to that time and place in North Wales
Read 19 tweets

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