The British landscape has massive and highly place specific problems
Specifically a collapse in farmland biodiversity
Post BREXIT we have to choose whether want to ask British farmers to compete with the rest of the world on equal terms or not
Competing on equal terms under free trade means we have to either copy their scale and methods or be uncompetitive
But we got in to our current mess copying their methods since WW2
But we took the edge of that by being in the EU and regulating and constraining our agriculture from the worst welfare and ecological excesses (sometimes we did that badly)
We were told that BREXIT could be ‘green’ with a better social contract between the British public and farmers
And it sounded promising TBF
Our farmers could be asked to do exceptional things and be protected and rewarded for doing so
I for one, was up for that (and so we’re many other farmers) - I think we can be highly productive and massively repair nature in the British landscape
I tweet about little else and wrote a bestselling book about it - English Pastoral
Yesterday we burned that chance
And asked British farmers to compete with Australian farmers on equal terms of free trade
But why is that wrong and negative?
Because they are held to completely different welfare and environmental standards
And have a whole post colonial landscape to scale up on
The problem is not that they are terrible farmers or have a terrible product
Some of them are exceptional farmers (I have learnt from many of them) - just in an entirely different ecological and economic context
The problem is the British landscape doesn’t scale up or intensify to do that competition without grave damage to its remaining biodiversity
At our best we have a landscape of small fields with hedges etc...
Yesterday British farmers realised that for all the talk they are now being asked to do more (not less) of the things that got us in to our current mess
Get big
Get efficient
Or get out
Yes - there is, theoretically some system that might reward farmers for producing public goods - nature
Alongside their farming
But it is nowhere to be seen, highly bureaucratic and...
Based on a misunderstanding that we can be as efficient as North America on our productive land and have enough nature
We can’t - see RSPB State of Nature reports
Farming intensification makes fields/landscapes barren of the nature we need - that thrives in our old landscapes
Yesterday was highly symbolic and very real
The principle of doing something better on our islands and rewarding and protecting it died
Farmers will draw a simple conclusion - intensify or die
And this is a disaster for the British landscape
A total unmitigated disaster that will unfold over the years and a bit of free washing round the edges won’t result in net gain - it will result in net loss
And yes some British farmers/products/systems will be globally competitive and some will want free trade to export
But this kind of specialisation at landscape scale is what Fs nature
We actually need patchwork mixed farming landscapes that replicate our native ecosystems
Frankly if I am depressed
Sorry for the length of this thread
Sorry for typos
In a rush with kids and work
Worst of all yesterday we killed farmer good will and support for higher welfare and ecological standards and regulation
On what basis can we argue for that here and then import cheaper to undercut from elsewhere
That’s just a scam and displacement of effects
I can’t win that argument with my neighbours now
They’ve will say ‘get lost, we are competing with lower standards... get real’
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The use of the State of Nature report and blaming everything on past subsidy schemes is shameless tosh
And there is no coherent thought about whether free trade will drive down prices and increase the forces that the State of Nature report highlights that destroy biodiversity
And I am literally laughing at the idea that exporting our food needs is good for the environment
It’s almost like our leading newspapers belong to rich people that want disaster capitalism - and will hire anyone who can write a sentence to try and defend their insanities
Fascinating and valuable day doing some strategic grazing planning with @cags_grindrod that led to some bigger questions about the farm
Stuff we often don’t think through properly and clearly
What are we actually trying to achieve?
Have we the right amount of stock for our land? Can we reduce costs?
Or spend some of our costs differently to work better?
What’s the best balance between our different work?
Long and the short being that we probably have too many sheep and the benefit of the bottom fifth is very marginal
And our winter hay costs might be better spent on away wintering or renting some land permanently to provide respite for our land in spring and autumn
So this is what I think about the policy announcement
There is quite a lot of hope in it (and the people working on it behind the scenes are good) - but it is shrouded in vagueness
It seems to be based on a vision that is deeply flawed and likely to fail
Namely to get British farming to a point where it isn’t subsidised in 7 years
Why is that likely to fail?
Because we compete with trade rivals that almost all subsidise their agriculture - the EU through the CAP and the USA through federal crop insurance etc etc
What an absolute shambles this government’s farming and food police are
The current system starts being wound down next year and they are nowhere near having a well thought through system to replace it... ft.com/content/81009a…
You might think this has nothing to do with you, but actually whoever you are this affects you
We all need a farming and food policy that provides the right food, and the right kind of land management and environmental outcomes...
Most sensible people can see that a future policy can be better than that of the past
But the thinking from government on this is so bad and so flawed it looks like being a disaster...