"Since the mid-1970s (and the last referendum) it has generally been argued that Australia would not gain from a British exit, but rather benefits from active UK membership of a strong EU."
"The latter argument is likely to prevail in Australia as the Brexit debate unfolds, for a number of reasons. First, the oft-peddled notion that the UK could leave the EU and return to a golden era of trade cooperation with Commonwealth countries does not stack up. "
"There is no reason to think that Australia would be top of the list of the UK’s prospective trade partners and the terms of the UK’s arrangements with the EU27 may not be clear for years."
its 2021
The Northern Ireland Protocol is being reneged on
And as for the EU deal
"The terms with the EU will be especially important. Two-way trade and investment between the UK and Australia remains significant, but from inside the EU single market. The institutional architecture matters."
" Preliminary scoping (of the EU-Aus) trade agreement is proceeding on the diplomatic assumption that this relationship’s time has finally come. In this context, a British exit is at best a distraction, and at worst a serious impediment."
"The idea that Australia and the UK share certain assumptions about relationships between states and markets has some validity, but it hardly results in a common approach to the complex trade policy questions governments now face."
"This is the central point. Notwithstanding the coverage it will receive in Australia, Brexit is not the only challenge on the EU horizon. The way these challenges are dealt with may ultimately matter more to Australia than the British decision in the coming referendum."
So on that "agreement in principle" with Australia
"In an early phone call with Joe Biden, an aide told me, Johnson said he disliked the phrase special relationship after the president used it. To Johnson it seemed needy and weak."
I used the example of Aberfan in a thread (which I will link at the end of this) in trying to imagine the scale of deaths from this pandemic in the UK
But now I want to turn to the words of a politician from that time.
"There is, too, a far greater bond in this disaster than any party political affiliation could indicate. All of us who are here felt with the people at Aberfan that day. "
"It is disastrous enough to lose a child—I think it is the greatest disaster that can befall any family—but to lose a child in that way was so terrible that words can hardly express how we felt. "