JACKIS Profile picture
Jun 17, 2021 16 tweets 9 min read Read on X
Fibonacci Retracement 📚

One of the most effective tools for profitable trading everyone must know.

▪️ What is it?
▪️ Why are they such a powerful tool?
▪️ How to properly use them?
▪️ Hot to define strong trends?
▪️ Advanced techniques?

1/16
▪️ What is it?

Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate where Support & Resistance are likely to occur

They are based on Fibonacci numbers. Each level is associated with a percentage. The percentage is how much of a prior move the price has retraced

2/16
The most commonly used ratios include 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. Although you can modify them and put any number you find the most valuable for you.

In simple words, they are nothing more than a % retracement from two price points.

3/16
▪️ Why are they such a powerful tool?

Because they define very clear horizontal levels where the price is the most likely to:

1) React
2) Could pullback to
3) Is most likely to bottom

It's also the best tool to DCA in on dips in a trend

4/16
▪️ How to properly use them?

In order to properly draw Fibs, you must understand what swings are, if you don't, read below 👇

Once you do, you drag them from the low to the high or vice versa and look for reactions on the retracement levels

5/16

What u must understand is that each swing at each timeframe has its own little retracements and you must always remember that the bigger the timeframe the bigger the relevance.

This is a nice example of many smaller swings inside of one big

6/16
In the example above us, you can see many bearish swings with nice little retracements in between but it is truly important to keep in mind that we are still inside of this one HTF swing in a dominant bullish trend.

That's where most traders do the most mistakes...

7/16
...because they think the price is going down as they are stuck on the H1 timeframe but in reality, it's just a healthy HTF retracement right into the "Golden Zone"

The GZ is anything between the magical 61.8% & 78.6% retracement

That's where you place your bids

8/16
After the new swing appears we have to adjust our fib & always be mindful between the HTF & LTF swings & the dominant HTF trend.

If you add the advanced principles of MS, see below 👇, then you have the perfect formula



9/16
▪️ Hot to define strong trends?

You mark the significant low on the chart and keep updating your point high level as the price moves higher but keeping the same low you drag your fib from

In a strong trend, price shouldn't be retracing to the 50% level

10/16
Price moves higher you update the fib high.

Any retracement to the 23,6% & 38,2% is a level to watch for continuation. DCA at these levels is the smartest move.

If the price retraces & closes below the 50% level. The trend could be temporarily paused for a HTF pullback.

11/16
A nice example of this was also the #Bitcoin 2017 run where price kept bouncing out of the 23,6% & 38,2% levels until it didn't & closed below 50%

Price did its HTF retest of the golden zone and continued trading upwards.

12/16
▪️ Advanced techniques?

Use both methods we just learned and combine them.

Apply the HTF 23,6% & 38,2% levels with LTF swing retracement levels of Golden Zone (GZ)

13/16
Where you find confluence with the LTF Golden Zone (GZ) & HTF trend continuation levels you place your bids.

You see how very easy it can get. And if you miss the first opportunity, you can always re-enter later on another retracement.

14/16
The thing to remember is to always try to connect the significant swings that really stick to your eye if you are unsure.

You can also switch between lower & higher timeframes to get a better idea of the swing.

Unclear which low to use? Switch from D1 to W1

15/16
Hopefully, you found this thread valuable once again & it's gonna increase your probability and profitability in the markets

If you did, please consider liking & sharing it with your friends. It's gonna help me create more of these threads & your friends to get better 🙌

16/16

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with JACKIS

JACKIS Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @i_am_jackis

Jul 7
It made sense to stay 🐂 on #Bitcoin as long as the trend & range were holding & equities were going up but now it has lost its MS after 130 days of 🦀 PA & we need to adapt

I'll break down all the facts you need for all scenarios in understandable language below 👇

1/18 🧵 Image
When it comes to bullish/bearish posts it always comes down to TimeFrames. You can have a trader that is bullish on H1 screaming at a bearish trader on D1 while the Weekly trader is bullish again

It makes no sense & we need to analyze each one differently to understand the TF 👇
The macro view, which is like a Monthly to somewhat Weekly, remains bullish, while Weekly down to Daily is now bearish

The M1/W1 TF remains bullish as long as the 39K low is holding but locally we can be bear-bleeding for some time as the 130 days long #BTC range was lost Image
Read 19 tweets
Mar 25
Here is the psychological truth about the #Bitcoin / #Crypto market 👇

The vast majority of market participants bought the top in 2021, whether the 1st or the 2nd. The exact price is unimportant for this post

🧵 Silent Read Time: 1 Min, 52 Sec Image
1) A decent portion of them sold the bottom, especially after the #FTX crash

Either from panic selling, multiplied by the fear spread on social media with posts such as:

EXIT ALL MARKETS or THE GREATEST RECESSION since THE GREAT DEPRESSION coming

The others from the greed of.. Image
..selling & buying back cheaper at lower prices

This was a prime example of the market going up thousands of % & yet people losing money on it

Those people are still waiting for a bigger pullback to buy cheap & will continue to do so & miss everything. Again.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 20
You don't wanna miss this #Bitcoin alpha thread 🧵👀

#BTC around 50K is still within a strong value area

Lots of people sidelined, waiting for a bigger correction will miss out

Data from Financial Advisors across the US are suggesting big future upside

1/20

Read below👇 Image
First of all, I did expect we would get the upside we got from the 40-45K range, but after, I thought we would get a deeper pullback at some point to like 32K or so

I do not think that anymore

Below is the original thread worth your time to read through

One of the reasons I don't think so anymore is the Weekly Market Structure

In any chart, remember, that for the HTF directional bias, the most important tool is the W1 MS

With the latest move, we got ourselves a new HL & HH confirming that Image
Read 22 tweets
Jan 13
BIG #BITCOIN ALPHA UPDATE 13/1/2024 🧵

No emotional bias, just truth bombs full of data & mainly my own context ✅

Both bullish & bearish arguments - HTF to LTF

Hit like & Bookmark to keep this plan in the back of your mind

Let's get to it 👇

1/25Image
We start HTF, scale in & create the valuable context 👇

So my thesis has been & is still the same throughout the whole of 2023, that we move above the so important psychological level of March 22 high, sitting at 48K, distribute above & pullback


Image
So the 48K level caused a reaction as expected but imo we move higher still to distribute & there are multiple reasons for it

1) We spent 500+ days accumulating sub 30K, such energy simply doesn't get distributed in 30 days. At minimum 120+ days

Read 25 tweets
Aug 10, 2023
🧵 Big thread on INTEREST RATES around the Western economies & their future projections & implications on the markets

Everyone's focus is on the FED funds rate but by understanding all of them we get a much clearer picture of where the FED is heading 💡

Let's dive in 👇

1/22 Image
As you can see from the picture, central banks in Western economies tend to move the interest rates on average in a similar trend

We could even call it a consensus

However, some are frontrunners & some laggards and by comparing them all, we can get a general idea of the trend Image
Each economy has its own factors & issues that come to play in each country of course, which is the reason why we see some deviations here & there on a lower quarterly or yearly scale. But the general trend stays

So why is it that they all move together on average? 👇
Read 22 tweets
May 24, 2023
What I often see people doing wrong is waiting for that "One last" - 🧵 THREAD - 1/9

- "One last" draw on liquidity
- "One last" equal lows sweep
- "One last" capitulation
- "One last" shakeout
- "One last" - you name it ✍️ Image
For example, one (in)famous trader called ICT kept waiting for BTC to sweep the 2015 HTF equal lows

He has been waiting for the #Bitcoin crash and the sweep since then

It has never come to this day Image
In 2018 the situation was very similar. People kept waiting for lower. For that FVG/Inefficiency fill. For that prior ATH retest

Still waiting Image
Read 10 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(