I feared the ‘Blue Wall’ was wishful thinking, that there would be too many loyal Tories in the south and the anti-Tory vote would always split too much to make a difference. But this was not a slender win. It was a landslide. Change is possible if you actually vote for it.
This is the Tories’ key danger. They’re replicating Labour’s key error, taking their traditional vote for granted and complacently assuming that a radical change in emphasis can win new supporters while also magically keeping the old ones. Sometimes the magic runs out.
The other point here is that Labour was utterly, utterly destroyed. The party is playing by the old rules and will be defeated by them. If Labour wants to take power ever again it needs to work with other parties, hold noses, make agreements.
This result wasn’t just a demand for political change but political intelligence. Voters knew the Lib Dems were the biggest anti-Tory party so they voted for them. We can thank them for understanding politics even if our political leaders can’t.
Let this be the start of things to come. Johnson needs to know that his forever culture war will have consequences and that his calamities will be remembered. If Starmer has any usefulness at all he will be asking Ed Davey for a meeting.

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More from @jonlis1

11 May
‘My government will protect the health of the nation,’ trolls the Queen
The government will address the nation’s finances after the pandemic, apparently. Presume that means a massive amount of austerity while blaming Labour.
‘The government will strengthen and renew democracy, ensure the fairness of elections, protect free speech’. This is not worthy of a democratic nation. It is industrial-level gaslighting to seize power.
Read 5 tweets
7 May
The problem with analysing electoral trends is that sometimes it’s the grand sweep of history, and other times it’s specific circumstances that get quickly forgotten.
Maybe the Brexiters wouldn’t have won the referendum if they’d hadn’t put Turkey front and centre of the campaign - but Turkey has now been entirely erased from our collective memory of that event.
Maybe Corbyn would have done just as well in 2017 if May hadn’t led such a dire campaign and catastrophically botched her social care plans - but that, too, frequently gets excluded from the narrative.
Read 4 tweets
22 Feb
Johnson starts on a foolish note, promising an ‘irreversible’ route out of lockdown. It’s something he simply cannot know.
All the evidence shows schools are safe’. All the evidence does not show this. If it did, scientists would be in unanimous agreement. Why not, for once, just be honest and admit it’s a risk and some experts disagree with it?
Unnecessary cheap shot there, saying some people would like to ‘stay in the slow lane’. Some people just want to stay safe.
Read 5 tweets
31 Dec 20
How many people are prepared to admit that New Year’s Eve is their worst night of the year and that they are genuinely excited to be spending it at home alone
NYE is terrible. One year I had a standup row on the stroke of midnight. Another year (30) I had to supervise a party my flatmate (22) had thrown without telling me. Then there was the year I woke up at 5.30am in someone’s flat, having passed out at 11.50 in a different flat.
Mostly it’s just a terrible anticlimax punctuated by too much alcohol and a rendition of Auld Lang Syne where no-one knows the words.
Read 4 tweets
25 Dec 20
Happy Christmas
Slightly less happy Christmas
Don’t any of you say a fucking word
Read 4 tweets
24 Dec 20
Von der Leyen starts speaking French and the British political establishment grinds to a standstill
Ooh, she’s returned to English and delivered this particular zinger: ‘we need to consider what sovereignty actually means in the 21st century: pulling each other up’. Fucking touché, as I think they say in French
You just know she’s speaking for us better than our own prime minister ever could
Read 5 tweets

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