Both Astra-Zeneca and the European Commission are claiming victory after Brussels court ruling
It does not seem that EU will get any extra vaccines it would not have done otherwise
AZ seems pretty pleased
EC demanded 120 million vaccine doses cumulatively by the end of June 2021 - and a total of 300 million doses by the end of September 2021.
Judge ordered delivery of 80.2 million doses by 27 September 2021
AZ said: "To date, the Company has supplied more than 70 million doses to the European Union and will substantially exceed 80.2 million doses by the end of June 2021" companynewshq.com/company-news/p…
Most importantly (according to AZ)
"All other measures sought by the European Commission have been dismissed, and in particular the Court found that the European Commission has no exclusivity or right of priority over all other contracting parties."
EC is content with getting extra vaccines, that claims amount to 50m jabs
"judge's decision is based on the fact, that AstraZeneca committed a serious breach (‘faute lourde') of its contractual obligations with the EU"
"The court also holds that AstraZeneca should have deployed all its efforts to deliver the vaccines within the agreed timetable including the British production sites explicitly mentioned in the contract – especially given the big delays in deliveries to the EU."
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To be crystal clear: Barnier is talking about non-European immigrants, Arabs and Muslims predominently, not EU free movement. He is aditionally insisting on fortress Europe as precondition for Schengen
Imagine if you will, the reaction if a senior British Conservative seeking to become the country's leader put a ban on non-European immigration at the centre of their campaign?
Some important details. Halix stocks are the key - and it is a relatively small figure, some >4m doses when filled and finished
Britain is talking "reciprocity" on AstraZeneca production - and possibly Valneva and Novavax
Talks are on defining the principle in terms of UK's involvement in producing vaccine ingredients for European production, or finished jabs and levels of UK investment in manufacturing
We feel like bit part actors in a German drama, said a diplomat last night of EU export ban driven, as many see it, by prospect of electoral annihilation for Merkel's Christian Democrats at the polls
Dutch see Netherlands as having little or no legal choice if the European Commission blocks the exports of the unfinished vaccine product
Ownership would be a potential question, can Brussels force AstraZwneca to use the product for fill and finish? That's why EU might trigger draconian 122 clause to give power to confiscate products
It is going to get a lot worse - especially if (as is distinctly possible) the EU blocks a vaccine shipment to UK this April or May
Invidious comparisons between Britain and EU on vaccine roll out is becoming a major factor and will make inevitable Brexit friction worse
Dynamic hard to break
UK government talks up success on vaccination procurement and roll out to play down impact of Brexit failures - especially on customs systems & absence of deals on food
There was always going to be friction but real, avoidable problems now exposed
Meanwhile perceptions that Britain is doing better on vaccines is driving some EU capitals a bit nuts while London is rubbing their noses in it
Resentment is poisoning the post TCA and NI protocol way beyond expected friction
Couple of things to note on Oxford-AstraZeneca and questions over exports from with implicit allegation that Britain has beggared its EU neighbours by withholding vaccines
UK has in fact suffered similar supply shortfalls - AZ a third of what was anticipated by end of Q1 2021
AZ, only approved vaccine being manufactured in the UK, has a decentralised manufacturing model. It's not-for-profit, low cost and open licensing as aim of scaling up global production quickly
UK tax-payer funded that development, enabled clinical trials & global manufacture
Hence the huge capacity being developed by Serum Institute of India in India or Australia's development of its own manufacturing. One of objectives of Oxford project was to ensure that AstraZeneca produced the vaccine for globally
Conference on the Future of Europe today "in a subdued ceremony designed to have as few people as possible notice it’s happening"
Via @MehreenKhn
Far cry from the Laeken declaration, showing how moribund & subterranean EU federalism has become
The merit of the last convention was that it was at least constitutional meaning it was openly declared in a mega-treaty and then rejected by voters, mothballed after French and Dutch voters. Before being enacted as Lisbon treaty without votes
This exercise does not even have the merit of a constitutional aim and expresses the EU's dismal zeitgeist rather well as the private property of declining and accountability dodging elites who eschew vision because that invloves public politics