(1) It seems someone is aggressively using the options market to push TSLA's stock up today (i.e., buying likely worthless options that expire today). More specifically, today, someone brought 77.1K weekly TSLA June 18, 2021 $630 call strike options (which expire today)...
(2)... for ~$1.00 that have a delta of 0.231. So for $7.4mn they brought 77.4K, contracts, which is the same as buying 231 shares of stock at ~$624/shr and delta hedging it until today’s close. So, looking at one contract, they purchased 231 x $624 = $144K worth of TSLA...
(3)... stock for only $100 of margin. That forces buying of TSLA stock, using options that will likely expire worthless. That's what you called legal manipulation.
(4) another way to think about this, at the time of writing is, someone brought 77.4K weekly TSLA June 18, 2021 $630 call strike options (which expire today) for $1.00 with a delta of 0.231. So, the market makers that wrote these options were paid: $100...
(5)... (price at which the options sold) × 74,400 (options sold today) = $7.44mn to write these options. Yet, they had to hedge: 23.1 (delta on options) × 72,400 (options sold today) × $624 (price of stock today) = $1.043bn in risk to write these options (this is a...
(6)... MASSIVE/UNPRECEDENTED amount of risk being taken on options that are likely worthless).

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More from @GordonJohnson19

26 May
(1) Why does ANYONE listen to the Fed's predictions? Why does @neelkashkari and his friends at the Fed control every aspect of the financial markets given they've been wrong at EVERY TURN? What do I mean? Well...
(2) ... here's the dot plot from 2012 where the Fed was wrong.
(3) And, here's the dot plot from 2014, when the rate hike optimism was quite high.
Read 6 tweets
19 May
@elonmusk @Tesmanian_com (1) No he's not. Not even close. He does not seem to understand the accounting for finance leases/principal repayments. Why? Well, Amazon, whom TSLA is often compared to, uses financed leases/principal repayments - i.e., defacto CAPEX - to fund its facilities (similar to...
@elonmusk @Tesmanian_com (2) ... what TSLA does). Amazon, IN THE FIRST few pages of ALL of its presentations, shows free cash flow ("FCF") less finance leases and principal repayments to show investors its "true" FCF. When applying Amazon's method, or "the gold standard", to TSLA the "true" FCF was...
@elonmusk @Tesmanian_com (3) ... very negative in 1Q21 (perhaps this is why TSLA raised ~$12.3bn last year, and will likely do multiple raises this year).
Read 4 tweets
29 Mar
@INArteCarloDoss Ask yourself this. What happens when the SPAC lockups expire w/ billions in shrs to be sold at ANY PRICE by the insiders/pumpers? Remember what caused the 2000 tech crash? SPACS, for the most part, are ponzi companies - selling $1 for $80c w/ a promise to make it up on volume.
@INArteCarloDoss (2) Carson and others told you GSX had issues for months. No one cared to do the work. Is the same thing about to happen with SPACS? Don’t know. But you can pull up with lock up expirations for SPACS with a simple Bloomberg query.
@INArteCarloDoss (3) Let me help with some "hard" evidence of what's to come...
Read 9 tweets
18 Feb
(1) @RudyHavenstein The GameStop/RobinHood issue in a nutshell: First, on Robinhood, the issue was one of undercapitalization (i.e., RobinHood did nothing wrong). So… when the volatility on GME at Robinhood picked up, as happens at any clearing house in stock that becomes...
(2) very volatile, the DTCC asked RobinHood for more margin to trade the stock (i.e., more money, or a margin call); RobinHood didn’t have the money, so all trading in the stock (both buying and shorting) was suspended; because selling the...
(3) ... stock doesn’t require more risk from RobinHood, this was allowed to continue. This happens all the time, and is perfectly NORMAL!

On shorting, and what happened with GME, first it’s important to remember that naked shorting was made illegal in 2009; thus, every...
Read 11 tweets
9 Jan
@NorthmanTrader Yes. It’s called gamma hedging. If you buy a $30 option on a stock that trades at $850 with a 0.50 beta, you pay $3,000 ($30 x 100), while the person selling that option to you has to buy: $850 * 50 = $42,500 in the underlying stock to fully hedge. This is why stocks are soaring.
@NorthmanTrader There was a natural cap on this kind of speculation before as banks would increase the borrow cost for the gamma options purchases as demand went higher. The Fed has stepped into this market, and taken borrowing costs LOWER. So now... activity in options has EXPLODED higher.
@NorthmanTrader So... now... instead of buying stocks... retail traders are buying options. And, so are the market makers. It’s completely out of control. But, recent Fed comments suggest they’re completely ok with this. And, Congress is completely asleep at the wheel.
Read 7 tweets

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