COVID-19 Outbreak in India: Update
Profs. Rajesh Ranjan & Mahendra Verma, along with their team at #IITKanpur, provide daily COVID-19 forecasts in India on covid19-forecast.org.
#indiafightscovid19together #CovidUpdates #thirdwave #COVID19 #Covid19India
Profs. Rajesh Ranjan & Mahendra Verma, along with their team at #IITKanpur, provide daily COVID-19 forecasts in India on covid19-forecast.org.
#indiafightscovid19together #CovidUpdates #thirdwave #COVID19 #Covid19India
Observations:
1. Second wave weaned off in most states
2. Northeast States still record high numbers
3. India's daily avg count - reduced to 63,000
4. TPR<5% - Most states
5. TPR>10% - Kerala, Goa, Sikkim, Meghalaya
6. CFR - increased to 3.5%
1. Second wave weaned off in most states
2. Northeast States still record high numbers
3. India's daily avg count - reduced to 63,000
4. TPR<5% - Most states
5. TPR>10% - Kerala, Goa, Sikkim, Meghalaya
6. CFR - increased to 3.5%
Third wave predictions -
Scenario 1(Back-to-Normal) : Third wave peak in October, lower peak height.
Scenario 2(Normal with virus mutations): Peak could be higher, may appear by September.
Scenario 3(Stricter interventions): Could be delayed until late October.
Scenario 1(Back-to-Normal) : Third wave peak in October, lower peak height.
Scenario 2(Normal with virus mutations): Peak could be higher, may appear by September.
Scenario 3(Stricter interventions): Could be delayed until late October.
The data presented here is purely based on the research of the involved team, not based on the SUTRA model, and in no way reflects the official views of IIT Kanpur.
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