#EURO2020 Quarter-Final Qualification Betting Odds ๐Ÿ“ˆ

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#EuroFantasy

Thread ๐Ÿ‘‡
After winning all 3 of their Group stage fixtures and obtaining 3 Clean Sheets along the way, it's no surprise that Italy are the favourites to progress. In turn, that leaves Austria as the underdogs.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Italy - 80%
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น Austria - 20%
The second-favourites are France, who won the Group of death. Their probability of progressing is only a small fraction less than Italy's. As for Switzerland, that means they will probably exit the Knockout stage sooner rather than later.

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France - 79%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Switzerland - 21%
Being unbeaten in the Group stage, Spain have a solid chance of winning their tie. They are almost 3 times more likely to qualify for the Quarter-Final than Croatia are.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain - 74%
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Croatia - 26%
Winning all 3 of their matches in Group C, Netherlands are pretty much just as likely to progress as Spain are. Czech Republic are also amongst the outsiders.

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands - 73%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic - 27%
The beloved Denmark have shown great spirit in the absence of their talisman (Eriksen), they have a good chance of making it through to the Quarter-Final. Meaning Wales are up against it.

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark - 69%
๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ Wales - 31%
This fixture is a tough one to call. Belgium are an extremely talented team and therefore they are the favourites, but not by much. The reigning champions [Portugal] still have a decent shot at progressing too.

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Belgium - 57%
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal - 43%
The odds replicate the last matchup, with Sweden being the favourites and Ukraine not being a million miles behind. The Swedes topped their Group (ahead of Spain), whereas Ukraine scraped through in 3rd place.

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Sweden - 57%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Ukraine - 43%
This could go either way. England are a small fraction ahead of Germany in the odds. To be fair they did top their Group with 3 Clean Sheets, whilst Germany conceded 5 goals. A German exit was on the cards against Hungary until the 84th minute.

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England - 52%
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany - 48%
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More from @FPLPremTipster

18 Jul 20
GW37 - Captaincy Thread

My options:
KDB
Fernandes
Martial
Foden
Salah
Ings
Jesus
Opposition - Last 3 results / xGConceded:

City WAT
1-3 WHU / 1.2
2-1 NEW / 1.21
2-1 NOR 1.02

United WHU
3-1 WAT / 0.6
4-0 NOR / 0.64
0-1 BUR / 0.72

Liverpool CHE
1-0 NOR / 0.06
0-3 SHE 2.38
3-2 CRY / 1.29

Southampton BOU
1-2 MCI / 0.75
4-1 LEI / 1.93
0-0 TOT / 0.38
City are the only ones playing a team that consistently have over 1xGC in their last 3 matches, it's important to remember Norwich was one of those fixtures. Norwich have the lowest xG since the restart with just 3.55. 1.02 of that figure derives from the Watford match alone.
Read 43 tweets
14 Jul 20
An FPL Thread of my GW36+ Captain

My Captain picks since the restart:

KDB - 30
Salah - 22
Aubameyang - 32
Fernandes - 30
Fernandes - 28
Jesus - 28

Disclaimer: I do not own any Chelsea attacking assets and will not be not taking a hit just for one Gameweek
xG since the restart:

Jesus - 4.1
Salah - 3.8
Rashford - 3.5
Mahrez - 3.3
Fernandes - 3.2
Sterling - 3.0
Martial - 2.6
KDB - 2.5
Ings - 2.5
D.SIlva - 1.9
Foden - 1.7
Manรฉ - 1.2
Greenwood - 1.0
Points in the Reverse fixture:

Salah - 15
Mahrez - 11
D.SIlva - 10
Sterling - 8
Martial - 5
KDB - 5
Ings - 5
Manรฉ 3 - [76 mins]
Greenwood 1 - [34 mins]
Fernandes - N/A
Foden - N/A
Jesus - N/A
Rashford - N/A
Read 23 tweets

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