There are basically 3 ways to Trade Options. Option Buying, Directional Option Selling and Non Directional Option Selling. Each requires a different set of skills and mindset.
Option Buying is perhaps the most difficult. It requires some way of finding quick Directional moves. It also requires an extremely good knowledge of Option Theory to structure a Trade when the opportunity has been identified and a great understanding of the Greeks.
If you have a good sense of direction and momentum but a poor knowledge of Option Theory, you are better of Trading Futures as you will in all probability do far less well with Options and even lose money. It's like being a sharpshooter aiming at a distant Target.
You have to take into account the distance, air speed, the kind of rifle and bullet being used etc. Amongst my friends @SubhadipNandy16 is perhaps the best exponent of this style.
Directional Selling is far more simple. It just requires a decent method of determining direction. It's far more forgiving and can make money even if your initial hypothesis was wrong. It's like attacking a Target with buckshot. You might hit it but not neccesarily kill it.
Non Directional Selling is perhaps the most popular. All it requires is to identify Tending Markets or underlying and stay away from them. To be successful, you have to be a good technician and know how and when to adjust during the lifetime of the Trade.
It's like being a moving Target avoiding the sharpshooters lurking in the background. Creativity and Imagination in structuring Trades differentiates an average Trader from a great one. My friends @itjegan and @PRSundar64 excel with the latter getting full marks for creativity
When asked whether they prefer Buying or Selling Options, many say that one should be an opportunist and do both when necessary- but that's easier said than done. Both require different mindsets and one will tend to gravitate to one or the other.
Sometimes you will see a Buyer do a great Trade Selling but that's a bit like De Villiers play the reverse sweep. He does it occasionally but that doesn't make him a left hander. Sobers was perhaps the only cricketer of repute who could bowl with both hands with equal dexterity
But the style of bowling with hands was different- and even he couldn't bat both right and left handed to take advantage of the kind of bowler bowling to him.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
There is a definite relationship between Risk and Reward in Markets. There are several factors that go into determining Risk but one of the biggest ones is leverage. This becomes quite clear when we look at Company valuations on the NSE.
So HDFC Bank has PE Ratio in the high 20's while Stocks like HUL, Nestlé, Pidilite etc are well past 80. So even though the quality of the Business may be equally good, the Market rate low or zero debt- read unleveraged- Companies as less risky and superior to highly leveled ones
The quality of Earnings without using leverage is always perceived to be superior to those which are magnified by leverage. Leverage equals Risk and this is discounted in Price
Had the privilege of listening to Javed Akhtar several times at the Jashn-e-Rehta festival. He was asked to comment on why the standards of Hindi Film Music and Lyrics had been on the decline over so many years. His answer was both thought provoking and worrying.
He said that it was not that the quality of music composers or writers had deteriorated. It was the standards and quality of the audiences that had declined and their inability to appreciate good music or good writing that was responsible for the poor fare that's being dished out
When I see the kind of posts or response to my tweets I can't help but think that the same has happened to Traders in recent times. A Trade is basically the expression of an idea executed thru a plan or strategy.
During a workshop organized by Dr Tharp which I attended, he split us up into 10 groups of 3 each and had us play his Marble Game which he uses to teach the importance of Position Sizing. Each participant had to put up $100 with the winning team taking the whole pot
The game had a positive Expectancy so logically every team should have made money. Yet after some 15 draws in the 20 draw game, all but 3 of the teams were eliminated as they lost all their money. Just before the 20th draw, 2 teams were neck and neck and one way behind
On the last draw, the 2 teams increased their position size in a desperate race to win but a 10x loser was drawn bankrupting both of them. The third team with a modest return won the game and pocketed the $3000
My largest Portfolio investment is HDFC Life. For a year until March I was merrily making 20-25 a month selling Straddles even as it went from 550 to 740. Unfortunately it suffered a 10% DD to 660. Showing signs of life again. Hope to resume Straddle selling when it reaches 700
Ok. Decided to start early. Sold a July 700 Straddle for 50
Even Option Sellers can be directional. Why should the buyers have all the fun?😀
I disagree with the view that hedges are used by Indian Traders to protect themselves. Actually a majority of Traders here use hedges just to reduce the Margin in a Trade so that they can take more Trades. This motive actually increases their Risk.
So say you sell a BnF Straddle for 400 for which you utilize a Margin of Rs 1.5 lacs per lot. Say the Trader does 6 lots utilizing Rs 9 lacs. Now to cut down his Margin he buys the wings 400 points away for 100 resulting in the Margin coming down to Rs 1 lac per lot.
However, given the mentality of the typical Retail Trader, who wants to maximize his use of Margin, he now sells 9 lots instead of 6. So now he has reduced his POP by almost 30% because his Breakeven is down from 400 to 300.
Samir Arora'a talk on How To Build an Equity Portfolio is one of the most fascinating and profound things I have heard on the Markets. We are conditioned to believe that Money is made in Markets thru our ability to pick the very best performers in the Market.
He turns the proposition on it's head and shows that if we had a Portfolio of 30 Stocks and average Stock in Portfolio was only the 90th best in the Nifty-combination of say some being 50th best and others 150th best- then we would be up 56x times over 15 years vs 7x for Nifty!
This is a return which very few have seen. He then argues that it is impossible for anyone to pick the best performing stocks in any Market due to it's random nature. So Steve Jobs had only 20% of his holdings in Apple while 80% was in Disney,