Atomsk's Sanakan Profile picture
Jul 2, 2021 14 tweets 13 min read Read on X
1/H

One of the leading SARS-CoV-2 lab conspiracy theorists from DRASTIC, @TheSeeker268, has a new article. I want to focus on its discussion of miners since it shows how ridiculous conspiracists can be.





theweek.in/theweek/cover/…
2/H

Like many other aspects of lab leak conspiracy theories, the miners point was debunked for a year or more. But conspiracists peddle it anyway, hoping people are uninformed, or paranoid, or... enough to fall for it.



The point:
3/H

An obvious problem:
SARS-CoV-2 almost certainly did not come from RaTG13 (a.k.a. BtCov/4991), the mentioned coronavirus from the mine.

This has been known for at least a year.


4/H

The viruses are related cousins, not one descended from the other.

"the difference at neutral sites was 17%, suggesting the divergence between the two viruses [RatG13 and SARS-CoV-2] is much larger than previously estimated."
academic.oup.com/nsr/article/7/…

europeanreview.org/wp/wp-content/…
5/H

This creates a problem for conspiracists:
How can they use RaTG13 + the miners to prop up paranoia, if it's clear a lab didn't make SARS-CoV-2 from RatG13?

@edwardcholmes:
"SARS-CoV-2 was not derived from RaTG13."
sydney.edu.au/news-opinion/n…

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bi…
6/H

One tactic conspiracists settled on is to *lie.* They pretend they didn't insinuate SARS-CoV-2 came from RaTG13.

Problem with that is we know they said it, including saying it to me a year ago. We have the receipts. 🙂



7/H

Below DRASTIC member Rossana Segreto (@Rossana38510044) makes the insinuation to me, along with a link to an article where DRASTIC member Yuri Deigin (@ydeigin) makes the insinuation was well:

archive.is/cujN1#selectio…

8/Y

Alexander Panchin (@Scinquisitor) + Alexander Tyshkovskiy rebutted Segreto + Deigin's insinuation:

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bi…


Segreto + Deigin's responded by feigning shock that anyone would suggest they made that claim. 🙄

web.archive.org/web/2021063010…
9/Y

There's a laundry list of other problems with the "RaTG13 / Mojiang mine" narrative. I + others have pointed them out for over a year.

Credit to @viralphenomics in particular for his work on this.

drive.google.com/file/d/1kAHSEx…



10/Y

Particularly interesting is how conspiracists emphasize researchers looking at coronaviruses in the mine:
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…

Yet the conspiracists don't emphasize researchers looking at other pathogens in the mine.

I wonder why...🤔

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
11/Y

So the next time you hear SARS-CoV-2 lab conspiracists act like they have some brilliant new insight the mainstream just won't address:

They're probably pretending + their point was likely already addressed multiple times.



researchgate.net/profile/G_Mich…
12/Y

Lab conspiracists really are like other science denialists.

And I forgot to mention another tactic:
Pretend there were papers saying SARS-CoV-2 descended from RaTG13.

Debunked in parts 3/H, 4/H, and 5/H. Hence why @TheSeeker268 can't support it.

13/Y

A 3rd tactic is to make the baseless claim that RaTG13 is fake.

This is a common trope among conspiracy theorists, and helps them evade falsification of their claims.

@johnfocook + @STWorg, page 7:
web.archive.org/web/2020082102…


14/Y

Re: "3rd tactic is to make the baseless claim that RaTG13 is fake.
This is a common trope among conspiracy theorists, and helps them evade falsification of their claims"

Can be done by JAQing off:

rationalwiki.org/wiki/Just_aski…


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More from @AtomsksSanakan

Sep 14
@curryja If it's anything like Steven Koonin's 2014 op-ed in WSJ, then it's filled with ideologically-motivated misinformation and denialism.

archive.is/FTvi1

realclimate.org/index.php/arch…
realclimate.org/index.php/arch…

web.archive.org/web/2014121322…
[archive.is/v03kY] Image
@curryja About 30% more warming occurred during the first quarter of the 21st century than during the last quarter of the 20th century.

Models did fine.

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/20…
x.com/AtomsksSanakan…
realclimate.org/index.php/clim…
x.com/hausfath/statu…

web.archive.org/web/2014121322… Image
Read 8 tweets
May 19
@grok @19joho @WSJopinion @mattwridley x.com/curryja/status…
x.com/curryja/status…

Ryan Maue:
"Use ERA5 or JRA-55"
archive.is/tAbpF#selectio…

archive.is/zsZIh#selectio…

"[...] according to ERA5 [...].
The increase for the last thirty years, from 1995 to 2024, is 0.26 ± 0.05°C per decade."
climate.copernicus.eu/climate-indica… Image
@grok @19joho @WSJopinion @mattwridley @grok Ridley predicted less than 0.5°C of warming.

"Matt Ridley's 2014 prediction that global warming from 1995 to 2025 would be about 0.5°C"
x.com/grok/status/19…

wsj.com/articles/matt-…
[archive.is/32FiP#selectio…] Image
@grok @19joho @WSJopinion @mattwridley Re: "The increase for the last thirty years, from 1995 to 2024, is 0.26 ± 0.05°C per decade"
climate.copernicus.eu/climate-indica…

Matches the ~0.3°C/decade projection Ridley attributed to climate models

"Whatever Happened to Global Warming?"
mattridley.co.uk/blog/whatever-…
[wsj.com/articles/matt-…] Image
Read 4 tweets
Apr 26
1/J

Back in 2019 Javier Vinós (@JVinos_Climate) made some predictions, and I made some in response.

This thread will assess the accuracy of those predictions.

x.com/AtomsksSanakan…
x.com/AtomsksSanakan…

There are also ongoing predictions elsewhere

x.com/AtomsksSanakan…
2/J

In 2019 Vinós said:
"All the warming since 2013 and more will be lost."
judithcurry.com/2019/02/07/cli…

My response:
judithcurry.com/2019/02/07/cli…

He also predicted:
"no net warming over the first quarter of the 21st century"
judithcurry.com/2019/02/08/sea…

My response:
judithcurry.com/2019/02/08/sea… Image
3/J

Data through 2024 supports those predictions + falsifies Vinós claims.

(Data for prediction 3 has not be updated:
archive.is/TjamB)

On predictions 1, 2 , 5, and 6:

x.com/AtomsksSanakan…

library.wmo.int/idurl/4/69455
[web.archive.org/web/2025031905…]
ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitor… Image
Image
Image
Image
Read 25 tweets
Dec 9, 2024
@luckytran Bhattacharya' NIH nomination for 2025 is reminiscent of Scott Pruitt's EPA nomination for 2017:

Position a contrarian ideologue whose views contradict published evidence + expert assessments.

x.com/_johnbye/statu…
x.com/pjavidan/statu…

cnbc.com/2017/03/09/sco… Image
@luckytran In which Bhattacharya does the intellectual equivalent of claiming vaccine denialists are being unfairly persecuted because Andrew Wakefield's blog told him so

🤢

x.com/AlastairMcA30/…

x.com/AliNeitzelMD/s…
x.com/AtomsksSanakan… Image
@luckytran x.com/AtomsksSanakan…
x.com/AtomsksSanakan…

Bhattacharya, November 2020:

"What they're doing is focused protection, and you can see the result. The infection rates are going up in Sweden, but the death rates are not."
edhub.ama-assn.org/jn-learning/vi…

ourworldindata.org/explorers/covi… Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 18, 2024
@luckytran No, 'focused protection' did not lead to herd immunity within 6 months in Florida.

"Florida, which adopted a focused-protection approach"
spiked-online.com/2021/08/02/the…

x.com/GidMK/status/1…

x.com/AtomsksSanakan…
x.com/AtomsksSanakan…

gbdeclaration.org/frequently-ask… Image
@luckytran When your main non-lockdown example... has a lockdown.

"announced a ban on public events of more than eight people"
web.archive.org/web/2020120111…

"upper secondary schools are again closing"
thelocal.se/20201203/swede…

x.com/DrKatrin_Rabie…

Bhattacharya:
gbdeclaration.org/frequently-ask… Image
Read 5 tweets

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