YTD (Jan-Jun):
📊Index: 17%; Overall market returns: 20%
📈Industrials, Power &Commodities best performers - old school capex heavy sectors
↔️ Asset light & new age has underperformed
🕺The rally has shifted to small & micro caps (YTD returns of 38% vs 17% for large caps)
3/11
Cash volumes have dried out on NSE in the last few weeks, indicating some tiredness in the rally:
4/11
Enough jokes have been made lately on Value investing.
@ckaiwu's memo explains that value investing has been underperforming due to sole focus on tangible assets and failure to incorporate intangible assets in Intrinsic Value.
P/E and P/B only measure tangible aspects: Book value and accounting earnings fail to account for intangibles.
They rely on backward looking measures and mostly ignore the future value of intangible investments such as patents and R&D.
6/11
Key takeaways from RBI's FSR:
✍️NPA stress is lesser than anticipated
✍️Worst case scenario now (GNPA of 11.2%) is better than Best case (GNPA of 12.5%) an year back
✍️RBI has managed the yield curve via GSAP & OMOs- low MTM impact for Banks
✍️High Covid Insurance settlement
7/11
Discussions around green and clean energy are increasing globally. But that doesn't mean Thermal power is fading out soon.
Mr. Aswath Ram, MD of Cummins India shared relevant insights in Q4 call on why renewables will take time to scale and why Green Hydrogen matters:
8/11
Jefferies India Long-Only Portfolio:
💹Created by Christopher Wood (Global head of equity strategy) and Mahesh (India Head of Research)
💹 16 stocks (Financials: 40%; Energy: 20%; RE: 17%)
💹 Preference for ICICI group over HDFC & Kotak
💹 Bullish on Housing and RE recovery
9/11
Travel is back in US with a bang. With almost half the population fully vaccinated, US saw highest air traffic in two years on June 24th: 47,000 flights/24hr period
Cab rentals are 140% of 2019 levels.
10/11
Quote of the week: Investment returns versus investor returns.
We share weekly newsletter digest (#MultipieWeekly) and new podcast update to mail subscribers.
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1/n A classic economic model of the world assumes demand and supply as the two parameters that determine pricing. Well, here we talk about the third leg that is causing havoc in global trade - logistics, specifically shipping containers.
A thread 🧵explaining the crisis.
2/n Remember that big ship ‘Ever Given’ getting stuck in the Suez Canal? If that wasn’t enough for the shipping industry, we are now seeing a major global container shortage. This has led to a massive surge in shipping rates across the world.
Let's understand in more details.
3/n Why are containers important?
Quoting Najib Shah, ex-Chairman, CBIC, “If exports are the lifeline of an economy, shipping containers are the lifeline of exports”. There are ~1.7 cr of these 20 / 40 feet boxes circulating globally, accounting for 85% of international trade!
#RBIPolicy
RBI's monetary policy committee (MPC) outcome is to be announced today at 10 am.
We thought of writing an explainer thread🧵on key RBI Monetary policy tools & their implications. This should help you understand the policy better.
Please RT to educate more folks. 1/n
What is Monetary policy?
Monetary policy is the use of instruments under the control of the central bank to regulate:
✅Supply, cost and use of money & credit
With end objective of controlling:
✅Inflation, Liquidity, Balances, Exchange rate and overall financial stability
2/n
What are the tools used by RBI?
RBI (or any Central Bank) has various tools at its disposal to achieve its above-mentioned objectives. We have noted these tools in the left half of image below 👇
✍️State of Fixed Income securities in India
✍️India versus US fixed income
✍️Understand global macro & RBI response
✍️Credit risk fund and Global debt funds
✍️Asset allocation and risk management
✍️Origins of weekendinvesting.com
✍️Experiment with various styles
✍️Exit principle on positions
✍️Psychology and investing
✍️Managing drawdowns
✍️On journaling trades and investments