This week the Somali Govt announced conclusion of the latest military operations against Al-Shabaab in Middle Shabelle. But was the operation planned properly? What was the strategy? Why did it end? @i_dossier talks to the commanders and critics.
voasomali.com/a/5955031.html
The Somali Govt recently concluded a military operation in Middle Shabelle, claimed inflicting heavy loses on Al-Shabaab. The operation claimed the lives of soldiers including rising commander Mohamed Abdiwahab. But the operation ended, troops who were deployed pulled back.
There was displacement too. This drew criticism that the operation was not planned properly. Government troops who participated in the operation faced off in Mogadishu back in April when the army split over the term extension, sources say.
Security leaders reported lack of trust among the commanders of the different army units. One official blamed the Govt for engaging them in battle before fully integrating them, and creating harmonious atmosphere. Was this a reason for the pull back?
Meanwhile, AMISOM recently vacated the town of Marin-Gubay, hoping Govt forces will replace them. The Governor of Lower Shabelle says they were expecting government forces to take over Marin-Gubay, that didn’t happen. Instead Marin-Gubay was taken over by Al-Shabaab.
AU and Somali troops capturing areas only to pull back has been emblematic of the challenges on the ground. Some experts argued the approach discourages villagers and locals from collaborating with Govt and AU forces because of the uncertainty over the longevity of their presence

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More from @HarunMaruf

22 Mar
Strange but significant news from Mogadishu as @amisomsomalia is forced to give regional & opposition leaders assurance of security protection ahead of election meeting b/w the leaders on Monday. “AMISOM will guarantee security before, during and after the meeting,” says AU chief
Why is this an issue?
Following the Feb 19 incident when govt forces clashed w the bodyguards of opposition leaders & the subsequent firing on protesters, trust b/w federal & opposition leaders weakened. The govt expressed regret at the incident but it did little to restore trust
This mistrust was more evident when the leaders of two regional states - Puntland and Jubaland arrived in Mogadishu for election talks along with heavily armed guards. For their own safety, these leaders decided to stay within Mogadishu airport which is mainly protected by AMISOM
Read 8 tweets
25 Feb
On 17 Feb 2021 I tweeted about the emergence of self-organised, anti-Al-Shabaab militias known as Ma’awisley who have been sighted in parts of Lower Shabelle region - in the vicinity of Leego, Yaaq Bariweyne, Beled Amiin & in areas around Ballidogle airport. I’ve update on this:
Al-Shabaab has now launched counter-offensive against Ma’awisley and have targeted communities they suspect are supporting them, burning homes and destroying charcoal trucks. Significant number of civilians have fled to Wanlaweyn town from Yaq Bariweyne and surrounding areas.
Why? Al-Shabaab doesn’t want to see another force against their ideology to operate in the area. The militias are well armed; they erect checkpoints to solicit funds to fund their operations. They collect money from trucks carrying commercial goods and charcoal trucks both.
Read 13 tweets
17 Feb
Brief details of my investigation into the troops Eritrea is training for Somalia: The idea that Eritrea trains Somali soldiers was first raised by @M_Farmaajo in his 2nd visit to Asmara, but was discussed in detail during President Isaias Afwerki’s visit to Mogadishu in Dec 2018
Initial plan was to train the soldiers at home; Eritrea sent military experts to assess the situation; they visited Degaanley, Isaley, Jazeera, MoD, they met different officials; eventually they decided training in Somalia could compromise safety of trainers and cadets themselves
NISA was tasked to recruit from throughout the country, in collaboration with the registered elders including the 135 elders. NISA also collaborated with some MPs. The Gen Shirbow camp behind NISA HQs was used as a registration site.
Read 11 tweets
9 Dec 20
BREAKING: About 55% of Somali govt ministries, departments, and agencies failed to submit annual financial statements in the financial year 2019, office of the Auditor General said in his annual report
oag.gov.so/wp-content/upl…
Cash receipts collected and used at source without submitting for accountability was more than $1.8 million in 2019. Compare this to the 2018 revenue collected and used by the same ministeries/agencies that collected without submitting to revenue service was $1.3 million!!!
BREAKING: Somalia Auditor General’s report finds that 21 visas of the 115 that were meant for service providers were given to MPs, Ministers and other people to use and attend the 2019 Hajj, in breach of contract with the Ministry of Religious Affairs of Saudi Arabia.
Read 4 tweets
8 Oct 19
NISA:
There were some payments that were made during the year [2018] that were not fully supported amounting to US $3,473,247.00. Report cites inadequate supporting docs for the payments.
OPM:
The Office of the Prime Minister has not submitted accounts for FY 2018 to the Auditor’s General’s office; there is also no internal audit unit and no internal audit function in place.
Office of the President similarly didn’t submit accounts for the FY 2018, plus no internal audit unit in place.
Read 4 tweets
8 Oct 19
BREAKING: Somalia auditor general publishes financial audit report for 2018, and compliance audit report for security and non-security sectors.
Key findings: Outdated laws across institutions; non compliance of procurement & PFM laws; lack of asset mngmnt, internal audit (Read!)
BREAKING: The 2018 financial audit report finds that over $1.3m of revenue collected was not submitted for accountability and was “used at source”. The report names the Police Force, Ministry of Transport and Civil Aviation, and the Somali National University as the culprits.
This is a tough report for Ministry of Defense. According to Compliance report, the Ministry has not submitted accounts for FY 2018 to the Auditor General’s office. The AG recorded financial mismanagement including lack of supporting docs for payments and illegal disbursements
Read 5 tweets

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