@OlympusDAO is a master class in quality incentive design.

Today I got a chance to dig into the founding team’s incentive structure called pOHM (thank you @WartuII).

So what is pOHM and why does it matter? A brief thread.

link.medium.com/nMqGjchKGhb
1. pOHM was sold in a private sale under these terms:

- pOHM can be converted to OHM by paying $1 (it’s like an option with $1 strike price).

- At no point can pOHM converted to OHMs be greater than 11.8% of supply.

- 450 mm pOHM were issued to team, advisors and investors.
2. This design incentivizes the team to stick with the project as supply grows and maximize the price per OHM.

These pOHMs will not fully vest until 2-5 billion of OHM supply is achieved. My gut says that will take 5-8 years.

Thus, rug pull highly unlikely.
2. This is also a capital efficient design.

If the team sold $OHM in a private sale they would need to take $1 per OHM sold in addition to the actual raise to make sure the tokens are backed.

Instead they designed an option tied to revenue & market cap targets. Genius.
3. This design makes rug pull highly unlikely because the future rewards are gigantic compared to short term gains.

2 bn Ohm supply implies a $780 bn market cap at current price per Ohm.

7.8% of that is $60 bn <—- this is what their team could make if they deliver.
4. More importantly, a team that puts so much thought into incentive design and long term alignment of stakeholders isn’t playing a short term game.

Charlie Munger said something profound: “show me the incentive and I will show you the outcome”

Future of Greece is promising.

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More from @ishaheen10

4 Jul
Gamification of banking at @OlympusDAO. A thread.

A game has 5 traits:
1. Goals: what to achieve?
2. Rules: constraints on how to achieve goal
3. Feedback: a way to track progress
4. Voluntary participation: players know the goal, rules & feedback
5. Obstacles: difficulty rises
1. Goal: OlympusDAO is multiplayer game in which the goal is to grow deposits in order to create an interest-bearing safe haven currency with built in assurances of deep liquidity and intrinsic value.

It’s off to a great start. Image
2. Rules:
- 1 $OHM has to be backed by 1 USD equivalent

- If 1 $OHM > 1 USD then issue $OHMs and earn a profit

- If 1 $OHM < 1 USD then buy back $OHMs and earn a profit

- 90% of rewards are issued in the form $OHMs to stakers every 8 hours based on a known rewards rate.
Read 11 tweets
26 Jun
How long will it take for my investment in $OHM to become risk free?

- 300 days base case
- 180 days bull case.
- 20x return

Base case assumptions:
1. Rebase rate: 0.35% (currently 0.55%)
2. Growth rate of Risk Free Value per Ohm: $0.2/day/ohm

1 day ago RFV/Ohm was $14.1
Today RFV = $7.7 million
Total Ohm Supply = 537,423

RFV / Ohm Supply = $14.3

So RFV/Ohm grew by $0.2 / day. Trend is steady.

In 180 days RFV / Ohm = $0.2 * 180 = $36 + current RFV / Ohm of $14.3 = $50 RFV / Ohm

duneanalytics.com/shadow/Olympus…
Today rebase rate is 0.56%. This is expected to decline. Let’s assume 0.35% average rebase, then in the next 180 days One $OHM today will yield

(1.0035)^180*3 = 6.6 Ohms in 180 days. (Compounding every 8 hrs)

So RFV of One Ohm staked today = 6.6 * $50 = $330 in 180 days
Read 10 tweets
19 Jun
A thread about understanding @OlympusDAO through a few charts @ohmzeus considers important:

1. Ohm Price and Ohm Index Adjusted Price

2. Change in Risk Free Value

3. Index Adjusted Risk Free Backing

4. Risk Free vs Market Value of Treasury
1. Say you bought one Ohm at inception for $513 and staked it. Today you will have 4.9 Ohms.

Why?

ODAO pays an Ohm reward to stakers called rebase, compounding every 8 hrs. Current rebase = 0.63% (APY = 112,000%)

So while Ohm market price is $250, your investment = $1,225. Image
2. Every day the risk free value of ODAO’s treasury grows as it sells bonds and takes in DAI.

For every 1 DAI it receives, it mints 1 Ohm.

But that’s not all, the protocol also owns 93% of the liquidity pool. That’s deep, guaranteed and benevolent liquidity! Image
Read 9 tweets
6 Feb
Q: Why Internet service sucks in rural areas & how to fix it?

A: Internet wires and wireless towers that connect rural areas to the fiber optic Internet backbone are too thin and don’t have enough data carrying capacity.

Think of the Internet as a giant highway system. Image
Think of the fiber optic backbone as the Interstate highway system.

Think of the fiber optic middle mile mile network as the state high way system.

Think of the last mile network as the street in front of your home. Image
In rural areas, this street is more like a narrow, long, dirt road.

The longer and narrower this dirt road, the slower your Internet.

The longer and narrower this dirt road the more it costs to pave it.

Paving these roads is often not profitable for ISPs in rural areas. Image
Read 16 tweets
4 Dec 20
Owning Solar Panels vs Owning Fiber Optic Connections (10 points)

I know owning fiber connections isn't a thing yet, but neither was roof-top solar. In this thread I compare owning your electricity with owning your Internet.
1. Physics: Fiber wins BIGLY.

Solar generates power during the day only. Solar panel efficiency is still improving. Not much more to be done with the physics of a fiber topic strand. Accessing more bandwidth just requires upgrading electronics that don't cost much.
2. Construction cost: Fiber wins slightly

Solar roof cost ranges from $15,000 - $25,000. An average fiber connection costs $2,000 in America! Fiber Optic Association considers $4,200 / household to be a complex rural project.
Read 13 tweets
30 Oct 20
Here’s to the crazy ones!

Imagine being a VP of Product at a unicorn tech company (~2,000+ employees) at the age of 29 and then deciding to quit your career to become a historian....without having any background in history!

Meet Azfar Moin, a Pakistani man who pulled this off.
Today Azfer is considered a world class historian. His book, The Millenial Sovereign: Sacred Kingship and Sainthood in Islam, has won several prestigious awards and he is currently a tenured prof at UT Austin.

amazon.com/Millennial-Sov…
Last year I got a glimpse of the question that drives him:

“Why would the most powerful man in the world (Emperor Akbar) declare himself an apostate? (Akbar declared himself the most sacred being on earth, turns out many before him (eg Genghis Khan) pulled off a similar move)
Read 8 tweets

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