Bank One was being hit by the recession and loan losses were exploding.
"I was slow waking up to the problems" Dimon admitted.
"They said we'd peak losing 70 basis points. History told me it would be around 100," says Dimon. "The losses hit 180!" money.cnn.com/magazines/fort…
In his annual letter, Dimon starts with the bad news:
"Bank One had an extremely difficult year in 2000. We lost $511 million. ... These results are absolutely un acceptable — to you and to Bank One’s management."
Followed by his pitch to 'believe': "After you read this letter, I hope you’ll see concrete reasons for optimism. The most important are: This company has strong franchises and a solid core; we’ve got good market positions; fine businesses; and excellent products and services."
He promises:
1) We will share with you the truth, and offer honest assessments of our businesses and our prospects. 2) We will relentlessly follow our business principles. 3) We will act with integrity and honor.
4) We will always try to do the right thing, not the easy or expedient thing. 5) We will work hard and with fierce resolve to make this a company of which our shareholders, employees, customers and communities can be proud.
Before outlining his business priorities, often with examples of progress.
-Be field and client driven: new 'Internet-enabled' PCs and a suggestion box.
-Set the highest standards of performance: smaller board for more effective governance
-Set the highest standards of integrity
-Build for good and bad times: fortress balance sheet and financial discipline (more granular P&Ls, reduced credit risk)
"Together, these actions should lead to high-quality earnings that: are increasing, recurring and predictable in nature, yield high returns on capital, produce good margins, and have reason able risk relative to the capital deployed."
-Build out a solid infrastructure:
"Great companies consistently build their infrastructures. They strive for the best systems and operations. They are highly efficient, cut waste constantly, they invest continuously. Bank One must be a low-cost producer..."
-Execute superbly: acting with urgency, speed, discipline, ... communicating effectively and often
-Create a great team and winning culture
"One of our biggest priorities of 2000 was to assemble an exception ally capable group of leaders."
"You have to get incentives right. We want employees to think and act as owners by offering them an appropriate stake in Bank One’s financial performance."
"Your senior management received no bonuses for the year just ended. All of the Planning Group members, including those with guarantees, decided it was appropriate to give them up. This company cannot and will not pay the senior people more when the company does worse."
In a challenging year, Dimon:
-Led with bad news
-Pitched "concrete reasons for optimism"
-Promised integrity and "fierce resolve"
-Outlined priorities and tangible examples of progress
-Defined his vision of a great company
-Highlighted that management shared in the pain
It's an excellent reference for anyone writing their first letter as leader of an organization - and for anyone who has to break bad news to their board, shareholders, and employees.
Charlie Munger once sent a letter to Robert Cialdini with a single share of $BRKA
“Warren and I have read your books. We’ve made hundreds of millions of dollars. This is our way of saying thanks.”
Cialdini kept the share and is an avid reader of Buffett's shareholder letters.
"Every year, Warren establishes his credibility ... he mentioned something that went wrong that year. And then he says of course we learned from that, we will never do that again, and he moves on to of the strengths of the year all the things that went right"
"He establishes his truthfulness which makes me believe in what went right to truly process it deeply and believe it fully because he first was willing to tell me what went wrong. I now believe the next thing he said."
"My vision of the business is always to have a large one. When I had two stores, ten stores seemed like a lot. I'd like to believe that trees can grow to the sky. None have yet, but that doesn't mean it's impossible."
Lazard's Felix Rohatyn: "One of the most driven men I know."
Competitor: "Greatest merchandising talent in America."
Quit law school to join the family store in Columbus. Wanted to focus on bestselling merchandise - sportswear. Father: "You'll never be a merchant."
Opened first store in '63 with limited selection: Limited
1976: 100 stores
1985: 577
"The necessity to be continuously on the verge of some great new idea sows an endemic hurriedness that can be seen on people’s faces and heard in their voices.
This struck me as unhealthy for decision making (and perhaps even unhealthy, period)."
"I think of highest quality companies as a class of their own: the 99th percentile is not 10% better than the 90th percentile but 10x better. Linear thinking and analysis—though important in building a full understanding—are insufficient for revealing superlative quality."
I love the moment when Soros told Druckenmiller to go for the jugular and lever up the short of the British pound. It’s unfortunate that it turned into meme because it’s easy to miss the “conviction stack” that this generational trade was built on.
“I've learned many things from [George Soros], but perhaps the most significant is that it's not whether you're right or wrong, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.” -Stanley Druckenmiller
“What is most interesting to me about the breaking of the pound was the combination of Druckenmiller’s gamesmanship – Stan really understands risk/rewards — and George’s ability to size trades.” Scott Bessent
Craig McCaw made a fortune by thinking like a ‘business anthropologist’ and having conviction on the value of new technology. Landline phones made humans “slaves to places” - cellular telephony was inevitable.
To turn his conviction into a billion-dollar fortune, he had to be fast, focused, and go all-in. He needed leverage a team that could make up for his dyslexia.
Craig’s father Elroy was a spy turned entrepreneur who bought radio and televisions stations, piling leverage on handshake deals. When he passed away in 1969, Craig was 19. The family’s fortune crumbled overnight.