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Kavi Gupta 🚱 Profile picture
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10 Jul, 4 tweets, 1 min read
2060 United States Presidential Election Image
Thanks to @lxeagle17 for letting me bounce some political questions off him
Oh by the way, here's the table with the names, populations, and ratings for each state (I didn't do exact margins lol) docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
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More from @notkavi

Kavi Gupta 🚱 Profile picture
19 Jun
OK so inspired by @lxeagle17's recent demographic regressions, here's the @bot_2024 model run using 2020 demographics and partisanship by demographic, but using midterm turnout numbers ImageImageImage
As you can see, 2018 turnout is very favorable for democrats, while 2014 turnout is about neutral to 2020. Strangely enough, 2010 turnout does well for democrats, presumably because of suburban/exurban surge vs wwc
Looking at presidential years, we can see that our model believes 2012 and 2016 actually had more favorable turnout profiles than 2020 when considering 2020 partisanship, by about 1 point in both cases ImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
Kavi Gupta 🚱 Profile picture
16 Jun
1 like = 1 hot take.

I feel like I do this every time I 2x in followers lol, and I haven't been cancelled yet
1. The online left seems to have gotten too wedded to the idea of using intuitive morality as a bludgeon. Actually thinking about why you believe what you believe is important
2. The only reasonable medium term solution to the housing crisis is to legalize housing construction
Read 71 tweets

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