Such an odd crisis: what comes alongside the biggest GDP fall in 300 years? A wealth boom. Here's a breakdown of whose wealth has been booming... 🧵
The anatomy of the Covid wealth boom:
Savings up £200bn +
Debt down £10bn +
House prices up 8%
= total UK wealth up by £900 billion to £16.5 trillion.
What's going on? Two unrelated effects. First the direct impact has seen the usual wealth falls for those losing their jobs (hugely unusually) outweighed by Covid restrictions = big spending falls for higher income households = lots of savings
But the second effect is even bigger: asset price rises have seen the wealth of those who already had some surge in value. For the UK that is mainly about housing but elsewhere (e.g US) shares have also boomed
For the first time we've combined the effects of spending falls and asset prices surges to see who this wealth boom has overall benefitted...
This wealth boom is a big - but very unequal - deal. The typical adult has seen a £7,800 windfall - but the average increase is just £86 for the poorest 30% vs over £50,000 for the top 10%. The middle have done best in terms of %⬆️because they are most reliant on property
So £ wealth gaps have risen AGAIN - the gap between the middle and wealthiest 10 per cent has increased by £44,000 mid-crisis (on top of a £350,000 increase in the pre-crisis decade). It's these wealth gaps that are redefining who does/doesnt feel like the country works for them
This is very much continuing the pre-crisis trend of wealth gaps rising because household wealth is rising so much faster than income (note it's the growth in household wealth NOT rising wealth inequality that is doing the work here)
For a lot more detail on this comprehensive take on what the pandemic has done to household wealth read our annual Wealth Audit - out today from @jackhleslie @krishansays - with the kind support of @standardlifefdn resolutionfoundation.org/publications/w…

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More from @TorstenBell

8 Jul
This whole "we need to cut Universal Credit to boost jobs" thing is really winding me up. There are six million people on Universal Credit, in a lot of different circumstances....
2.6m are already working or preparing to work - how does them having £20/week less to live on create any jobs?
1.2m aren't working and it's government policy that they shouldn't (e.g they've got a child under 1). Has the government changed their mind and their policy to say they should work? No. So it's just making them poorer.
Read 5 tweets
7 Jul
Here’s the PM’s defence of cutting £20/week from 6m households in October. The argument = “we need to cut it because we care about jobs.” This is nonsense - here’s why… 🧵
1. loads of the people having their benefits cut ARE WORKING. The share of Universal Credit claimants working has actually gone UP in the crisis (35% before to 37% now). We’re talking 2m people gov.uk/government/sta…
2. The PM’s implicitly saying we must cut benefits so people have an incentive to work. But that incentive is VERY strong: if we cut the £20 benefits would be at their lowest level EVER vs earnings Image
Read 6 tweets
7 Jul
This is political and economic madness bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
Cutting the incomes of 6 million households by £1,000 a year from October is a huge hit to family incomes just as the recovery is getting going. The poorest households in the country will see their incomes fall by 5% overnight
Even if you somehow think (despite widespread food insecurity amongst poorer families) that the current level of benefits is too high, here's three reasons why the context of this Autumn means a huge cut isn't a good idea
Read 8 tweets
11 May
Hard not to conclude that's a fairly thin Queen's Speech.
Reasonable people might say that's understandable given the Government has had this pandemic thing to deal with. But it's quite a contrast with Biden and government's own build back rhetoric.
I'm broadly a fan of the main substance that is in there economy wise. On skills adult learning guarantee is desirable when we've still got 40% of the population without A-level equivalent qualifications (in contrast am sceptical that loan access will make much difference)
Read 8 tweets
10 May
What marks out this levelling up agenda piece from @racheljanetwolf is:
- it has an actual agenda
- it's an argument for the Tories becoming French (specifically the 20th Century French right) ie focusing on liveability of places not their productivity conservativehome.com/platform/2021/…
I basically support a lot of what's in here. Liveability should be prioritised. The real trick is to combine it with sorting out our second cities productivity disasters too
That's what gives you the chance of ecosystem change for regional economies. The politics is towns vs cities but the economics is the opposite.
Read 7 tweets
10 May
This morning’s @BBCr4today not a great advert for the state of British politics - guests manage substance free debate on economics of towns (the new govt focus) while Labour MPs debate ending freedom of movement (which has already ended)
As a small thing @bbcnickrobinson - Tory vote INCREASE was biggest in more deprived areas not their actual vote
Just to be clear - the issues (of the economics of towns and migration) are massive deals. It was the nature of the conversations that was grim
Read 4 tweets

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