This is the heart of the problem: Wind, solar, nukes, coal & gas power providers have a strong $$$ incentive to winterize & improve reliability b/c their lack of production was costly.
Gas suppliers made a handy profit from the flimsiness of their system. So why winterize?
BTW, I need to be clear here to differentiate local gas distribution companies (your gas utility) who delivered gas consistently to our homes (saving lives) and the gas industry that extracts and moves gas from wells/storage to the customers (including those gas utilities).
Oh, and Twitter needs an edit button. I wrote "down dropped" which is apparently a phrase I just invented. I'm good at writing English. Anyway, you know what I mean.
Wind & solar underperformed b/c of bad weather forecasting, frozen equipment, ice formation, snow cover, etc. -- that's bad and the renewables industry should fix that. But, they were also punished financially for that performance as they left a lot of $$ on the table.
Gas suppliers underperformed for the same reasons but were rewarded for their poor performance. Why would they care if production drops 50% when prices soar 300x? Losing half your production doesn't matter if the other half prints money. It is a moral hazard & a market failure.
There are many ways to fix it -- one way is to require a certain minimum safety performance standard like we do with auto safety, food safety, elevator safety, aviation safety....we mandate minimum safety standards and then those who meet the standard participate in the market.
Those who can't meet minimum performance requirements do not get to be part of the market.
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TX today is like 1980s CA in terms of population (~30M) & politics (Republican).
Other than stints in Paris & Lausanne, Switzerland I have lived in TX or CA my entire life so this tension between their two examples fascinates me.
NOTE: California is symbolized with a surfboard in both instances. Texas with a cowboy hat. And, Texas has a petroleum-fueled jetski for transportation while CA's mode is propelled by renewable wave energy.
I've lived in TX for 3+ decades and in CA for 1+ decade. Both are amazing states.
A key difference: Texans are obsessed w/ CA, but Californians don't think about TX at all.
TX politicians rant about CA all the time for example w/slogans like "Don't California My Texas"
BTW, buried in this story is that Chevron raised its dividend and Continental Resources reinstated its dividend. It's heartwarming to know that Texans freezing to death is good for business.
I'm reading through the filings for Continental Resources. They swung from a Q1 2020 loss of $200M to a Q1 2021 profit of $400M DESPITE producing 15% less energy. Keep in mind that Q1 2020 was barely touched by COVID. This shows how profitable the Texas Energy Crisis was.
The Texas Oil & Gas Association (TXOGA) paid ENVERUS to prepare a report.
The report says gas = good & wind/electricity = bad
Are you surprised that a consulting company gave its customer a report that makes them look good?
The report is highly flawed. Let’s dig in. [THREAD]
Main problem: It says that gas supply disruptions were because of power outages rather than the other way around.
But that doesn’t make sense from an engineering perspective: gas supplies started to fail Feb 10-12 & load shedding in ERCOT didn’t begin until 1:20 a.m. Feb 15.
The report makes a fundamental mistake, confusing OUTAGES for LOAD SHED. There are always outages, but rarely load shed.
This mistake undermines the entire logic of the report's conclusions. This sequence (gas failed first, power failed second) is critical, yet they missed it.
Here is an article I wrote for @ASES_Solar "Solar Today" magazine in November/December 2009 where my co-author Erin Keys and I explain the positive fundamentals of the TX solar market and predicted "don't be surprised if Texas takes the lead in solar generation."
What are the fundamentals that make Texas such a hotspot for solar farms?
*Lots of cheap, flat sunny land
*Robust transmission infrastructure
*Competitive markets that reward low marginal cost generators
Winter Storm Uri 5+ weeks ago knocked out power, heat & water to millions of Texans, including me.
I installed several technologies at home to make it resilient. I thought you be interested to hear how they performed through the energy crisis. [THREAD]
B/c of the 2011 TX freeze that knocked out power I installed several solutions to make my house robust against shortages:
1) super-efficient windows, insulation, etc. 2) electric heat pumps 3) natgas backup to the central heat pump in case the power went out 4) large solar array
#1 was very helpful, but items #2, 3 and 4 all failed.
This chart shows the last three months of consumption (in red) and solar panel generation (in green) for my house.
A year ago today my wife @JuliaCWebber and I evacuated France. Our daughter called us at 2:30 am Paris to say President Trump was shutting down the borders. We got up, packed a duffel bag for each of us & our 14 yo son, shut down the house and left for the airport. It was scary.
The Trump Administration did not coordinate with airlines, airports, or border officials. It was mayhem. It didn't have to be.
It was unnecessary. Trump's announcement misrepresented basic facts about his policies, which made evacuations of returning expatriates more expensive and difficult than they needed to be.