After a few volatile days, it is a good time to assess where current valuation multiples stand and the estimates of revenue CAGR for the next few years.
This is the consolidated graph with all the companies. The next graphs are grouped by industry.
The past 6 months I have been working to determine my personal (and biased) quality score for most of the companies on my checklist and others I see on fintwit.
Valuation was not a part of this score. Also, this list is not meant to be a stock recommendation.
In order to assign a quality score, I used standard parameters to score aspects such as:
- Management
- Culture
- Financial Resilience
- Moat
- Competitive landscape
- Potential
- Past performance
- Share dilution
- Risks
I am sharing this list for three reasons:
1. I put a lot of work and hours to this, so I thought that this might be useful for others on fintwit.
2. I benefit so much from investors constantly sharing valuable information in here, that I like to add some value in return.
Struggling with the decision to add between $BABA $AMZN or $JD 🤔
$AMZN
✅ E-commerce tailwinds
✅ AWS Cloud
✅ Ads business
✅ Solid moat with logistics
🔢 Good valuation
⛔ Size/Market Cap
⛔ Jeff Bezos out
⛔ Google and Microsoft Cloud
$BABA
✅ E-commerce tailwinds
✅ AliCloud
✅ Potential Multiple Expansion
✅ Margin Expansion w/Cloud
✅ Higher Growth %
🔢 Cheapest valuation
⛔ China Anti-trust
⛔ Jack Ma
⛔ More E-commerce competition
After the recent sell off, I just compiled the P/GP for 2022 for core holdings and watchlist:
$FB 8.4x
$SE 23.7x
$PINS 14x
$BABA 10x
$UPST 11.6x
$SQ 19x
$RDFN 12x
Just finished watching a great interview with @yliownyc at Capital Allocators. Thank you for bring it to my attention @EugeneNg_VCap.
I wanted to share with you some of the insights and gems that I highlighted from Yen Liow investment strategy and framework:
“I think that time arbitrage is the most powerful weapon you have in markets, on top of skill. It is an amplifier of skill. The cost of high performance is volatility, it is also the provider of it”
“I define the right tail as 5 and 10 periods of 20%+ compounded returns. What I found is that only 14% of securities above $1-billion market cap could do it, and only 3% are able to do it for 10 year rolling periods.”