1/11 Yesterday’s #Fitfor55 launch press conference was dominated by questions about the social impact. So, I took a bit of time to look at the new measures in the package to support low-income households to decarbonise. @RegAssistProj@RightToEnergy
2/11 First, raised ambition across the package is good for all. Effects of #ClimateChange will be felt by poorest most. Climate ambition is essential but not enough. Climate ambition must come hand in hand with commitment to address structural inequities. bit.ly/3kmIpTB
3/11 The Energy Efficiency Directive is the clear winner of prize for social conscience. New provisions include first EU definition of #energypoverty. Oddly it refers to lack of access to essential services but not affordability of those services and excludes cooking needs. #EED
4/11 The big news from #EED is a new ringfence of #EnergySavings under Art 8 (was Art 7) for those affected by energy poverty, vulnerable customers & people in social housing. I wonder why low-income households were not included. @SocialwattH2020@ensmovbit.ly/3wRfZEd
5/11 The ringfence is calculated nationally, equal to either the % of population in #energypoverty in the NECP or, where not in NECP, an average of 3 Eurostat indicators. Results: c. 13% ringfence on average with huge variation between countries from 5% Sweden to 37% Bulgaria.
6/11 Last on the #EED, new Art 22 recognises need to mitigate the distributional effects of policies, promotes EE for energy poor, sees ETS revenues as a source of funding, promotes technical assistance & access to funding & finance. Requires set up of a national expert network.
7/11 Next big news is new #EUETS for buildings & transport emissions. Revenues used for building decarb, low emissions transport, financial support to mitigate the price impact. BUT not additional–if MSs have policies or funding equiv to revs they need to do no more. Unfathomable
8/11 50% of revenues ringfenced for vulnerable households, vuln micro-enterprises and vuln transport users through #SocialClimateFund. 25% of the revs captured as EU own resources = €72.2bn 2025-32, and MSs match fund up to total of €144.4bn. €20.6bn a year. Is this enough?
9/11 €20.6bn a year = €230 for each EU citizen in 20% lowest income bracket or total €1,600 per low-income person. May be enough to offset the price impact if handed back in financial support but far from enough to also renovate homes & decarbonise private & public transport.
10/11 Access to the fund by MSs is based on this very complex calculation – the top recipients are Poland (18%), France (11%), Italy (11%), Spain (11%), Romania (9%), Germany (8%).
11/11 Too little too late. The CS Fund is too small for its aims: to offset the impact on bills AND #decarbonise buildings AND transport for households AND SMEs. It comes too late: dispersal starts mid 2025, ETS price begins 2026. No time to decarb first. bit.ly/2TafKWM
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What’s the cost of not renovating?
EU #BuildingsDirective negotiation is happening now. Final #FF55 file can kickstart renovations in the worst buildings – for climate & society
But all I hear are (scare) stories on the cost of renov.
What if it costs more not to?
#EPBD
🧵1/9
Europe’s building stock is leaky AND dependent on #FossilFuels to heat. Leading to huge, economy wide, costs to the public purse, incl:
💶Subsidies for energy bills
💶Exposure of economy to gas price volatility
💶Health spending
💶Infrastructure spending
🧵on the cost of not
2/9
Leaky buildings demand public subsidy when prices rise.
- €650bn spent 2022 to shield energy users. Largely unbudgeted.
- Fiscal costs of hh support in some MS up to 5.56% of GDP.
If prices rise these funds must be spent again to maintain protection.
🌟The Dutch Insulation Programme was launched last week.
👎I can't help but compare to the woeful lack of focus on insulation in today's British Energy Security Strategy and the UK Heat and Buildings Strategy.
Some highlights from the Dutch approach from which we can learn 🧵 1/7
Headline: aim to insulate 2.5 million Dutch homes by 2030. That's about 30%!
Focus on the worst first - those with energy label of E, F or G (which make up about 20%). This is important for #energypoverty alleviation. 2/7
The plan sets out 4 combined approaches to insulating 2.5m homes by 2030 (machine translation below). Nice combination of area-based, individual and collective approaches. 3/7
It’s out - the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive recast. We’ve all been waiting with bated breath for the central measure - Minimum #EnergyPerformance Standards - to kick-start the ‘Renovation Wave’.
Can we expect a deluge or a dribble? THREAD 1/11 #EPBD
MEPS are essential to increase stubbornly low renovation rate AND one of few measures that can direct renovations to worst-performing buildings, alleviating #energypoverty
MEPS start with worst performing but should not stop there. They set a plan to fully decarbonise by 2050
The MEPS has 2 parts. 2nd is important but may get lost. Requires MSs to set timelines for MEPS for all bldgs to meet higher energy perf. class by 2040 & 2050
Potentially powerful plan for whole stock! Key to an effective framework, esp. given the weakness of 1st part… 3/11
The current rate and depth of renovation is far below what we need to reach the 2030 #ClimateTargets in #Fitfor55, and too many Europeans are living in inefficient homes and suffering #energypoverty 2/9