This new study finds that higher nursing-home staffing levels were linked to *worse* outcomes during the pandemic.
Facilities in the top staffing quartile had 92% higher infection rates and 133% higher mortality rates than those in the bottom quartile. healthaffairs.org/doi/10.1377/hl…
These results are being published two months after the state Legislature passed a minimum staffing law that will force most NY nursing homes to hire more people.
More staff might be good in other ways, but it appears to increase the risk of spreading infectious diseases.
In March, @iskingsb and I found no clear correlation between staffing levels and COVID-19 mortality, and argued that boosting staff would not be an effective response to the pandemic.
These new results suggest that that staffing ratios might actually backfire.
The study's authors say: "Our findings do not imply that nursing homes should have lower staffing ratios per resident."
But they add, "Nursing homes that can provide those staff hours with fewer unique staff members will be better able to protect their residents from COVID-19."
That's an argument for using fewer part-time employees, and fewer temporary employees and outside contractors who float from facility to facility.
The new state law did not address this issue. It might lead some homes to use more temporary staff -- to avoid falling short of required staffing ratios when a permanent employee calls in sick, for example.
Here is a link to the @empirecenter's analysis from March, which relied on data obtained in February through our FOIL lawsuit against the Cuomo administration. empirecenter.org/publications/i…
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The state's crime wave is not confined to New York City.
In 20 non-NYC urban areas tracked by DCJS, shooting incidents jumped 75% between 2019 and 2020, which compares to a 50% increase for NYC over the same period. criminaljustice.ny.gov/crimnet/ojsa/s…
From 2019 to 2020, the number of murders inside and outside NYC rose at roughly the same rate (47% and 44%, respectively).
From 2011 to 2020, murders outside NYC were up 42%, while murders within NYC were down 9%.
To be clear: The murder *rate* in NYC is still higher than it is for the state as a whole.
But the trend outside the city has been worse in recent years, and the gap is closing.
From the sponsor's memo: "Implementing this change would remove any obligation on insurers to pay
for EI services and replace it with a lump sum payment ..." assembly.state.ny.us/leg/?default_f…
The lump-sum payment would come from a 4% hike in the "covered lives assessment," a per-person tax on health coverage -- which, in reality, comes out of the pockets of premium payers, not insurers.
$80B was RAND's estimated savings over *10 years.* That's about 2% of total health spending. It's based on multiple dubious assumptions, including the idea that health providers, Albany's most formidable lobbying force, will accept slower growth in payments.
RAND's first-year savings estimate was $2B or less than 1%, which is negligible given the enormous uncertainty involved in forecasting health care spending.
In more 3,200 pages of Fauci emails from January through June 2020, just released under FOIA, there is one reference to a communication between him and Gov. Cuomo ... buzzfeednews.com/article/natali…
On 3/4/20, Fauci wrote to a fellow NIH official:
"I received a text from Governor Cuomo of NY State and he wants me to come up to NYC for a Press Conference with his Health Commissioner, Howard Zuycker [sic]."
Fauci was copied on 4/6 and 4/8 emails about media strategy that listed Cuomo as one of several governors who might be helpful. assets.documentcloud.org/documents/2079…
Catching up to this @GormleyAlbany story about vacancy rates in New York nursing homes, which are three times higher than normal -- and have barely budged since last May. newsday.com/news/region-st…
When I first looked at nursing home vacancy last June, it had soared to 21% from a typical level of 8%. empirecenter.org/publications/n…
The share of empty nursing homes beds has stayed close to 21% ever since -- rising to a high of almost 24% in January.