There has been a sharp increase in discussion of climate change weather extremes in the context of the flood calamity in Western Europe, wildfires in the North West US, and the #ArabianMonsoonBurst
This thread looks at the big picture right now. What's next?
The image above from @Meteoblue shows most of the Northern Hemisphere & rainfall at the moment. The intense blobs of colour indicate high rainfall from thunderstorms.
What is immediately apparent looking at this is that there is an immediate issue now in the West Pacific.
What will soon be Typhoon In-Ha is forecast to make landfall in Taiwan and then stall bringing massive rainfall to the Philippines, China and Taiwan.
There is second tropical storm to the left of what will soon be In-ha which is simultaneously bringing extreme weather to HK.
Here's another view of IN-FA from the Joint Typhoon warning center. This is a very large very wet cyclone.
This is today's forecast path for the storm.
But what is particularly unusual about this storm is its wider context, it is imbedded in the middle of a monsoonal traffic-jam.
The animation above is the latest GFS precipitable water simulation for the Western Pacific. The details may change. But the set up is clear. A massive area of low pressure is forecast, with very high levels of moisture.
There are three typhoons in this forecast, two of them huge. And the picture at the end is littered with low pressure systems which could also develop into tropical storms.
This graphic shows forecast rainfall over this period (also from the GFS 16-day model).
If @realDonaldTrump chooses to join Netanyahu’s genocidal campaign if he is not obeyed …. he WILL find himself indicted in the international criminal court in The Hague.
And he will then have to make a decision on whether he is willing to remain in the U.S.
@realDonaldTrump Should he proceed as he has intimated that he should now be pursued by protestors everywhere he goes.
There is a lot of concern about evacuations of civilians from Gaza in the flotilla as anyone leaving may not be able to return any time soon. /2
But the moral hazard here is palpable. There are thousands of injured and starving mostly women and children. And we saw the young babies dying in the hospitals in the early stages of this war. /3
More and more naval vessels from Europe and the Middle East are being deployed to protect the Global Samir Flotilla as it moves slowly but surely towards Gaza where it intends to deliver aid and global attention. /1
Attacks from drones on the flotilla have resumed and Israel is presumably responsible for this. It is because of this that naval vessels from Europe are now joining the flotilla to protect their citizens rights of travel in international waters. /2
The escalation appears fairly slow at present and the flotilla is still within Greek waters at present /3
The #Samud #GazaFlotilla is currently sailing across the Ionian Sea towards the island archipelago south east of Athens in the Western Mediterranean. Conditions appear good for this leg that departed from Sicily after leaving Tunisia. The Flotilla set off from Barcelona.
2/ this current leg is 860 kms roughly and lead boats in the 51 vessel flotilla are currently approaching south western Greece. You can follow the flotillas progress here >> flotilla-orpin.vercel.app
3/ After two drone attacks on flotilla boats in Tunisia the flotilla sailed first to Sicily where it was joined by several more boats. And this map shows the path of the flotilla so far. The numbers in the dots indicate more vessels joining #GazaFlotilla