#Idlib: Ansar al Tawhid released a new video about their use of artillery, repurposed tank guns, mortars, IRAMs and more against the SAA.
The video is pretty large and combines a lot of different systems, so I will go over them part by part.
1/
The group is heavily leaning into it's role as artillery specialists. First sup, we get a really good view at their use of truck-mounted 115m U-5TS main guns, which have been extracted from T-62 tanks. They only have a few of these trucks, and only 2 different ones are seen.
2/
They show multiple strikes on target, usually with HE-FRAG projectiles. The "Ansar-1" usually seem to be used in direct fire mode- although they do appear to be used like a conventional howitzer occasionally.
3/
Next, IRAMs, which @MMissiles2 has covered in good detail (they've been seen before), incl. Hameen, Burkan, and so on.
Of course, these systems are mostly based on single (or clustered) 9M22U 122mm "Grad" rockets, with lots more HME. Big explosions, which AaT are very keen to show off, but not particularly accurate. The group also makes it very clear how it carries out recon using drones.
5/
Here's a clearly edited "Control Room" prior to strikes with a Burkan (Volcano) rocket. I will leave it to @MMissiles2 to go into these rockets.
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Next, Mortars. These are very interesting, as a few different types are seen in use, from conventional 120mm (with mixed parts), to massed fire (looks like 82mm mortar) improvised examples, to Turkish MKE HY1-12.
7/
However, the massed mortars are the most interesting here; seems that ~10 mortars, locally made, are used simultaneously to drop large quantities of HE in a wide area. Not often seen in Idlib. As you can see, not accurate but a lot of firepower (Are you seeing a theme here?)
8/
and of course who can forget AaT's repurposed 2A26M2 (125mm, T-72 main gun), used as a howitzer. We've seen this one a lot, to be honest. It's rather similar to what we have seen HTS do, but HTS have a lot more of these hybrids, products of the peculiar conditions locally...
9/
Not to miss; here's a pretty neat and rather rare weapon that I didn't see AaT use yet. A 122mm 2A31 series gun taken from a 2S1 Gvozdika, but mounted on a truck. Unfortunately little can be seen, but this is possibly an example damaged by a TB2 last year.
10/
There's a lot more to see also: M40(A1) and SPG-9[M/DM] RCL, the latter of which can be seen directly striking multiple targets.
11/
A rather serious mortar seen here. Unfortunately, I can't yet find an ID for it (120mm? 160mm?) but it seems to be fairly LR peice. It's bombs can be seen impacting right next to a claimed SAA position.
12/
Another system seen, is the simple 9M22U Grad, seen launched from portable truck-based launchers with only four tubes. Again it seems that these have been salvaged from a BM-21 pattern MRL.
13/
Last of them is the massive (ultra THICC) Zelzal/Zilzal (Earthquake) rocket, formed from clustered 9M22U. It's large impact can be seen, but this seems to be more of a prestige weapon than anything else.
If you enjoy this kind of thread I write, it takes a LOT of time and headspace, which frankly could be better spent on $$$ content: ko-fi.com/CalibreObscura.
But I like to spread information to all, so here you go. Do follow the two people I mentioned too.
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One aspect that many miss RE:AA FPV UAV is that these are a reaction to a lack of MANPADS, particularly those not from the Cold War.
Sure FPV can work, but if every AFU unit had plenty of LMM or Starstreak, esp. w/ extended range, the need would be met much more efficiently.
The innovation shown in 🇺🇦 is excellent, lessons learned should be diffused into other allied militaries, but we shouldn't fetishize systems that have developed because of specific local conditions. Some of the situation now is because the AFU has not been efficiently resourced.
Ofc, as the drones develop, they will become more and more like MANPADS. The cost will rise, especially as features such as passive radar/ELINT targeting become more common than they already are.
I am not bashing what Ukrainians are doing, I'm just pointing out the reality.
According to some local reports & the ISIS claim, the attackers withdrew successfully. They will have communicated with IS-K/Central, poss. including videos/images of them carrying out the massacre.
They are still at large. This is exactly what security forces don't want.
Usually they don't manage. But if your security forces don't arrive for an hour, this can happen. So they can sleep, rearm, and do it again. Inghimasi don't expect to survive, so for them this is a bonus.
When they kill these guys, they will find a phone with either SMS, WhatsApp, Telegram or maybe Viber msgs to an account with a central asian or Afghan number. That account will have been assisting, directing & encouraging them live. Non-0 chance US SIGINT can see said messages.
Your reminder btw, because I know people will be doing it, deaths of civilians is never, ever to be celebrated. I hope the vermin who carried this out are slotted with all rapidity
From the video: At least 5 men with AKs, probably 74s. Can't see PBIED, although given IS-K to be expected. This is worse case, nightmare scenario stuff that Western forced worry about and train for constantly.
No, not doing any ID, it's not healthy for the mind and soul
Random thoughts on the al Qassam footage from the IDF ground incursion in no particular order.
Firstly- Clear that the en mass production of the "Yassin" PG-7VR copy was a very sensible decision. This was the most achievable way for them for them to create a potent anti....
armour weapon, with good penetrative capabilities against IDF armour. Even more sensible was the adoption of the main warhead of the Yassin (Essentially the same as a PG-7L) as a static charge IED. That way, the same production line(s) could be efficiently used to boost..
..al Qassam et al anti-armour capabilities in a simple to use package. So far, this seems to have been effective, although the daring IED-placing rambo probably wasted his actions, as the directional charge wouldn't have gone in the right...direction.
This is not *why* I am leaving all of this, but rather just some notes to whoever might find them useful.
Why does someone do the stuff I have? Why does someone write thousands of words and spend so many hours?
It's because yes, you enjoy it, but it makes you feel like you are making a positive difference. But then it starts feeling like a job, a job that gives you no earnings.
Then you find that dozens, if not hundreds, of organisations, companies, large (evidently revenue earning) accounts, YouTubers etc, are very, very happy to use your expertise and your time, and *will not* compensate you for it. Sometimes you get credit, which is nice.
Something I didn't say in November that I think now- this stuff has a deeply personal tinge. The Ukrainians are targeting people because they see them as guilty of assisting in their (attempted) genocide. This is Mossad in the 60s, and they are only just starting.
Sensible people in European security circles should be thinking about how to manage and mitigate a service absolutely willing to go kinetic on their soil in five or ten years when some of the Russian men who were Bucha or Mariupol manage to get to Germany etc
So much analysis of this misses the personal factor.
Why wouldn't you target the people who wanted to turn you into a literal footnote of history?