David (TalkingCents) Profile picture
Jul 20, 2021 โ€ข 9 tweets โ€ข 4 min read โ€ข Read on X
Stock Market Cycles

โ€ข Euphoria
โ€ข Greed
โ€ข Denial

Using Crypto as a case study

(Short Thread)๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ Image
โ€ข Stock Market

I recently spoke about the importance of protecting gains.

Simply put, itโ€™s because the market isnโ€™t rationale and goes through very distinct stages.

โ€ขHope
โ€ขOptimism
โ€ขThrill
โ€ขEuphoria
โ€ขComplacency
โ€ขAnxiety
โ€ขDenial
โ€ขPanic
โ€ขDisbelief

๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ Image
โ€ข EC10

@DCX_EC10 is a prime example, losing 52% of its value since May 7th.

Was:R131
Now:R63

You May still be up, yes. But is the fall finished? Probably not.

Iโ€™d never try catch a falling knife. Buy winners in an uptrend and donโ€™t dollar cost average into losers. Image
โ€ข Tips

- The trend is your friend, the trend is down and not up.

- Dollar cost average in, in uptrends.

- Donโ€™t add to losers- youโ€™ll get burnt

- Protect gains in volatile assets

- Cut losses early
(A 50% loss now needs a 100% gain)
โ€ข Constituents

Top 10 holdings of @DCX_EC10 by weighting

You could construct your own portfolio by owning the crypto directly, and no need to pay a fee on that.

If you have 10k to invest, break it up like the professionals. Same applies to ETFโ€™s.

Create your own basket Image
โ€ข Shorting Bitcoin

Iโ€™ve been shorting Bitcoin for awhile.

Price target is $23 840 then $20k

#Bitcoin

tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/5โ€ฆ
โ€ข Shorting Ethereum

Remember the trend is your friend.

All I see is weakness.

Targets $1720-$1400

#Ethereum

tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSD/Uโ€ฆ
Thatโ€™s it, thatโ€™s the thread

If you want more trading tips and finance related content, then follow @talkcentss

Expect more:

- Trading ideas + Tips
- Personal Finance
- Property Threads Image
โ€ข Summary

โ€ข Protect gains
โ€ข Donโ€™t add to losers
โ€ข Cut losses early
โ€ข Trend is your friend
โ€ข Building your own basket

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
ใ€€

Keep Current with David (TalkingCents)

David (TalkingCents) Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @talkcentss

May 15
South Africa has over ๐—ฅ๐Ÿญ.๐Ÿฎ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€.

If you are wondering who manages those reserves, then this is the thread for you.

Find out ๐Ÿ”ป Image
*** What are Reserves ***

Think of Foreign Exchange Reserves as a country's emergency savings account, which is usually held in foreign currencies

Look at S.Aโ€™s below:

๐ŸŸกGold = $13.1 billion ( R243b )
๐Ÿ”ตForeign/C = $47.9b ( R889b )

That alone is R1.1 trillion in reserves Image
1/ Whatโ€™s the Purpose?

The central bank ( South African Reserve Bank (SARB) ) uses it to:

๐ŸŸ keep the economy stable
๐ŸŸ support the national currency

๐ŸŸ Settle imbalances in
international payments
(export & import)

๐ŸŸ Protect the country in the event of external shocks. Image
Read 13 tweets
Apr 9
๐—ง๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฑ

In this thread, the basic candlestick patterns and charts will be taught.

๐—Ÿ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿ”ป Image
** ๐—š๐—น๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† **

๐ŸŸขBull (ish) = Price is rising
๐Ÿ”ดBear (ish) = Price is falling

๐Ÿ“ˆResistance:
Price battles to move higher

๐Ÿ“‰Support:
Price holds at a certain level Image
** ๐—–๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜ ๐—ง๐˜†๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐˜€ **

๐ŸŸ Candlestick
๐ŸŸ Line
๐ŸŸ Bar

There are more, but these 3 are common.

Weโ€™ll be ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ, as it is the most important and the easiest one to trade. Image
Read 23 tweets
Mar 3
Dividends Explained

๐ŸŸข ๐—”๐—ฑ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜€
๐Ÿ”ด ๐——๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜€

Time to learn ๐Ÿ”ป Image
๐Ÿญ/ ๐——๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€

Dividends are payments made by a company to its shareholders.

When you invest into a company (own equity) you become a shareholder of that company and then have a claim on future cashflows. Image
The net profits from the respective company youโ€™ve invested in can be:

(๐Ÿญ) ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€
(๐Ÿฎ) ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฒ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€
(๐Ÿฏ) ๐—•๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต (๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ + ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ)

The retention and amount of distributions are dependent on what the board of directors decide.

โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€

Dividends can be paid in two forms, depending on what is decided:

(1) Paid in cash
(2) Additional Shares, known as a stock dividend

This is the way for a company to share its profits, and can be seen as a sign of financial stability.Image
Read 10 tweets
Feb 7
๐—š๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—•๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

Let me explain the difference between RSA Retail Savings Bonds and tradable South African bonds.

๐—™๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐Ÿ”ป Image
** Glossary **

๐—•๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฑ:

A bond is a debt security. You can think of it as an I-O-U.

You lend money to someone, and then they promise to pay that money back to you + interest.

๐— ๐—ฎ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜†:

Refers to the date on which the bond issuer (debtor) pays back everything they owe to bondholders ( creditor ).Image
1/ Introduction

When it comes to bonds there are two markets one can opt to participate in:

๐ŸŸ  The Primary Market
๐ŸŸ  The Secondary Market

The primary market is where you ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜† ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ด๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ but then cannot sell it to someone else because there is no secondary market for it.

*So the price of the bond cannot fall.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ต๐˜† ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ:

๐ŸŸขNo fees
๐ŸŸขNo commission
๐ŸŸขNo Risk
๐ŸŸขGuaranteed returns

โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—น ๐—ฆ๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ ๐—•๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ and this is what makes them different from tradable government bonds.

๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜,

Tradable government bonds have a secondary market where they can be traded or held to maturity.

This means you can sell it when you want to, but it also means you can potentially lose money if the bond price has fallen lower than your original purchase price.

With tradable government bonds, you are ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐—ท๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ.Image
Read 16 tweets
May 9, 2024
๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ณ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜

This is the part where many of us get confused when reading financial statements.

But not anymore๐Ÿ”ป Image
*** Catch up ***

Here is a basic understanding of the three most common financial statements.

Start with this thread before continuing ๐Ÿ”ป
1/ The Cashflow Statement

Is an important tool used to manage the finances of a business by tracking the cash flow of an organization.

Itโ€™s divided into 3 Parts:

โ–ช๏ธOperating activities
โ–ช๏ธInvesting activities
โ–ช๏ธFinancing activities Image
Read 13 tweets
May 5, 2024
๐—™๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐˜€ ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ

โ–ช๏ธCashflow Statement
โ–ช๏ธIncome Statement
โ–ช๏ธBalance Sheet

Beginners guide ๐Ÿ”ป Image
1/ ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป

๐—”๐—ฐ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด records information related to a businessโ€™s transactions,

It provides a summary of statements reflecting the financial performance of an entity. Think of it as the ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€.

Letโ€™s take a look ๐Ÿ”ป
2/ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ณ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜

The Cashflow statement shows:

โ–ช๏ธSources
(where money came from)

โ–ช๏ธUses
(how the money was used)

It ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐˜€ of a business (Money in, and money out) Image
Read 12 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(