A lot of comparisons to Budapest memorandum in Ukraine as US&Germany prepare to present a #NorthStream2 deal. Back in 1994, Ukraine gave up its nuclear weapons in exchange of vague security guarantees by the UK and US. When Russia invaded in 2014, the West said it was non-binding
Ukraine has been resisting Russian aggression for 7 years. 14,000 people died. Now, it feels like the West is letting it down again by rewarding Russia with a pipeline which not only deprives Ukraine of transit fees, but poses a huge security risk. 🇷🇺 will use it as a weapon
After Germany's reluctance to support Ukraine's NATO/EU ambitions and refusal to provide it with defensive weapons, Kyiv understandably doesn't trust any kind of a vague deal. 1 bln$ of promised investments in green energy looks like a joke: yearly losses from transit are 1.4 bln
More importantly, Ukraine feels that European Union will be less interested in its security once Ukraine loses its status as a vital transit country. That was Russia's plan and so far everything goes smoothly for the Kremlin. Kyiv feels it's being left alone with the aggressor
Here's a joint statement by the US and Germany outlining support for Ukraine after North Stream becomes operational.Looks like nothing new here compared to earlier media reports.Mostly financial support for Kyiv and no concrete commitments in security area state.gov/joint-statemen…

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More from @olgatokariuk

21 Jul
The US asks Ukraine not to criticize North Stream 2 or risk worsening relations with Washington. That feeling again when Ukraine is being sacrificed by big powers who don't want to spoil their relations with Russia
politico.com/news/2021/07/2…
.@politico reports that the date of Ukraine's presidential Zelenskyi visit to Washington this summer has been established. This visit is very important for Zelenskyi, he's been looking forward to it since 2019. It's a pity though North Stream2 was used as a bargaining chip for it
@politico Derek Chollet, counselor of the U.S. Department of State, who is currently visiting Kyiv and meeting with Ukrainian officials, denied the reports that Washington was applying pressure on Kyiv to avoid criticism of the North Stream 2
radiosvoboda.org/a/news-sholle-…
Read 4 tweets
16 Apr
While politicians and pundits try to understand what Russia's next moves could be and how to prevent it from launching another assault on Ukraine, here's my observations about the mood in Ukraine. After all, people are important actors too (Ukrainians showed it more than once!)
This week, I tried to understand that mood by talking to people and monitoring debates on social media. My conclusion is this: Ukrainians are worried about a possibility of further Russian aggression, but they are not afraid. They are determined to fight back and are preparing
This not only relates to soldiers on the frontline and ex soldiers who have returned to civilian life, launched their business, but are now ready to go back to Donbas to defend Ukraine. People with no military background in the regions talk about forming territorial defense units
Read 16 tweets
15 Apr
‘Russia is openly threatening war and destruction of the Ukrainian statehood. We have two answers to that: one, it will not happen, and two, we are not afraid’, Ukrainian foreign minister Dmytro Kuleba said at a briefing with foreign ministers of three Baltic countries in Kyiv
Kuleba thanked his Baltic states' counterparts for support and asked them to discuss practical help to Ukraine with other EU/NATO countries, including assistance to boost Ukraine's defense capabilities. ‘We need to make Russia understand that consequences will be painful’,he said
Lithuania’s FM @GLandsbergis called on Russia to return to negotiations in Minsk and Normandy formats and said there will be consequences if ‘red lines are crossed’. The red line for Ukraine would be Russia crossing its border, Ukraine’s foreign minister Kuleba said.
Read 4 tweets
20 Oct 20
A long, but important thread about the project I am currently working on with my Italian colleagues: documentary called The Wrong Place. It has been recently under attack from Russian propaganda TV, Italian pro-Lukashenko&pro-Assad websites and a left-leaning weekly L’Espresso.
The documentary is an investigation of the killing of two journalists - Italian photographer Andrea Rocchelli and famous Russian dissident Andrei Mironov - in Eastern Ukraine. Rocchelli and Mironov were killed on May 24, 2014 near a railway passage in separatist-held Sloviansk
The passage was blocked by a cargo train, used by separatists as a barricade to shell the Ukrainian positions on Karachun hill. It was the frontline. This spot, as confirmed by other journalists, was very dangerous as there was heavy fighting in the area in previous days
Read 33 tweets
25 Mar 20
Russian military trucks delivering aid to Italy in a massive PR/special operation. They are on their way to Bergamo from airbase near Rome. According la @LaStampa sources in the Italian military, 80% of the items they brought are useless. Pics by Ru journalist A. Yemelyanova ImageImageImageImage
80% of the aid transferred to Italy by Russia is completely useless or almost useless, sources tell @LaStampa
"It was more the Russian military coming to Italy rather than aid."
A "pretext" in the diplomatic and geopolitical game. Via @danieltilles1 Image
Russian TV says 122 military personnel from Russia arrived to Italy to help fighting the coronavirus. According to @LStampa sources, those are military officials, generals, colonels and other specialists in bacteriological warfare, headed by general Sergey Kikot
Read 7 tweets

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