What has DarkHorse Podcast been right on, ahead of the relevant organizations?
While we're crowdsourcing an effort to fact check the Dark Horse podcast, it's worthwhile to explore the reverse position.
I have a few, give me yours. 🧵
While we're crowdsourcing an effort to fact check the Dark Horse podcast, it's worthwhile to explore the reverse position.
I have a few, give me yours. 🧵
Btw, I don't have the time right now to document these at the level of precision I'd like (e.g. what precisely was said when, what was the official position at the time, when did it change) but I thought better to get a start on this than not. Maybe I'll do a followup with more.
1. Masks
I distinctly recall them in the early days of the pandemic advocating for masks, with Bret even going into detail about how to combine a bandana with a paper towel to make a "better than nothing" face covering. The official position took quite a while to catch up.
I distinctly recall them in the early days of the pandemic advocating for masks, with Bret even going into detail about how to combine a bandana with a paper towel to make a "better than nothing" face covering. The official position took quite a while to catch up.
2. Outdoor transmission
A standard theme of the podcast, likely mentioned dozens of times, that the virus doesn't seem to be transmitting outside well, which we should take full advantage of while it lasts, &c. Mainstream seemed at least confused about it.
A standard theme of the podcast, likely mentioned dozens of times, that the virus doesn't seem to be transmitting outside well, which we should take full advantage of while it lasts, &c. Mainstream seemed at least confused about it.
3. Outdoor masking
Linked to the above, DarkHorse has been advocating for not wearing masks outside, and definitely against various mandates for masking in open areas. The reasoning being that making being outside unpleasant is a huge downside during lockdown, and covering ...
Linked to the above, DarkHorse has been advocating for not wearing masks outside, and definitely against various mandates for masking in open areas. The reasoning being that making being outside unpleasant is a huge downside during lockdown, and covering ...
... our most sun-exposed skin from the sun will actually decrease vitamin D composition, which in turn is associated with worse outcomes in cases of COVID-19.
4. Model of transmission relating to viral load, connected to the volume of air in a room, advocating for systems that ensure proper air circulation, etc. WHO/CDC only properly acknowledged aerosol transmission in the last few months.
5. Lab leak hypothesis - an obvious one, B&H have been very outspoken on this, with Bret going so far as to place a 90% (i think?) likelihood on lab escape as early as a whole year ago. The mainstream has definitely shifted towards their position, though I think it's at 90% yet.
6. Escape variants - this isn't yet conclusive, but they've been publicly worried about the vaccination strategy being used leading to variants that are better at evading vaccine protection. We definitely see drop in vaccine effectiveness e.g. in Israel, and talk of escape...
...variants is entering the mainstream now, alongside very careful mentions of concern with the vaccination strategy being employed.
What else? (also, the more detail you can provide, the better. Do as I say, not as I do, dammit!)
*correction "though I [don't] thing it's at 90% yet" - obviously
I'm not even going to bother correcting my correction. Fuck this "no edit button" bs.
this certainly has a kernel of something to be developed
https://twitter.com/Reluctantcentr2/status/1418540321135280131?s=20
Clarifying that the full gold-standard version of this thread would have precise quotes from DH, as well as the positions of the relevant agencies and fact-checkers at the time. It's significantly more hand-wavy at the moment, feel free to add detail where you have it.
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