- Top 5 Indian forging companies
- Manufacturer and global supplier of hot rolled - forged and machined bearing rings, and automotive components for segments of vehicles - PV, CV, Off-road highway vehicles, 2W and EV
2/
Renewable - 8.75MW wind capacity and 1.58MW of solar capacity, solar capacity to be ramped up to 12MW
Location advantage - Plants located at Rajkot which is ~250km from Mundra and Pipavav ports and 700km from Mumbai port. Also helps to get cheap labor for plants
3/
Capex - No major CAPEX till FY25 as major Capex done
Increasing forging utilization to 60% and machining capacity to 85%
Till FY25, they expect to grow 10-12% YoY
4/
Product Portfolio
Issue Details
A bit of history on the IPO
5/
About their Manufacturing
6/
Diversified Revenue Base
Management
Selling Shareholder (Reducing holding from 27.1% to 8.3% post issue)
Some Numbers
7/
Risks -
- Company is a part of Corporate debt restructuring plan as they defaulted on a loan that concerned a 487 cr borrowing (March 2022 they would exit CDR)
- Pledge on Equity shares and NCRPS
8/
- Repayment delays on some borrowings for certain periods including up to Fiscal 2019 (they may be restricted in taking some actions including buy-back)
- Fy18 and FY19 delayed repayment of 103 cr and 37 Cr (the delay was less than 110 and 62 days respectively)
9/
Financials -
B/S - Debt to Equity reduced
P&L - 2-year CAGR - Revenue is -17.5% and EBITDA is -26.7% (Forging industry had something similar) + the net profit growth looks optical due to tax credit and inventory
10/
Cash Flows - CFO and FCF reducing. The firm is not raising much of a fresh issue (IPO to give an exit on a big part of the PE holding)
11/
Conclusion
At the upper band of Rs 900, the issue is priced at 25x P/E and 6x P/BV. The price to sales is at 5.93x. The valuations are stretched given the many ancillaries available at 1x P/S or below
Exactly 5 years back I wrote my first piece of content - An answer on Quora
Since then I have written -
734 answers on Quora
2000 posts on Linkedin
14700 tweets on Twitter
More than 140 articles
Around 8 E-books
A couple of videos
A couple of podcasts
Before writing this answer I was quite nervous and not confident at all, somehow I gathered the courage and said ok let's do it - the only downside was people laughing at me :)
The answer didn't get any likes and got just 20 views
I thought let's continue & see where it leads
Few things I learned over my short content journey -
Be Consistent
Be Unique (create a niche - for instance, I always research and write in a very simple way. I always assume I m explaining it to a 5-year-old and that has really connected with a lot of my readers)
#1 - Acquired Kottaram Agro Foods Private Limited. Primarily engaged in the business of healthy breakfast cereals and millet-based snacks under the trademark 'Soulfull'
Rationale - Entering into new adjacent categories in the
food space.
Had tried their range of cereals in college, (2015 in a More store in Manipal, so have to say their distribution is good. Even recently have seen their products everywhere from Godrej Nature's basket to Dmart)
The taste was damn good and the cereal type was quite niche
#2 - Y'day in Starbucks saw that they are selling Sampann range of products (Poha etc) in Starbucks (in addition to the other food products such as Pastries, Puffs, etc)
That makes sense - promote their brands at their outlets